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      Gains in biodiversity conservation and ecosystem services from the expansion of the planet’s protected areas

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          Abstract

          Protected areas safeguard biodiversity, ensure ecosystem functioning, and deliver ecosystem services to communities. However, only ~16% of the world’s land area is under some form of protection, prompting international calls to protect at least 30% by 2030. We modeled the outcomes of achieving this 30 × 30 target for terrestrial biodiversity conservation, climate change mitigation, and nutrient regulation. We find that the additional ~2.8 million ha of habitat that would be protected would benefit 1134 ± 175 vertebrate species whose habitats currently lack any form of protection, as well as contribute to either avoided carbon emissions or carbon dioxide sequestration, equivalent to 10.9 ± 3.6 GtCO 2 year −1 (28.4 ± 9.4% of the global nature-based climate-change mitigation potential). Furthermore, expansion of the protected area network would increase its ability to regulate water quality and mitigate nutrient pollution by 142.5 ± 31.0 MtN year −1 (28.5 ± 6.2% of the global nutrient regulation potential).

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          Abstract

          Protecting 30% of the world’s land area provides huge biodiversity, climate-change mitigation, and nutrient-regulation gains.

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          High-resolution global maps of 21st-century forest cover change.

          Quantification of global forest change has been lacking despite the recognized importance of forest ecosystem services. In this study, Earth observation satellite data were used to map global forest loss (2.3 million square kilometers) and gain (0.8 million square kilometers) from 2000 to 2012 at a spatial resolution of 30 meters. The tropics were the only climate domain to exhibit a trend, with forest loss increasing by 2101 square kilometers per year. Brazil's well-documented reduction in deforestation was offset by increasing forest loss in Indonesia, Malaysia, Paraguay, Bolivia, Zambia, Angola, and elsewhere. Intensive forestry practiced within subtropical forests resulted in the highest rates of forest change globally. Boreal forest loss due largely to fire and forestry was second to that in the tropics in absolute and proportional terms. These results depict a globally consistent and locally relevant record of forest change.
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            Simple Features for R: Standardized Support for Spatial Vector Data

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              Sixteen years of change in the global terrestrial human footprint and implications for biodiversity conservation

              Human pressures on the environment are changing spatially and temporally, with profound implications for the planet's biodiversity and human economies. Here we use recently available data on infrastructure, land cover and human access into natural areas to construct a globally standardized measure of the cumulative human footprint on the terrestrial environment at 1 km2 resolution from 1993 to 2009. We note that while the human population has increased by 23% and the world economy has grown 153%, the human footprint has increased by just 9%. Still, 75% the planet's land surface is experiencing measurable human pressures. Moreover, pressures are perversely intense, widespread and rapidly intensifying in places with high biodiversity. Encouragingly, we discover decreases in environmental pressures in the wealthiest countries and those with strong control of corruption. Clearly the human footprint on Earth is changing, yet there are still opportunities for conservation gains.
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                Author and article information

                Contributors
                Role: ConceptualizationRole: Data curationRole: Formal analysisRole: InvestigationRole: MethodologyRole: Project administrationRole: ResourcesRole: SoftwareRole: SupervisionRole: ValidationRole: VisualizationRole: Writing - original draftRole: Writing - review & editing
                Role: ConceptualizationRole: Formal analysisRole: Funding acquisitionRole: Project administrationRole: SupervisionRole: ValidationRole: Writing - original draftRole: Writing - review & editing
                Role: ConceptualizationRole: Writing - original draftRole: Writing - review & editing
                Journal
                Sci Adv
                Sci Adv
                sciadv
                advances
                Science Advances
                American Association for the Advancement of Science
                2375-2548
                June 2022
                01 June 2022
                : 8
                : 22
                : eabl9885
                Affiliations
                [1 ]School of Public and International Affairs, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544, USA.
                [2 ]Centre for Nature-based Climate Solutions, National University of Singapore, 6 Science Drive 2, Singapore 117546, Singapore.
                [3 ]Department of Biological Sciences, National University of Singapore, 14 Science Drive 4, Singapore 117543, Singapore.
                [4 ]Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544, USA.
                Author notes
                [* ]Corresponding author. Email: yz0467@ 123456princeton.edu (Y.Z.); lianpinkoh@ 123456nus.edu.sg (L.P.K.); dwilcove@ 123456princeton.edu (D.S.W.)
                Author information
                https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7787-314X
                https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8152-3871
                https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1354-0503
                Article
                abl9885
                10.1126/sciadv.abl9885
                9159568
                35648855
                7fd840b4-2f0c-4ffd-ad85-226fb009a398
                Copyright © 2022 The Authors, some rights reserved; exclusive licensee American Association for the Advancement of Science. No claim to original U.S. Government Works. Distributed under a Creative Commons Attribution NonCommercial License 4.0 (CC BY-NC).

                This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial license, which permits use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, so long as the resultant use is not for commercial advantage and provided the original work is properly cited.

                History
                : 18 August 2021
                : 13 April 2022
                Funding
                Funded by: National Research Foundation Singapore;
                Award ID: NRF-RSS2019-007
                Categories
                Research Article
                Earth, Environmental, Ecological, and Space Sciences
                SciAdv r-articles
                Applied Ecology
                Environmental Studies
                Environmental Studies
                Custom metadata
                Karla Peñamante

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