Increasing western US forest wildfire activity: sensitivity to changes in the timing of spring

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Natural Evaporation from Open Water, Bare Soil and Grass

H. L. Penman (1948)

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Human-induced changes in the hydrology of the western United States.

Tim P. Barnett, David W. Pierce, Hugo Hidalgo … (2008)

Observations have shown that the hydrological cycle of the western United States changed significantly over the last half of the 20th century. We present a regional, multivariable climate change detection and attribution study, using a high-resolution hydrologic model forced by global climate models, focusing on the changes that have already affected this primarily arid region with a large and growing population. The results show that up to 60% of the climate-related trends of river flow, winter air temperature, and snow pack between 1950 and 1999 are human-induced. These results are robust to perturbation of study variates and methods. They portend, in conjunction with previous work, a coming crisis in water supply for the western United States.