Early Prediction of Neurological Outcome after Cardiopulmonary Resuscitation: A Multimodal Approach Combining Neurobiochemical and Electrophysiological Investigations May Provide High Prognostic Certainty in Patients after Cardiac Arrest

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Abstract

A reliable and reproducible method for precisely predicting the neurological outcome of patients with hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy after cardiac arrest is urgently needed in neurological intensive care units. We prospectively investigated the predictive power of serum concentrations of neuron-specific enolase (NSE) and protein S-100B (S-100B) measured on days 1, 2, 3 and 7 as well as somatosensory-evoked potentials (SEPs) recorded within 48 h and on day 7 after cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) in 27 patients (14 females, 13 males; mean age 61.3 ± 17.3 years) with hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy. During the first 7 days after CPR, median values of NSE and S-100B were increased in patients who remained unconscious after CPR compared to those patients who regained consciousness (significance up to ≤0.001). The best predictor of negative outcome was an NSE cutoff point ≧43 µg/l on day 2; this had a sensitivity of 90.9% and a specificity of 100%. Additional use of S-100B on day 2 did not increase sensitivity, but this could be markedly increased by combining NSE and S-100B on days 1, 3 and 7. SEPs showing bilateral loss of cortical responses identified patients who did not regain consciousness with a specificity of 100%.

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Most cited references 9

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Systematic review of early prediction of poor outcome in anoxic-ischaemic coma.

C Stoutenbeek, J. Koelman, K Vos … (1998)

Studies to assess the prognostic value of early neurological and neurophysiological findings in patients with anoxic-ischaemic coma have not led to precise, generally accepted, prognostic rules. We did a systematic review of the relevant literature to assess whether such rules could be derived from the combined results of these studies. From Medline and Embase databases we selected studies concerning patients older than 10 years with anoxic-ischaemic coma in which findings from early neurological examination, electroencephalogram (EEG), or somatosensory evoked potentials (SSEP) were related to poor outcome--defined as death or survival in a vegetative state. We selected variables with a specificity of 100% for poor outcome in all studies, and expressed the overall prognostic accuracy of these variables as pooled positive-likelihood ratios and as 95% CIs of the pooled false-positive test rates. In 33 studies, 14 prognostic variables were studied, three of which had a specificity of 100%: absence of pupillary light reflexes on day 3 (pooled positive-likelihood ratio 10.5 [95% CI 2.1-52.4]; 95% CI pooled false-positive test rate 0-11.9%); absent motor response to pain on day 3 (16.8 [3.4-84.1]; 0-6.7%); and bilateral absence of early cortical SSEP within the first week (12.0 [5.3-27.6]; 0-2.0%). EEG recordings with an isoelectric or burst-suppression pattern had a specificity of 100% in five of six relevant studies (pooled positive-likelihood ratio 9.0 [2.5-33.1]; 95%CI pooled false-positive test rate 0.2-5.9%). These characteristics were present in 19%, 31%, 33%, and 33% of pooled patient populations, respectively. For the 11 SSEP studies, results did not significantly differ between studies in which the treating physicians were or were not masked from the test result, prospective and retrospective studies, studies with short and long follow-up periods, and studies with high or low overall poor outcome. SSEP has the smallest CI of its pooled positive-likelihood ratio and its pooled false-positive test rate. Because evoked potentials are also the least susceptible to metabolic changes and drugs, recording of SSEP is the most useful method to predict poor outcome.

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Improved outcome prediction in unconscious cardiac arrest survivors with sensory evoked potentials compared with clinical assessment.

E Eisenhuber, Kenneth Kramer, H Gervais … (2000)

To compare the prognostic ability of sensory evoked potentials in cardiac arrest survivors with the outcome predicted by a panel of experienced emergency physicians based on detailed prehospital, clinical, and laboratory data. Inception cohort study. Medical intensive care unit and department of emergency medicine at a university hospital. A total of 162 unconscious, mechanically ventilated patients who survived > or =24 hrs after resuscitation from cardiac arrest. Recording of sensory evoked potentials and outcome prediction after review of detailed clinical and laboratory data by emergency physicians within 24 hrs after cardiac arrest. At 6 months, the outcome of 36 patients was classified as favorable and 126 patients were rated as poor. After review of prehospital data, emergency physicians predicted favorable vs. poor outcome with a sensitivity of 70% and a specificity of 65%. After additional assessment of data 1 hr after cardiac arrest, the sensitivity of emergency physician predictions increased to 80%, whereas the specificity decreased to 48%. Outcome prediction by emergency physicians was most accurate after obtaining detailed patient data 24 hrs after cardiac arrest (sensitivity, 81%; specificity, 58%). In 35 of 36 patients with favorable outcomes, the cortical evoked potential N70 peak was detected between 72 and 128 msec. Of 113 patients with an N70 peak latency >130 msec or an absent N70 peak, all except one had a poor outcome. By using a cutoff of 130 msec, the N70 peak latency alone had a sensitivity of 94% and a specificity of 97%. The predictive accuracy of the N70 peak latency was significantly higher than the clinical assessment 24 hrs after cardiac arrest (91% vs. 76%, p = .0003). In unconscious cardiac arrest survivors, a recording of long-latency sensory evoked potentials is more accurate in predicting individual outcome than an emergency physician review of clinical data.

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Serum neuron-specific enolase as early predictor of outcome after cardiac arrest.

W Fogel, F Buggle, W B Storch … (1997)

To examine the prognostic value of serum neuron-specific enolase for early prediction of outcome in patients at risk for anoxic encephalopathy after cardiac arrest. Prospective study. Coronary intensive care unit of the University of Heidelberg. Forty-three patients (66.8 +/- 12.7 [SD] yrs, range 33 to 85) who had had either primary or secondary cardiac arrest, followed by cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR). Serial blood samples and clinical examinations. Serum neuron-specific enolase concentrations were determined after CPR on 7 consecutive days. Twenty-five patients remained comatose and subsequently died; 18 patients survived the first 3 months and had no relevant functional deficit at 3-month follow-up. Neuron-specific enolase concentrations were correlated with neurologic outcome. Concentrations of >33 ng/mL predicted persistent coma with a high specificity (100%) and a positive predictive value of 100%. Overall sensitivity was 80%, with a negative predictive value of 78%. Serum concentrations of neuron-specific enolase exceeded this cutoff value no more than 3 days after cardiac arrest in 95% of patients in whom these concentrations had exceeded 33 ng/mL. In patients who have been resuscitated after cardiac arrest, serum neuron-specific enolase concentrations of >33 ng/mL predict persistent coma with a high specificity. Values below this cutoff level do not necessarily indicate complete recovery, because this method has a sensitivity of 80%.

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Author and article information

Journal

Journal ID (publisher-id): ENE

Journal ID (nlm-ta): Eur Neurol

Journal ID (doi): 10.1159/issn.0014-3022

Title: European Neurology

Publisher: S. Karger AG

ISSN (Print): 0014-3022

ISSN (Electronic): 1421-9913

Publication date Subscription-year: 2003

Publication date (Print): February 2003

Publication date (Electronic): 17 February 2003

Volume: 49

Issue: 2

Pages: 79-84

Affiliations

Departments of ^aNeurology and ^bClinical Chemistry, Mannheim Hospital, University of Heidelberg, Mannheim, and ^cDepartment of Biostatistics, Central Institute of Mental Health, Mannheim, Germany

Article

Publisher ID: 68503 Other ID: Eur Neurol 2003;49:79–84

DOI: 10.1159/000068503

PubMed ID: 12584414

SO-VID: 84327626-ef25-450e-bb2d-933d584b3281

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Copyright: All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be translated into other languages, reproduced or utilized in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, including photocopying, recording, microcopying, or by any information storage and retrieval system, without permission in writing from the publisher. Drug Dosage: The authors and the publisher have exerted every effort to ensure that drug selection and dosage set forth in this text are in accord with current recommendations and practice at the time of publication. However, in view of ongoing research, changes in government regulations, and the constant flow of information relating to drug therapy and drug reactions, the reader is urged to check the package insert for each drug for any changes in indications and dosage and for added warnings and precautions. This is particularly important when the recommended agent is a new and/or infrequently employed drug. Disclaimer: The statements, opinions and data contained in this publication are solely those of the individual authors and contributors and not of the publishers and the editor(s). The appearance of advertisements or/and product references in the publication is not a warranty, endorsement, or approval of the products or services advertised or of their effectiveness, quality or safety. The publisher and the editor(s) disclaim responsibility for any injury to persons or property resulting from any ideas, methods, instructions or products referred to in the content or advertisements.

History

Date received : 11 April 2002

Date accepted : 21 August 2002

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Figures: 2, Tables: 1, References: 28, Pages: 6

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Early Prediction of Neurological Outcome after Cardiopulmonary Resuscitation: A Multimodal Approach Combining Neurobiochemical and Electrophysiological Investigations May Provide High Prognostic Certainty in Patients after Cardiac Arrest

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Abstract

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Karger: Neurology and Neuroscience

Most cited references 9

Systematic review of early prediction of poor outcome in anoxic-ischaemic coma.

Improved outcome prediction in unconscious cardiac arrest survivors with sensory evoked potentials compared with clinical assessment.

Serum neuron-specific enolase as early predictor of outcome after cardiac arrest.

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