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      Serious games may improve physician heuristics in trauma triage

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          Significance

          Americans can expect to experience at least one meaningful diagnostic medical error in their lifetime. One plausible source of those errors is physicians’ reliance on heuristics that are generally useful but can fail in diagnostically challenging situations. Based on previous research and clinical experience, we identified heuristics that might cause diagnostic errors in trauma triage. We sought to improve physicians’ heuristic judgment by providing simulated experience with two “serious” video games. In a randomized controlled trial, both games had positive effects, whereas equivalent exposure to traditional medical education had none. By complementing physicians’ natural ways of thinking, such simulated experiences might transfer to actual triage and other high-pressure decisions.

          Abstract

          Trauma triage depends on fallible human judgment. We created two “serious” video game training interventions to improve that judgment. The interventions’ central theoretical construct was the representativeness heuristic, which, in trauma triage, would mean judging the severity of an injury by how well it captures (or “represents”) the key features of archetypes of cases requiring transfer to a trauma center. Drawing on clinical experience, medical records, and an expert panel, we identified features characteristic of representative and nonrepresentative cases. The two interventions instantiated both kinds of cases. One was an adventure game, seeking narrative engagement; the second was a puzzle-based game, emphasizing analogical reasoning. Both incorporated feedback on diagnostic errors, explaining their sources and consequences. In a four-arm study, they were compared with an intervention using traditional text-based continuing medical education materials (active control) and a no-intervention (passive control) condition. A sample of 320 physicians working at nontrauma centers in the United States was recruited and randomized to a study arm. The primary outcome was performance on a validated virtual simulation, measured as the proportion of undertriaged patients, defined as ones who had severe injuries (according to American College of Surgeons guidelines) but were not transferred. Compared with the control group, physicians exposed to either game undertriaged fewer such patients [difference = −18%, 95% CI: −30 to −6%, P = 0.002 (adventure game); −17%, 95% CI: −28 to −6%, P = 0.003 (puzzle game)]; those exposed to the text-based education undertriaged similar proportions (difference = +8%, 95% CI: −3 to +19%, P = 0.15).

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          Most cited references33

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          A national evaluation of the effect of trauma-center care on mortality.

          Hospitals have difficulty justifying the expense of maintaining trauma centers without strong evidence of their effectiveness. To address this gap, we examined differences in mortality between level 1 trauma centers and hospitals without a trauma center (non-trauma centers). Mortality outcomes were compared among patients treated in 18 hospitals with a level 1 trauma center and 51 hospitals non-trauma centers located in 14 states. Patients 18 to 84 years old with a moderate-to-severe injury were eligible. Complete data were obtained for 1104 patients who died in the hospital and 4087 patients who were discharged alive. We used propensity-score weighting to adjust for observable differences between patients treated at trauma centers and those treated at non-trauma centers. After adjustment for differences in the case mix, the in-hospital mortality rate was significantly lower at trauma centers than at non-trauma centers (7.6 percent vs. 9.5 percent; relative risk, 0.80; 95 percent confidence interval, 0.66 to 0.98), as was the one-year mortality rate (10.4 percent vs. 13.8 percent; relative risk, 0.75; 95 percent confidence interval, 0.60 to 0.95). The effects of treatment at a trauma center varied according to the severity of injury, with evidence to suggest that differences in mortality rates were primarily confined to patients with more severe injuries. Our findings show that the risk of death is significantly lower when care is provided in a trauma center than in a non-trauma center and argue for continued efforts at regionalization. Copyright 2006 Massachusetts Medical Society.
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            Measuring Narrative Engagement

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              What's the price of a research subject? Approaches to payment for research participation.

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                Author and article information

                Journal
                Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A
                Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U.S.A
                pnas
                pnas
                PNAS
                Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
                National Academy of Sciences
                0027-8424
                1091-6490
                11 September 2018
                27 August 2018
                27 August 2018
                : 115
                : 37
                : 9204-9209
                Affiliations
                [1] aDepartment of Critical Care Medicine, University of Pittsburgh , Pittsburgh, PA 15261;
                [2] bDepartment of Surgery, University of Pittsburgh , Pittsburgh, PA 15213;
                [3] cDepartment of Engineering and Public Policy, Carnegie Mellon University , Pittsburgh, PA 15213;
                [4] dInstitute for Politics and Strategy, Carnegie Mellon University , Pittsburgh, PA 15213;
                [5] eDepartment of Emergency Medicine, University of Pittsburgh , Pittsburgh, PA 15213;
                [6] fRAND Corporation , Pittsburgh, PA 15213;
                [7] gThe Dartmouth Institute, Geisel School of Medicine at Dartmouth , Lebanon, NH 03766
                Author notes
                1To whom correspondence should be addressed. Email: baruch@ 123456cmu.edu .

                Contributed by Baruch Fischhoff, July 11, 2018 (sent for review March 29, 2018; reviewed by Arthur S. Elstein and Avery Nathens)

                Author contributions: D.M., B.F., D.C.A., M.R.R., D.M.Y., C.F., and A.E.B. designed research; D.M., D.C.A., M.R.R., D.J.W., D.M.Y., C.F., and A.E.B. performed research; C.-C.H.C. and S.K. contributed new reagents/analytic tools; D.M., B.F., D.C.A., M.R.R., D.J.W., D.M.Y., C.F., C.-C.H.C., S.K., and A.E.B. analyzed data; and D.M., B.F., D.C.A., M.R.R., D.J.W., D.M.Y., C.F., C.-C.H.C., S.K., and A.E.B. wrote the paper.

                Reviewers: A.S.E., University of Illinois, Chicago; and A.N., University of Toronto.

                Author information
                http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3030-6874
                Article
                201805450
                10.1073/pnas.1805450115
                6140476
                30150397
                89e9b59b-50a9-4d9a-80e6-d23c48ea72f0
                Copyright © 2018 the Author(s). Published by PNAS.

                This open access article is distributed under Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives License 4.0 (CC BY-NC-ND).

                History
                Page count
                Pages: 6
                Funding
                Funded by: Foundation for the National Institutes of Health (FNIH) 100000009
                Award ID: DP2 LM012339
                Award Recipient : Deepika Mohan
                Funded by: HHS | NIH | National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (NHLBI) 100000050
                Award ID: NHLBI-K08-HL122478
                Award Recipient : David J Wallace
                Funded by: UPMC Center of Clinical Decision Making
                Award ID: none
                Award Recipient : Deepika Mohan
                Funded by: Riksbankens Jubileumsfond (RJ) 501100004472
                Award ID: none
                Award Recipient : Baruch Fischhoff
                Categories
                Social Sciences
                Psychological and Cognitive Sciences

                heuristics,triage,serious games,decision making,judgment
                heuristics, triage, serious games, decision making, judgment

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