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      Evaluation the Relationship Between Thyroid Nodule Size with Malignancy and Accuracy of Fine Needle Aspiration Biopsy (FNAB)

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          Abstract

          Introduction:

          Some studies have shown largest thyroid nodule size, especially ≥4cm that can predict malignancy and reduce fine needle aspiration biopsy (FNAB) accuracy. Therefore, this study is designed to evaluate relationship between thyroid nodule sizes with malignancy and its effect on FNBA accuracy.

          Materials and Methods:

          a retrospective analytical study design aims to investigate all patients with thyroid nodules who referred to surgery department of Imam-Khomeini Hospital of Mazandaran University of Medical Sciences in Sari from 20 March 2008 to 22 March 2014. We collected patient’s demographic data, nodules size, FNAB reports and final pathology (after surgery) reports from their medical records. All data were analyses performed by SPSS18.

          Results:

          167 patients (153 women) with mean age of 41.56±13.24 years old were enrolled for this study. In final pathology; 38 patients (22.8%) had malignant nodules. The mean age of patients with or without malignant nodules were 34.93±11.86 and 42.37±12.26 years old, respectively (P=0.002). The mean size of benign and malignant nodules were 2.91±1.29 cm and 3.38±1.86 cm, respectively (P=0.15). 25.2% of <4 cm nodules and 17.9% of ≥4 cm nodules were diagnosed as a malignant (P=0.29). FNAB was done on 95 patients that reported benign in 60 patients (63.2%), malignant in 18 patients (18.9%) and suspicious in 17 patients (17.9%). Positive and negative results of FNAB in all nodules were 3.5% and 6.3%, in <4cm nodules were 5.8% and 6.2% and in ≥4cm nodules were zero and 6.7%, respectively. The sensitivity, specificity, Positive predict value (PPV), negative predict value (NPV) and overall accuracy (OA) of FNAB in all nodules were 76.19%, 96.49%, 88.88%, 91.66% and 91.02%, and in <4cm nodules were 78.57%, 94.11%, 84.61%, 91.42% and 89.58%, and in ≥4cm nodules were 71.4%, 100%, 100%, 92% and 93.33%, respectively.

          Conclusion:

          the results of this study revealed that the size of the thyroid nodules is not reliable at predicting malignancy and should not be applied in medical decision making. FNAB showed good specificity but the sensitivity was low in our study. In ≥4cm nodules; FNAB sensitivity was decreased and accompanied by higher false-negative results. Furthermore, FNABs with suspicious results were associated with high probability of malignancy.

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          Most cited references29

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          The accuracy of thyroid nodule ultrasound to predict thyroid cancer: systematic review and meta-analysis.

          Significant uncertainty remains surrounding the diagnostic accuracy of sonographic features used to predict the malignant potential of thyroid nodules. The objective of the study was to summarize the available literature related to the accuracy of thyroid nodule ultrasound (US) in the prediction of thyroid cancer. We searched multiple databases and reference lists for cohort studies that enrolled adults with thyroid nodules with reported diagnostic measures of sonography. A total of 14 relevant US features were analyzed. We included 31 studies between 1985 and 2012 (number of nodules studied 18,288; average size 15 mm). The frequency of thyroid cancer was 20%. The most common type of cancer was papillary thyroid cancer (84%). The US nodule features with the highest diagnostic odds ratio for malignancy was being taller than wider [11.14 (95% confidence interval 6.6-18.9)]. Conversely, the US nodule features with the highest diagnostic odds ratio for benign nodules was spongiform appearance [12 (95% confidence interval 0.61-234.3)]. Heterogeneity across studies was substantial. Estimates of accuracy depended on the experience of the physician interpreting the US, the type of cancer and nodule (indeterminate), and type of reference standard. In a threshold model, spongiform appearance and cystic nodules were the only two features that, if present, could have avoided the use of fine-needle aspiration biopsy. Low- to moderate-quality evidence suggests that individual ultrasound features are not accurate predictors of thyroid cancer. Two features, cystic content and spongiform appearance, however, might predict benign nodules, but this has limited applicability to clinical practice due to their infrequent occurrence.
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            Prevalence and distribution of carcinoma in patients with solitary and multiple thyroid nodules on sonography.

            Controversy remains as to the optimal management of patients with multiple thyroid nodules. The objective of this study was to determine the prevalence, distribution, and sonographic features of thyroid cancer in patients with solitary and multiple thyroid nodules. We describe a retrospective observational cohort study that was carried out from 1995 to 2003. The study was conducted in a tertiary care hospital. Patients with one or more thyroid nodules larger than 10 mm in diameter who had ultrasound-guided fine needle aspiration (FNA) were included in the study. The main outcome measures were prevalence and distribution of thyroid cancer and the predictive value of demographic and sonographic features. A total of 1985 patients underwent FNA of 3483 nodules. The prevalence of thyroid cancer was similar between patients with a solitary nodule (175 of 1181 patients, 14.8%) and patients with multiple nodules (120 of 804, 14.9%) (P = 0.95, chi(2)). A solitary nodule had a higher likelihood of malignancy than a nonsolitary nodule (P < 0.01). In patients with multiple nodules larger than 10 mm, cancer was multifocal in 46%, and 72% of cancers occurred in the largest nodule. Multiple logistic regression analysis of statistically significant features demonstrates that the combination of patient gender (P < 0.02), whether a nodule is solitary vs. one of multiple (P < 0.002), nodule composition (P < 0.01), and presence of calcifications (P < 0.001) can be used to assign risk of cancer to each individual nodule. Risk ranges from a 48% likelihood of malignancy in a solitary solid nodule with punctate calcifications in a man to less than 3% in a noncalcified predominantly cystic nodule in a woman. In a patient with one or more thyroid nodules larger than 10 mm in diameter, the likelihood of thyroid cancer per patient is independent of the number of nodules, whereas the likelihood per nodule decreases as the number of nodules increases. For exclusion of cancer in a thyroid with multiple nodules larger than 10 mm, up to four nodules should be considered for FNA. Sonographic characteristics can be used to prioritize nodules for FNA based on their individual risk of cancer.
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              Thyroid nodule size and prediction of cancer.

              Thyroid nodule size is routinely measured, although its impact on thyroid cancer risk is unclear.
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                Author and article information

                Journal
                Acta Inform Med
                Acta Inform Med
                AIM
                Acta Informatica Medica
                AVICENA, d.o.o., Sarajevo (Bosnia and Herzegovina )
                0353-8109
                1986-5988
                October 2016
                01 November 2016
                : 24
                : 5
                : 347-350
                Affiliations
                [1 ]Department of Thoracic Surgery, School of Medicine, Mazandaran University of Medical Sciences, Sari, Iran
                [2 ]Department of Endocrinology, Imam Khomeini Hospital, Mazandaran University of Medical Sciences, Sari, Iran
                [3 ]Department of General Surgery, School of Medicine, Mazandaran University of Medical Sciences, Sari, Iran
                [4 ]Young Researcher and Elite Club, Kazerun Branch, Islamic Azad University, Kazerun, Iran
                [5 ]Jupiter Medical Group, Meadow Springs Medical Center, WA, Australia
                [6 ]Valiasr Hospital of Kazeroon, Shiraz University of Medical Sciences, Shiraz, Iran
                Author notes
                Corresponding author: Mehran Fazli. Young Researcher and Elite Club, Kazerun Branch, Islamic Azad University, Kazerun, Iran. Tel.: +989111588904. E-mail: mehran222@ 123456gmail.com
                Article
                AIM-24-347
                10.5455/aim.2016.24.347-350
                5203751
                28077891
                8bbc9716-c28d-4f1a-8459-9f838f53a97b
                Copyright: © 2016 Gholamali Godazandeh, Zahra Kashi, Sadegh Zargarnataj, Mehran Fazli, Robab Ebadi, and Ensiyeh Hajializadeh Kerdabadi

                This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution Non-Commercial License ( http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/) which permits unrestricted non-commercial use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.

                History
                : 25 August 2016
                : 10 October 2016
                Categories
                Original Paper

                Bioinformatics & Computational biology
                thyroid cancer,thyroid nodules,fine needle aspiration biopsy

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