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      The effect of volcanic eruptions on global precipitation : VOLCANOES AND PRECIPITATION

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      Journal: Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres
      Publisher: Wiley-Blackwell

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          Constraints on future changes in climate and the hydrologic cycle.

          Myles Allen, William J. Ingram (2002)
          What can we say about changes in the hydrologic cycle on 50-year timescales when we cannot predict rainfall next week? Eventually, perhaps, a great deal: the overall climate response to increasing atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases may prove much simpler and more predictable than the chaos of short-term weather. Quantifying the diversity of possible responses is essential for any objective, probability-based climate forecast, and this task will require a new generation of climate modelling experiments, systematically exploring the range of model behaviour that is consistent with observations. It will be substantially harder to quantify the range of possible changes in the hydrologic cycle than in global-mean temperature, both because the observations are less complete and because the physical constraints are weaker.
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            The simulation of SST, sea ice extents and ocean heat transports in a version of the Hadley Centre coupled model without flux adjustments

            C Gordon, Scott Cooper, C. Senior … (2000)
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              ENSO-like Interdecadal Variability: 1900–93

              Yuan Zhang, John M Wallace, David S. Battisti … (1997)
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                Author and article information

                Journal
                Title: Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres
                Abbreviated Title: J. Geophys. Res. Atmos.
                Publisher: Wiley-Blackwell
                ISSN: 2169897X
                Publication date Created: August 27 2013
                Publication date (Print): August 27 2013
                Volume: 118
                Issue: 16
                Pages: 8770-8786
                Article
                DOI: 10.1002/jgrd.50678
                SO-VID: 8c1abaa5-4387-40b3-a278-bc02ba5b7f1f
                Copyright © © 2013
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                http://doi.wiley.com/10.1002/tdm_license_1

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