Martin Dres 1 , 2 , Pierre Hausfater 3 , 4 , Frantz Foissac 5 , 6 , Maguy Bernard 7 , Luc-Marie Joly 8 , Mustapha Sebbane 9 , Anne-Laure Philippon 3 , 4 , Cédric Gil-Jardiné 10 , Jeannot Schmidt 11 , Maxime Maignan 12 , Jean-Marc Treluyer 13 , Nicolas Roche 14 , 15
31 March 2017
Exacerbations of COPD (ECOPD) are a frequent cause of emergency room (ER) visits. Predictors of early outcome could help clinicians in orientation decisions. In the current study, we investigated whether mid-regional pro-adrenomedullin (MR-proADM) and copeptin, in addition to clinical evaluation, could predict short-term outcomes.
This prospective blinded observational study was conducted in 20 French centers. Patients admitted to the ER for an ECOPD were considered for inclusion. A clinical risk score was calculated, and MR-proADM and copeptin levels were determined from a venous blood sample. The composite primary end point comprised 30-day death or transfer to the intensive care unit or a new ER visit.
A total of 379 patients were enrolled in the study, of whom 277 were eventually investigated for the primary end point that occurred in 66 (24%) patients. In those patients, the median (interquartile range [IQR]) MR-proADM level was 1.02 nmol/L (0.77–1.48) versus 0.83 nmol/L (0.63–1.07) in patients who did not meet the primary end point ( P=0.0009). In contrast, copeptin levels were similar in patients who met or did not meet the primary end point ( P=0.23). MR-proADM levels increased with increasing clinical risk score category: 0.74 nmol/L (0.57–0.89), 0.83 nmol/L (0.62–1.12) and 0.95 nmol/L (0.75–1.29) for the low-, intermediate- and high-risk categories, respectively ( P<0.001). MR-proADM was independently associated with the primary end point (odds ratio, 1.65; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.10–2.48; P=0.015). MR-proADM predicted the occurrence of primary end point with a sensitivity of 46% (95% CI, 33%–58%) and a specificity of 79% (95% CI, 74–84).