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      Risk stratification for sudden cardiac death: current status and challenges for the future

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          Abstract

          Sudden cardiac death (SCD) remains a daunting problem. It is a major public health issue for several reasons: from its prevalence (20% of total mortality in the industrialized world) to the devastating psycho-social impact on society and on the families of victims often still in their prime, and it represents a challenge for medicine, and especially for cardiology. This text summarizes the discussions and opinions of a group of investigators with a long-standing interest in this field. We addressed the occurrence of SCD in individuals apparently healthy, in patients with heart disease and mild or severe cardiac dysfunction, and in those with genetically based arrhythmic diseases. Recognizing the need for more accurate registries of the global and regional distribution of SCD in these different categories, we focused on the assessment of risk for SCD in these four groups, looking at the significance of alterations in cardiac function, of signs of electrical instability identified by ECG abnormalities or by autonomic tests, and of the progressive impact of genetic screening. Special attention was given to the identification of areas of research more or less likely to provide useful information, and thereby more or less suitable for the investment of time and of research funds.

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          Most cited references109

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          Baroreflex sensitivity and heart-rate variability in prediction of total cardiac mortality after myocardial infarction. ATRAMI (Autonomic Tone and Reflexes After Myocardial Infarction) Investigators.

          Experimental evidence suggests that autonomic markers such as heart-rate variability and baroreflex sensitivity (BRS) may contribute to postinfarction risk stratification. There are clinical data to support this concept for heart-rate variability. The main objective of the ATRAMI study was to provide prospective data on the additional and independent prognostic value for cardiac mortality of heart-rate variability and BRS in patients after myocardial infarction in whom left-ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) and ventricular arrhythmias were known. This multicentre international prospective study enrolled 1284 patients with a recent ( 105 ms, BRS >6.1 ms per mm Hg). The association of low SDNN or BRS with LVEF below 35% carried a relative risk of 6.7 (3.1-14.6) or 8.7 (4.3-17.6), respectively, compared with patients with LVEF above 35% and less compromised SDNN (> or = 70 ms) and BRS (> or = 3 ms per mm Hg). ATRAMI provides clinical evidence that after myocardial infarction the analysis of vagal reflexes has significant prognostic value independently of LVEF and of ventricular arrhythmias and that it significantly adds to the prognostic value of heart-rate variability.
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            The worldwide environment of cardiovascular disease: prevalence, diagnosis, therapy, and policy issues: a report from the American College of Cardiology.

            The environment in which the field of cardiology finds itself has been rapidly changing. This supplement, an expansion of a report created for the Board of Trustees, is intended to provide a timely snapshot of the socio-economic, political, and scientific aspects of this environment as it applies to practice both in the United States and internationally. This publication should assist healthcare professionals looking for the most recent statistics on cardiovascular disease and the risk factors that contribute to it, drug and device trends affecting the industry, and how the practice of cardiology is changing in the United States. Copyright © 2012 American College of Cardiology Foundation. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
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              Power spectrum analysis of heart rate variability to assess the changes in sympathovagal balance during graded orthostatic tilt.

              The powers of the low-frequency (LF) and high-frequency (HF) oscillations characterizing heart rate variability (HRV) appear to reflect, in their reciprocal relationship, changes in the state of the sympathovagal balance occurring during numerous physiological and pathophysiological conditions. However, no adequate information is available on the quantitative resolution of this methodology. We studied 22 healthy volunteers (median age, 46.5 years) who were subjected after a rest period to a series of passive head-up tilt steps randomly chosen from the following angles: 15 degrees, 30 degrees, 45 degrees, 60 degrees, and 90 degrees. From the continuous ECG, after appropriate analog-to-digital conversion, a personal computer was used to compute, with an autoregressive methodology, time and frequency domain indexes of RR interval variability. Spectral and cross-spectral analysis with the simultaneously recorded respiratory signal excluded its contribution to LF. Age was significantly correlated to variance and to the absolute values in milliseconds squared of very-low-frequency (VLF), LF, and HF components. The tilt angle was correlated to both LF and HF (expressed in normalized units [nu]) and to the LF-to-HF ratio (r = .78, -.72, and .68; respectively). Lower levels of correlation were found with HF (in ms2) and RR interval. No correlation was present between tilt angle and variance, VLF, or LF (in ms2). Individual analysis confirmed that the use of nu provided the greatest consistency of results. Spectral analysis of HRV, using nu or LF-to-HF ratio, appears to be capable of providing a noninvasive quantitative evaluation of graded changes in the state of the sympathovagal balance.
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                Author and article information

                Journal
                Eur Heart J
                Eur. Heart J
                eurheartj
                ehj
                European Heart Journal
                Oxford University Press
                0195-668X
                1522-9645
                01 July 2014
                05 May 2014
                05 May 2014
                : 35
                : 25
                : 1642-1651
                Affiliations
                [1 ]Cardiovascular Research Center , Maastricht, The Netherlands
                [2 ]IRCCS Istituto Auxologico Italiano, Center for Cardiac Arrhythmias of Genetic Origin , Milan, Italy
                [3 ]Medtronic Bakken Research Center , Maastricht, The Netherlands
                [4 ]Cardiovascular Division, Department of Medicine, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center , Boston, MA, USA
                [5 ]Division of Cardiology, Bluhm Cardiovascular Institute, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine , Chicago, IL, USA
                [6 ]Division of Clinical Electrophysiology, Department of Cardiology, J. W. Goethe University , Frankfurt, Germany
                [7 ]Medical Research Center Oulu, University and University Hospital of Oulu , Oulu, Finland
                [8 ]Department of Medicine I, University Hospital, Ludwig-Maximilians-University , Münich, Germany
                [9 ]DZHK (German Centre for Cardiovascular Research), Partner Site Münich Heart Alliance , Münich, Germany
                [10 ]Department of Cardiology, Fondazione ‘Salvatore Maugeri’, IRCCS, Istituto Scientifico di Montescano , Montescano, Pavia, Italy
                [11 ]St Paul's Cardiac Electrophysiology, University of London and Imperial College , London, UK
                [12 ]Cardiovascular Division, Department of Medicine, University of Miami Miller School of Medicine , Miami, FL, USA
                [13 ]Thoraxcentrum, Erasmus MC, Cardiology, Rotterdam, The Netherlands
                [14 ]University of Gothenburg , Gothenburg, Sweden
                [15 ]Department of Cardiology, Academic Medical Center, University of Amsterdam , Amsterdam, The Netherlands
                [16 ]University Medical Center Groningen , Groningen, The Netherlands
                [17 ]Department of Clinical and Experimental Cardiology, Academic Medical Center , Amsterdam, The Netherlands
                [18 ]Princess Al Jawhara Albrahim Centre of Excellence in Research of Hereditary Disorders, King Abdulaziz University , Jeddah, Saudi Arabia
                Author notes
                [* ]Corresponding author. Tel: +39 0255000408, Fax: +39 0255000411, Email: peter.schwartz@ 123456unipv.it
                [†]

                This report summarizes the outcome of a workshop held in Maastricht, The Netherlands on 24–26 April 2013. The need for the workshop was proposed by Fred W. Lindemans, Peter J. Schwartz and Hein J.J. Wellens, who co-chaired the meeting. All participants in the workshop have co-authored the report. The workshop was funded by an educational grant from Medtronic Europe, Tolochenaz, Switzerland, and its organization was professionally handled by Marie-Jeanne Kramer.

                [‡]

                H.J.J.W. and P.J.S. are co-equal first authors.

                Article
                ehu176
                10.1093/eurheartj/ehu176
                4076664
                24801071
                8c41f592-c335-4c15-a2fa-5f3ee864ff8d
                © The Author 2014. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the European Society of Cardiology.

                This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution Non-Commercial License ( http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/3.0/), which permits non-commercial re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. For commercial re-use, please contact journals.permissions@ 123456oup.com

                History
                : 25 October 2013
                : 17 December 2013
                : 27 January 2014
                Categories
                Reviews

                Cardiovascular Medicine
                sudden cardiac death,risk stratification,electrical instability,autonomic nervous system,cardiac function ,genetics

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