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      Ecological niche modeling of sympatric krill predators around Marguerite Bay, Western Antarctic Peninsula

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          Spatially autocorrelated sampling falsely inflates measures of accuracy for presence-only niche models

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            Marine pelagic ecosystems: the west Antarctic Peninsula.

            The marine ecosystem of the West Antarctic Peninsula (WAP) extends from the Bellingshausen Sea to the northern tip of the peninsula and from the mostly glaciated coast across the continental shelf to the shelf break in the west. The glacially sculpted coastline along the peninsula is highly convoluted and characterized by deep embayments that are often interconnected by channels that facilitate transport of heat and nutrients into the shelf domain. The ecosystem is divided into three subregions, the continental slope, shelf and coastal regions, each with unique ocean dynamics, water mass and biological distributions. The WAP shelf lies within the Antarctic Sea Ice Zone (SIZ) and like other SIZs, the WAP system is very productive, supporting large stocks of marine mammals, birds and the Antarctic krill, Euphausia superba. Ecosystem dynamics is dominated by the seasonal and interannual variation in sea ice extent and retreat. The Antarctic Peninsula is one among the most rapidly warming regions on Earth, having experienced a 2 degrees C increase in the annual mean temperature and a 6 degrees C rise in the mean winter temperature since 1950. Delivery of heat from the Antarctic Circumpolar Current has increased significantly in the past decade, sufficient to drive to a 0.6 degrees C warming of the upper 300 m of shelf water. In the past 50 years and continuing in the twenty-first century, the warm, moist maritime climate of the northern WAP has been migrating south, displacing the once dominant cold, dry continental Antarctic climate and causing multi-level responses in the marine ecosystem. Ecosystem responses to the regional warming include increased heat transport, decreased sea ice extent and duration, local declines in icedependent Adélie penguins, increase in ice-tolerant gentoo and chinstrap penguins, alterations in phytoplankton and zooplankton community composition and changes in krill recruitment, abundance and availability to predators. The climate/ecological gradients extending along the WAP and the presence of monitoring systems, field stations and long-term research programmes make the region an invaluable observatory of climate change and marine ecosystem response.
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              The importance of oceanographic fronts to marine birds and mammals of the southern oceans

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                Author and article information

                Journal
                Deep Sea Research Part II: Topical Studies in Oceanography
                Deep Sea Research Part II: Topical Studies in Oceanography
                Elsevier BV
                09670645
                July 2011
                July 2011
                : 58
                : 13-16
                : 1729-1740
                Article
                10.1016/j.dsr2.2010.11.018
                8f108d53-8165-4cdc-ba63-36b79e3e68cd
                © 2011

                http://www.elsevier.com/tdm/userlicense/1.0/

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