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      Subnational violent conflict forecasts for sub-Saharan Africa, 2015–65, using climate-sensitive models

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          The Community Earth System Model: A Framework for Collaborative Research

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            A new scenario framework for climate change research: the concept of shared socioeconomic pathways

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              Bayesian estimation supersedes the t test.

              Bayesian estimation for 2 groups provides complete distributions of credible values for the effect size, group means and their difference, standard deviations and their difference, and the normality of the data. The method handles outliers. The decision rule can accept the null value (unlike traditional t tests) when certainty in the estimate is high (unlike Bayesian model comparison using Bayes factors). The method also yields precise estimates of statistical power for various research goals. The software and programs are free and run on Macintosh, Windows, and Linux platforms. PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2013 APA, all rights reserved.
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                Author and article information

                Journal
                Journal of Peace Research
                Journal of Peace Research
                SAGE Publications
                0022-3433
                1460-3578
                March 16 2017
                February 22 2017
                : 54
                : 2
                : 175-192
                Article
                10.1177/0022343316682064
                9317b941-f889-4699-bbba-a425fce04ec9
                © 2017
                History

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