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      Environmental impact of exhaust emissions by Arctic shipping

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      , ,
      Ambio
      Springer Netherlands
      Air pollution, Arctic shipping, Climate change, Environment, NSR

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          Abstract

          Since 2005, a dramatic decline of the Arctic sea-ice extent is observed which results in an increase of shipping activities. Even though this provides commercial and social development opportunities, the resulting environmental impacts need to be investigated and monitored. In order to understand the impact of shipping in arctic areas, the method described in this paper determines the travel time, fuel consumption and resulting exhaust emissions of ships navigating in arctic waters. The investigated case studies are considering ship particulars as well as environmental conditions with special focus on ice scenarios. Travel time, fuel consumption and exhaust gas emission were investigated for three different vessels, using different passages of the Northern Sea Route (NSR) in different seasons of years 1960, 2000 and 2040. The presented results show the sensitivity of vessel performance and amount of exhaust emissions to optimize arctic traffic with respect to efficiency, safety and environmental impact.

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          Most cited references5

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          An Overview of CMIP5 and the Experiment Design

          The fifth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) will produce a state-of-the- art multimodel dataset designed to advance our knowledge of climate variability and climate change. Researchers worldwide are analyzing the model output and will produce results likely to underlie the forthcoming Fifth Assessment Report by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Unprecedented in scale and attracting interest from all major climate modeling groups, CMIP5 includes “long term” simulations of twentieth-century climate and projections for the twenty-first century and beyond. Conventional atmosphere–ocean global climate models and Earth system models of intermediate complexity are for the first time being joined by more recently developed Earth system models under an experiment design that allows both types of models to be compared to observations on an equal footing. Besides the longterm experiments, CMIP5 calls for an entirely new suite of “near term” simulations focusing on recent decades and the future to year 2035. These “decadal predictions” are initialized based on observations and will be used to explore the predictability of climate and to assess the forecast system's predictive skill. The CMIP5 experiment design also allows for participation of stand-alone atmospheric models and includes a variety of idealized experiments that will improve understanding of the range of model responses found in the more complex and realistic simulations. An exceptionally comprehensive set of model output is being collected and made freely available to researchers through an integrated but distributed data archive. For researchers unfamiliar with climate models, the limitations of the models and experiment design are described.
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            Arctic sea-ice evolution as modeled by Max Planck Institute for Meteorology's Earth system model

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              Emissions from international shipping: 2. Impact of future technologies on scenarios until 2050

              V. Eyring (2005)
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                Author and article information

                Contributors
                schroeder@hsva.de
                reimer@hsva.de
                jochmann@hsva.de
                Journal
                Ambio
                Ambio
                Ambio
                Springer Netherlands (Dordrecht )
                0044-7447
                1654-7209
                24 October 2017
                24 October 2017
                December 2017
                : 46
                : Suppl 3
                : 400-409
                Affiliations
                GRID grid.28121.38, Hamburgische Schiffbau-Versuchsanstalt GmbH, The Hamburg Ship Model Basin, ; Bramfelder Straße 164, 22305 Hamburg, Germany
                Article
                956
                10.1007/s13280-017-0956-0
                5673872
                29067640
                93337257-0a4a-476d-832f-0bfb2d461ed6
                © The Author(s) 2017

                Open AccessThis article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License ( http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made.

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                © Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences 2017

                Sociology
                air pollution,arctic shipping,climate change,environment,nsr
                Sociology
                air pollution, arctic shipping, climate change, environment, nsr

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