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      Disease course of non-radiographic axial spondyloarthritis: Data from a long-term retrospective observational cohort

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          Abstract

          Background

          Disease course of non-radiographic axial spondyloarthritis (axSpA) has been extensively studied in non-Asian population; however, there are limited data in Asian population. This study aimed to evaluate the long-term disease course of non-radiographic axSpA in Asian patients and identify factors associated with progression to radiographic axSpA.

          Methods

          In this retrospective observational cohort study, 56 Korean patients newly diagnosed with non-radiographic axSpA between 2006 and 2015 were included. All patients fulfilled the Assessment of SpondyloArthritis international Society classification criteria for axSpA, and did not fulfil the radiological criterion of the 1984 modified New York criteria. Disease course was assessed by the rate of progression to radiographic axSpA. Factors associated with the risk of progression to radiographic axSpA were assessed using multivariable Cox proportional hazard regression analysis.

          Results

          The mean age at baseline was 31.4±13.3 years, and 37 (66.1%) patients were men. Over a mean observation period of 8.4±3.7 years, 28 (50.0%) patients progressed to radiographic axSpA. In multivariable Cox proportional hazard regression analysis, the presence of syndesmophytes at diagnosis (adjusted hazard ratio [HR]: 4.50, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.54–13.15, p = 0.006) and active sacroiliitis on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) at diagnosis (adjusted HR: 5.88, 95% CI: 2.05–16.82, p = 0.001) were significantly associated with a higher risk of progression to radiographic axSpA, whereas longer exposure to tumor necrosis factor inhibitors (TNFis) was significantly associated with a lower risk of progression to radiographic axSpA (adjusted HR: 0.89, 95% CI: 0.80–0.98, p = 0.022).

          Conclusion

          During long-term follow-up, a substantial proportion of Asian patients with non-radiographic axSpA progressed to radiographic axSpA. The presence of syndesmophytes and active sacroiliitis on MRI at the time of non-radiographic axSpA diagnosis were associated with a higher risk of progression to radiographic axSpA, while longer exposure to TNFis was associated with a lower risk of progression to radiographic axSpA.

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          Most cited references31

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          The development of Assessment of SpondyloArthritis international Society classification criteria for axial spondyloarthritis (part II): validation and final selection.

          To validate and refine two sets of candidate criteria for the classification/diagnosis of axial spondyloarthritis (SpA). All Assessment of SpondyloArthritis international Society (ASAS) members were invited to include consecutively new patients with chronic (> or =3 months) back pain of unknown origin that began before 45 years of age. The candidate criteria were first tested in the entire cohort of 649 patients from 25 centres, and then refined in a random selection of 40% of cases and thereafter validated in the remaining 60%. Upon diagnostic work-up, axial SpA was diagnosed in 60.2% of the cohort. Of these, 70% did not fulfil modified New York criteria and, therefore, were classified as having "non-radiographic" axial SpA. Refinement of the candidate criteria resulted in new ASAS classification criteria that are defined as: the presence of sacroiliitis by radiography or by magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) plus at least one SpA feature ("imaging arm") or the presence of HLA-B27 plus at least two SpA features ("clinical arm"). The sensitivity and specificity of the entire set of the new criteria were 82.9% and 84.4%, and for the imaging arm alone 66.2% and 97.3%, respectively. The specificity of the new criteria was much better than that of the European Spondylarthropathy Study Group criteria modified for MRI (sensitivity 85.1%, specificity 65.1%) and slightly better than that of the modified Amor criteria (sensitivity 82.9, specificity 77.5%). The new ASAS classification criteria for axial SpA can reliably classify patients for clinical studies and may help rheumatologists in clinical practice in diagnosing axial SpA in those with chronic back pain. NCT00328068.
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            Evaluation of diagnostic criteria for ankylosing spondylitis. A proposal for modification of the New York criteria.

            The New York and the Rome diagnostic criteria for ankylosing spondylitis (AS) and the clinical history screening test for AS were evaluated in relatives of AS patients and in population control subjects. The New York criterion of pain in the (dorso) lumbar spine lacks specificity, and the chest expansion criterion is too insensitive. The Rome criterion of low back pain for more than 3 months is very useful. Our study showed the clinical history screening test for AS to be moderately sensitive, but it might be better in clinical practice. As a modification of the New York criteria, substitution of the Rome pain criterion for the New York pain criterion is proposed.
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              Axial spondyloarthritis.

              The term axial spondyloarthritis covers both patients with non-radiographic and radiographic axial spondyloarthritis, which is also termed ankylosing spondylitis. The disease usually starts in the third decade of life with a male to female ratio of two to one for radiographic axial spondyloarthritis and of one to one for non-radiographic axial spondyloarthritis. More than 90% heritabilty has been estimated, the highest genetic association being with HLA-B27. The pathogenic role of HLA-B27 is still not clear although various hypotheses are available. On the basis of evidence from trials the cytokines tumour necrosis factor (TNF)-α and interleukin-17 appear to have a relevant role in pathogenesis. The mechanisms of interaction between inflammation and new bone formation is still not completely understood but clarification will be important for the prevention of long-term structural damage of the bone. The development of new criteria for classification and for screening of patients with axial spondyloarthritis have been crucial for the early indentification and treatment of such patients, with MRI being the most important existing imaging method. Non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs and TNF blockers are effective therapies. Blockade of interleukin-17 is a new and relevant treatment option.
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                Author and article information

                Contributors
                Role: ConceptualizationRole: Data curationRole: Formal analysisRole: Funding acquisitionRole: InvestigationRole: MethodologyRole: ResourcesRole: SoftwareRole: VisualizationRole: Writing – original draftRole: Writing – review & editing
                Role: ConceptualizationRole: Data curationRole: Formal analysisRole: Funding acquisitionRole: InvestigationRole: MethodologyRole: Project administrationRole: ResourcesRole: SoftwareRole: SupervisionRole: ValidationRole: VisualizationRole: Writing – review & editing
                Role: ConceptualizationRole: Data curationRole: Formal analysisRole: InvestigationRole: MethodologyRole: Project administrationRole: ResourcesRole: SoftwareRole: SupervisionRole: ValidationRole: VisualizationRole: Writing – review & editing
                Role: Editor
                Journal
                PLoS One
                PLoS One
                plos
                PLOS ONE
                Public Library of Science (San Francisco, CA USA )
                1932-6203
                30 June 2023
                2023
                : 18
                : 6
                : e0288153
                Affiliations
                [1 ] Division of Rheumatology, Department of Internal Medicine, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea
                [2 ] Division of Rheumatology, Department of Internal Medicine, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Asan Medical Center, Seoul, South Korea
                [3 ] Convergence Medicine Research Center, Asan Institution for Life Science, Asan Medical Center, Seoul, South Korea
                Beni-Suef University, EGYPT
                Author notes

                Competing Interests: The authors have declared that no competing interests exist.

                Author information
                https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7962-3697
                Article
                PONE-D-22-33626
                10.1371/journal.pone.0288153
                10313044
                96b5dca7-f96a-4a71-bf99-ec96d014426c
                © 2023 Kwon et al

                This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.

                History
                : 7 December 2022
                : 20 June 2023
                Page count
                Figures: 0, Tables: 3, Pages: 11
                Funding
                Funded by: Seyoung Association (SYH) research grant from Department of Internal Medicine, Gangnam Severance Hospital
                Award ID: 2019-GNS-001
                Award Recipient :
                Funded by: National Research Foundation of Korea
                Award ID: NRF-2021M3A9G1026605
                Award Recipient :
                Oh Chan Kwon received grants from the Seyoung Association (SYH) research grant from Department of Internal Medicine, Gangnam Severance Hospital (2019-GNS-001). Yong-Gil Kim received grants from the National Research Foundation of Korea (NRF-2021M3A9G1026605). The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.
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