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      The linkage of depressive and anxiety disorders with the expected labor market affiliation (ELMA): a longitudinal multi-state study of Danish employees

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          Abstract

          Objective

          Depressive and anxiety disorders are prevalent among employees in general. Still, knowledge regarding the contribution of these disorders to the dynamics of the labor market in terms of working time, sickness absence, and unemployment is scarce. We aim to quantify the linkage of depressive and anxiety disorders with labor market participation using the expected labor market affiliation method (ELMA), in a large sample of Danish employees.

          Methods

          We combined three survey waves on occupational health with six high-quality national registers in N = 43,148 Danish employees, of which the 2012 survey contributed 29,665 person years, the 2014 survey 33,043 person years, and the 2016 survey 35,375 person years. We used the new ELMA method to estimate the multi-state transition probabilities and 2-year expected time in work, sickness absence, and unemployment. Depressive and anxiety disorders were assessed by the Major Depression Inventory and the SCL-ANX4 scales, respectively. We adjusted for multiple variables by applying inverse probability weighting in groups of gender and age.

          Results

          Depressive and anxiety disorders among employees link to reduced labor market affiliation by significantly changed transitions probabilities between the labor markets states, viewed as reduced working time by 4–51 days (in two years), increased time in sickness absence by 6–44 days (in two years), and unemployment by 6–12 days (in two years) when compared to employees without depression or anxiety disorders. The results were most pronounced for women employees and for employees with both depression and anxiety disorders.

          Conclusions

          The study reveals detailed insight into what extent depression and anxiety disorders influence the labor market affiliation, in terms of the complex interrelation between working time, sickness absence, and unemployment. The study emphasizes the importance of preventing and handling depressive and anxiety disorders among employees for strengthening work participation.

          Supplementary Information

          The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s00420-022-01906-z.

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          Most cited references32

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          Global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability for 310 diseases and injuries, 1990–2015: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015

          Background Non-fatal outcomes of disease and injury increasingly detract from the ability of the world's population to live in full health, a trend largely attributable to an epidemiological transition in many countries from causes affecting children, to non-communicable diseases (NCDs) more common in adults. For the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2015 (GBD 2015), we estimated the incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability for diseases and injuries at the global, regional, and national scale over the period of 1990 to 2015. Methods We estimated incidence and prevalence by age, sex, cause, year, and geography with a wide range of updated and standardised analytical procedures. Improvements from GBD 2013 included the addition of new data sources, updates to literature reviews for 85 causes, and the identification and inclusion of additional studies published up to November, 2015, to expand the database used for estimation of non-fatal outcomes to 60 900 unique data sources. Prevalence and incidence by cause and sequelae were determined with DisMod-MR 2.1, an improved version of the DisMod-MR Bayesian meta-regression tool first developed for GBD 2010 and GBD 2013. For some causes, we used alternative modelling strategies where the complexity of the disease was not suited to DisMod-MR 2.1 or where incidence and prevalence needed to be determined from other data. For GBD 2015 we created a summary indicator that combines measures of income per capita, educational attainment, and fertility (the Socio-demographic Index [SDI]) and used it to compare observed patterns of health loss to the expected pattern for countries or locations with similar SDI scores. Findings We generated 9·3 billion estimates from the various combinations of prevalence, incidence, and YLDs for causes, sequelae, and impairments by age, sex, geography, and year. In 2015, two causes had acute incidences in excess of 1 billion: upper respiratory infections (17·2 billion, 95% uncertainty interval [UI] 15·4–19·2 billion) and diarrhoeal diseases (2·39 billion, 2·30–2·50 billion). Eight causes of chronic disease and injury each affected more than 10% of the world's population in 2015: permanent caries, tension-type headache, iron-deficiency anaemia, age-related and other hearing loss, migraine, genital herpes, refraction and accommodation disorders, and ascariasis. The impairment that affected the greatest number of people in 2015 was anaemia, with 2·36 billion (2·35–2·37 billion) individuals affected. The second and third leading impairments by number of individuals affected were hearing loss and vision loss, respectively. Between 2005 and 2015, there was little change in the leading causes of years lived with disability (YLDs) on a global basis. NCDs accounted for 18 of the leading 20 causes of age-standardised YLDs on a global scale. Where rates were decreasing, the rate of decrease for YLDs was slower than that of years of life lost (YLLs) for nearly every cause included in our analysis. For low SDI geographies, Group 1 causes typically accounted for 20–30% of total disability, largely attributable to nutritional deficiencies, malaria, neglected tropical diseases, HIV/AIDS, and tuberculosis. Lower back and neck pain was the leading global cause of disability in 2015 in most countries. The leading cause was sense organ disorders in 22 countries in Asia and Africa and one in central Latin America; diabetes in four countries in Oceania; HIV/AIDS in three southern sub-Saharan African countries; collective violence and legal intervention in two north African and Middle Eastern countries; iron-deficiency anaemia in Somalia and Venezuela; depression in Uganda; onchoceriasis in Liberia; and other neglected tropical diseases in the Democratic Republic of the Congo. Interpretation Ageing of the world's population is increasing the number of people living with sequelae of diseases and injuries. Shifts in the epidemiological profile driven by socioeconomic change also contribute to the continued increase in years lived with disability (YLDs) as well as the rate of increase in YLDs. Despite limitations imposed by gaps in data availability and the variable quality of the data available, the standardised and comprehensive approach of the GBD study provides opportunities to examine broad trends, compare those trends between countries or subnational geographies, benchmark against locations at similar stages of development, and gauge the strength or weakness of the estimates available. Funding Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.
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            Comorbidity patterns of anxiety and depressive disorders in a large cohort study: the Netherlands Study of Depression and Anxiety (NESDA).

            Comorbidity of depressive and anxiety disorders is common and has been shown to be a consistent predictor of chronicity. Comorbidity patterns among specific depressive and anxiety disorders have not been extensively reported. This study examines comorbidity patterns and temporal sequencing of separate depressive and anxiety disorders using data from a large psychiatric cohort. Baseline data (N = 1,783) of the Netherlands Study of Depression and Anxiety, collected between September 2004 and February 2007, were used. Current and lifetime comorbidity rates for depressive and anxiety disorders (DSM-IV-TR criteria) were calculated. Associations of comorbidity with sociodemographic, vulnerability, and clinical characteristics, and temporal sequencing of disorders were examined. Of those with a depressive disorder, 67% had a current and 75% had a lifetime comorbid anxiety disorder. Of persons with a current anxiety disorder, 63% had a current and 81% had a lifetime depressive disorder. Comorbidity of depressive and anxiety disorders was associated with more childhood trauma (OR = 1.19; 95% CI, 1.06-1.33), higher neuroticism (OR = 1.05; 95% CI, 1.02-1.08), earlier age at onset of first disorder (OR = 1.59; 95% CI, 1.22-2.07), longer duration of depressive and/or anxiety symptoms (OR = 1.01; 95% CI, 1.01-1.01), and higher symptom severity (ORs ranging from 1.01 to 1.03; all P values < .05). In 57% of comorbid cases, anxiety preceded depression, and in 18%, depression preceded anxiety. Comorbidity with preceding depression compared to preceding anxiety was associated with a shorter duration of symptoms of depressive and/or anxiety symptoms (OR = 0.99; 95% CI, 0.98-0.99), earlier age at first onset (OR = 0.46; 95% CI, 0.31-0.68), and fewer fear symptoms (OR = 0.98; 95% CI, 0.97-0.99). Comorbidity rates in anxiety and depressive disorders were very high, indicating that it is advisable to assess both disorders routinely regardless of the primary reason for consultation. This is especially important since comorbid patients showed a specific vulnerability pattern, with more childhood trauma, neuroticism, and higher severity and duration of symptoms. © Copyright 2011 Physicians Postgraduate Press, Inc.
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              The mstate package for estimation and prediction in non- and semi-parametric multi-state and competing risks models.

              In recent years, multi-state models have been studied widely in survival analysis. Despite their clear advantages, their use in biomedical and other applications has been rather limited so far. An important reason for this is the lack of flexible and user-friendly software for multi-state models. This paper introduces a package in R, called 'mstate', for each of the steps of the analysis of multi-state models. It can be applied to non- and semi-parametric models. The package contains functions to facilitate data preparation and flexible estimation of different types of covariate effects in the context of Cox regression models, functions to estimate patient-specific transition intensities, dynamic prediction probabilities and their associated standard errors (both Greenwood and Aalen-type). Competing risks models can also be analyzed by means of mstate, as they are a special type of multi-state models. The package is available from the R homepage http://cran.r-project.org. We give a self-contained account of the underlying mathematical theory, including a new asymptotic result for the cumulative hazard function and new recursive formulas for the calculation of the estimated standard errors of the estimated transition probabilities, and we illustrate the use of the key functions of the mstate package by the analysis of a reversible multi-state model describing survival of liver cirrhosis patients. Copyright 2010 Elsevier Ireland Ltd. All rights reserved.

                Author and article information

                Contributors
                jpe@nfa.dk
                Journal
                Int Arch Occup Environ Health
                Int Arch Occup Environ Health
                International Archives of Occupational and Environmental Health
                Springer Berlin Heidelberg (Berlin/Heidelberg )
                0340-0131
                1432-1246
                20 July 2022
                20 July 2022
                2023
                : 96
                : 1
                : 93-104
                Affiliations
                [1 ]GRID grid.418079.3, ISNI 0000 0000 9531 3915, National Research Centre for the Working Environment, ; Copenhagen, Denmark
                [2 ]GRID grid.4973.9, ISNI 0000 0004 0646 7373, The Danish Multiple Sclerosis Registry, , Copenhagen University Hospital, ; Copenhagen, Denmark
                [3 ]GRID grid.6975.d, ISNI 0000 0004 0410 5926, Finnish Institute of Occupational Health, ; Helsinki, Finland
                Author information
                http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4429-3485
                Article
                1906
                10.1007/s00420-022-01906-z
                9823083
                35857111
                9b8da3c2-3c0d-4afe-a453-1be23b82a75b
                © The Author(s) 2022

                Open AccessThis article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.

                History
                : 28 March 2022
                : 29 June 2022
                Funding
                Funded by: FundRef http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100004182, Nordisk Ministerråd;
                Award ID: 101250
                Award ID: 101250
                Award Recipient :
                Categories
                Original Article
                Custom metadata
                © Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature 2023

                Occupational & Environmental medicine
                multi-state,work,sickness absence,unemployment,mental disorders

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