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      Global Warming Pattern Formation: Sea Surface Temperature and Rainfall*

      , , , , ,

      Journal of Climate

      American Meteorological Society

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          Most cited references 59

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          ATMOSPHERIC TELECONNECTIONS FROM THE EQUATORIAL PACIFIC1

           J. BJERKNES (1969)
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            The Community Climate System Model Version 3 (CCSM3)

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              Constraints on future changes in climate and the hydrologic cycle.

              What can we say about changes in the hydrologic cycle on 50-year timescales when we cannot predict rainfall next week? Eventually, perhaps, a great deal: the overall climate response to increasing atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases may prove much simpler and more predictable than the chaos of short-term weather. Quantifying the diversity of possible responses is essential for any objective, probability-based climate forecast, and this task will require a new generation of climate modelling experiments, systematically exploring the range of model behaviour that is consistent with observations. It will be substantially harder to quantify the range of possible changes in the hydrologic cycle than in global-mean temperature, both because the observations are less complete and because the physical constraints are weaker.
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                Author and article information

                Journal
                Journal of Climate
                J. Climate
                American Meteorological Society
                0894-8755
                1520-0442
                February 2010
                February 2010
                : 23
                : 4
                : 966-986
                Article
                10.1175/2009JCLI3329.1
                © 2010

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