Protected areas (PAs) have been established to conserve tropical forests, but their
effectiveness at reducing deforestation is uncertain. To explore this issue, we combined
high resolution data of global forest loss over the period 2000–2012 with data on
PAs. For each PA we quantified forest loss within the PA, in buffer zones 1, 5, 10
and 15 km outside the PA boundary as well as a 1 km buffer within the PA boundary.
We analysed 3376 tropical and subtropical moist forest PAs in 56 countries over 4
continents. We found that 73% of PAs experienced substantial deforestation pressure,
with >0.1% a
−1 forest loss in the outer 1 km buffer. Forest loss within PAs was greatest in Asia
(0.25% a
−1) compared to Africa (0.1% a
−1), the Neotropics (0.1% a
−1) and Australasia (Australia and Papua New Guinea; 0.03% a
−1). We defined performance (
P) of a PA as the ratio of forest loss in the inner 1 km buffer compared to the loss
that would have occurred in the absence of the PA, calculated as the loss in the outer
1 km buffer corrected for any difference in deforestation pressure between the two
buffers. To remove the potential bias due to terrain, we analysed a subset of PAs
(n = 1804) where slope and elevation in inner and outer 1 km buffers were similar
(within 1° and 100 m, respectively). We found 41% of PAs in this subset reduced forest
loss in the inner buffer by at least 25% compared to the expected inner buffer forest
loss (P<0.75). Median performance (