427
views
0
recommends
+1 Recommend
0 collections
    0
    shares
      • Record: found
      • Abstract: found
      • Article: found
      Is Open Access

      Quantifying Long-Term Scientific Impact

      Preprint

      , ,

      Read this article at

      Bookmark
          There is no author summary for this article yet. Authors can add summaries to their articles on ScienceOpen to make them more accessible to a non-specialist audience.

          Abstract

          The lack of predictability of citation-based measures frequently used to gauge impact, from impact factors to short-term citations, raises a fundamental question: Is there long-term predictability in citation patterns? Here, we derive a mechanistic model for the citation dynamics of individual papers, allowing us to collapse the citation histories of papers from different journals and disciplines into a single curve, indicating that all papers tend to follow the same universal temporal pattern. The observed patterns not only help us uncover basic mechanisms that govern scientific impact but also offer reliable measures of influence that may have potential policy implications.

          Related collections

          Most cited references 15

          • Record: found
          • Abstract: found
          • Article: found
          Is Open Access

          Emergence of scaling in random networks

          Systems as diverse as genetic networks or the world wide web are best described as networks with complex topology. A common property of many large networks is that the vertex connectivities follow a scale-free power-law distribution. This feature is found to be a consequence of the two generic mechanisms that networks expand continuously by the addition of new vertices, and new vertices attach preferentially to already well connected sites. A model based on these two ingredients reproduces the observed stationary scale-free distributions, indicating that the development of large networks is governed by robust self-organizing phenomena that go beyond the particulars of the individual systems.
            Bookmark
            • Record: found
            • Abstract: not found
            • Article: not found

            NETWORKS OF SCIENTIFIC PAPERS.

             D. Price (1965)
              Bookmark
              • Record: found
              • Abstract: not found
              • Article: not found

              The history and meaning of the journal impact factor.

                Bookmark

                Author and article information

                Journal
                14 June 2013
                2014-01-08
                Article
                10.1126/science.1237825
                1306.3293

                http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/

                Custom metadata
                Science 4 October 2013: Vol. 342 no. 6154 pp. 127-132
                cs.DL cs.SI physics.soc-ph

                Comments

                Comment on this article