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      Unveiling Undercover Cropland Inside Forests Using Landscape Variables: A Supplement to Remote Sensing Image Classification

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          Abstract

          The worldwide demand for food has been increasing due to the rapidly growing global population, and agricultural lands have increased in extent to produce more food crops. The pattern of cropland varies among different regions depending on the traditional knowledge of farmers and availability of uncultivated land. Satellite images can be used to map cropland in open areas but have limitations for detecting undergrowth inside forests. Classification results are often biased and need to be supplemented with field observations. Undercover cropland inside forests in the Bale Mountains of Ethiopia was assessed using field observed percentage cover of land use/land cover classes, and topographic and location parameters. The most influential factors were identified using Boosted Regression Trees and used to map undercover cropland area. Elevation, slope, easterly aspect, distance to settlements, and distance to national park were found to be the most influential factors determining undercover cropland area. When there is very high demand for growing food crops, constrained under restricted rights for clearing forest, cultivation could take place within forests as an undercover. Further research on the impact of undercover cropland on ecosystem services and challenges in sustainable management is thus essential.

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          Tropical forests were the primary sources of new agricultural land in the 1980s and 1990s.

          Global demand for agricultural products such as food, feed, and fuel is now a major driver of cropland and pasture expansion across much of the developing world. Whether these new agricultural lands replace forests, degraded forests, or grasslands greatly influences the environmental consequences of expansion. Although the general pattern is known, there still is no definitive quantification of these land-cover changes. Here we analyze the rich, pan-tropical database of classified Landsat scenes created by the Food and Agricultural Organization of the United Nations to examine pathways of agricultural expansion across the major tropical forest regions in the 1980s and 1990s and use this information to highlight the future land conversions that probably will be needed to meet mounting demand for agricultural products. Across the tropics, we find that between 1980 and 2000 more than 55% of new agricultural land came at the expense of intact forests, and another 28% came from disturbed forests. This study underscores the potential consequences of unabated agricultural expansion for forest conservation and carbon emissions.
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            Conservation. Protected areas and effective biodiversity conservation.

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              Global land and water grabbing.

              Societal pressure on the global land and freshwater resources is increasing as a result of the rising food demand by the growing human population, dietary changes, and the enhancement of biofuel production induced by the rising oil prices and recent changes in United States and European Union bioethanol policies. Many countries and corporations have started to acquire relatively inexpensive and productive agricultural land located in foreign countries, as evidenced by the dramatic increase in the number of transnational land deals between 2005 and 2009. Often known as "land grabbing," this phenomenon is associated with an appropriation of freshwater resources that has never been assessed before. Here we gather land-grabbing data from multiple sources and use a hydrological model to determine the associated rates of freshwater grabbing. We find that land and water grabbing are occurring at alarming rates in all continents except Antarctica. The per capita volume of grabbed water often exceeds the water requirements for a balanced diet and would be sufficient to improve food security and abate malnourishment in the grabbed countries. It is found that about 0.31 × 10(12) m(3) · y(-1) of green water (i.e., rainwater) and up to 0.14 × 10(12) m(3) · y(-1) of blue water (i.e., irrigation water) are appropriated globally for crop and livestock production in 47 × 10(6) ha of grabbed land worldwide (i.e., in 90% of the reported global grabbed land).

                Author and article information

                Contributors
                Role: Editor
                Journal
                PLoS One
                PLoS ONE
                plos
                plosone
                PLoS ONE
                Public Library of Science (San Francisco, CA USA )
                1932-6203
                22 June 2015
                2015
                : 10
                : 6
                : e0130079
                Affiliations
                [1 ]University of Bayreuth, Faculty of Biology, Chemistry and Earth Sciences, Professorship of Ecological Services, Universitätsstraße 30, 95440 Bayreuth, Germany
                [2 ]University of Wuerzburg, Department of Geography, Remote Sensing Unit, Am Hubland, 97074 Wuerzburg, Germany
                [3 ]University of Bayreuth, Faculty of Biology, Chemistry and Earth Sciences, Professorship of Disturbance Ecology, Universitätsstraße 30, 95440 Bayreuth, Germany
                Chinese Academy of Sciences, CHINA
                Author notes

                Competing Interests: The authors have declared that no competing interests exist.

                Conceived and designed the experiments: YA TK. Performed the experiments: YA. Analyzed the data: YA. Contributed reagents/materials/analysis tools: TK CC AJ. Wrote the paper: YA. Contributed to editing and revising of the manuscript: YA CC TK AJ. Contributed to methods for data analysis: YA CC TK. Supervised the data analysis and writing of the manuscript: TK.

                Article
                PONE-D-14-52434
                10.1371/journal.pone.0130079
                4476797
                26098107
                a3a737a2-bf7c-48b4-81a3-6192b15d342f
                Copyright @ 2015

                This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited

                History
                : 28 November 2014
                : 15 May 2015
                Page count
                Figures: 5, Tables: 5, Pages: 21
                Funding
                The University of Bayreuth Germany provided financial support for this study. The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.
                Categories
                Research Article
                Custom metadata
                All data except the satellite images are provided as supplementary material. The satellite images cannot be provided because of the restrictions from the vendors. Interested researchers can order RapidEye images from Deutsches Zentrum für Luft- und Raumfahrt (DLR).

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