Stroke Risk Stratification
Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a common arrhythmia in the adult population. It is associated
with up to a 5‐fold increased risk of stroke and contributes to a higher morbidity
and mortality compared with non–AF‐related strokes.
1
The current prevalence of AF in the adult population, estimated at 1% to 2%, is expected
to increase by up to 5 times by 2050, which will in turn increase the overall burden
of ischemic stroke in the aging population.
2–3
Various stroke risk stratification schemes have been developed to quantify stroke
risk in patients with AF and guide preventive treatment decisions for the clinician.
The most widely used has been the CHADS2 score, which estimates risk based on the
presence of congestive heart failure, hypertension, age 75 years or greater, diabetes
mellitus, and prior stroke or transient ischemic attack (TIA).
4
A revision of the CHADS2 scheme has been developed for use in stroke risk assessment
in AF. It dichotomizes age and incorporates vascular disease and female sex, to create
the CHA2DS2‐VASc (VA, vascular disease; Sc, sex category) score
5
(Table 1). Compared with CHADS2, this stroke risk stratification scheme is better
able to discriminate among individuals at lowest risk.
6–8
For example, in patients with a CHADS2 score of 0, the 1‐year stroke and embolic event
rates range from 0.84% (CHA2DS2‐VASc score of 0) to 3.2% (CHA2DS2‐VASc score of 3).
8
By both risk stratification schemes, those patients who score ≥1 are recommended to
receive oral anticoagulant therapy unless major contraindications are present. Only
those who are <65 years of age and have lone AF are truly considered “low risk” and
may not need antithrombotic treatment.
9–10
Table 1.
Comparison of CHADS2 and CHA2DS2VASc Risk Stratification Schemes
In patients appropriate for oral anticoagulant therapy for stroke prevention in AF,
the mainstay of treatment for decades has been a vitamin K antagonist (VKA). Compared
with placebo or no treatment, adjusted‐dose warfarin was found in the early AF trials
to reduce stroke by about 64% (95% CI 49% to 74%) without a significant increase in
major bleeding. Antiplatelet therapy was also effective, but to a lesser extent, with
a relative risk reduction of 22% compared with placebo (95% CI 2% to 39%).
11
Although these early AF trials concluded a favorable safety profile for warfarin,
12
there are some notable limitations that challenge extrapolation of bleeding risk from
trial to general populations. The early trials assessing efficacy and safety of adjusted‐dose
warfarin (ie, Second Copenhagen Atrial Fibrillation, Aspirin and Anticoagulant Therapy
Study [AFASAK], Stroke Prevention in Atrial Fibrillation [SPAF], Boston Area Anticoagulation
Trial for Atrial Fibrillation [BAATAF], Canadian Atrial Fibrillation Anticoagulation
[CAFA], Stroke Prevention in Nonrheumatic Atrial Fibrillation [SPINAF], and European
Atrial Fibrillation Trial [EAFT]) had relatively small study populations composed
of participants with few risk factors for bleeding compared with the “real world”
AF populations on anticoagulant therapy.
13
Assessment of Bleeding Risk on Anticoagulant Therapy in Patients With AF
Risk for hemorrhage in patients on anticoagulant therapy has been studied extensively.
The HAS‐BLED risk stratification scheme is one of several that has been validated
to estimate baseline risk of major hemorrhage (defined as hemorrhage involving a critical
anatomic site, for example, intracranial, or a bleed requiring hospitalization, transfusion
of ≥2 units of packed cells, or associated with a decrease in hemoglobin level of
≥2 g/L). One point is assigned to each of the following risk factors for bleeding:
uncontrolled Hypertension, Abnormal renal function, Abnormal liver function, Stroke,
history of Bleeding, Labile international normalized ratio (INR), Elderly status (>65
years old), and alcohol or Drugs, such as nonsteroidal anti‐inflammatory or antiplatelet
therapy. The presence of ≥3 risk factors is indicative of high risk for bleeding.
14
The use of these risk stratification schemes has been a useful tool in clinical practice
in determining those patients who need more aggressive risk modification and monitoring
on anticoagulant therapy.
10
Warfarin and Time in Therapeutic Range
Time in the therapeutic range (TTR) is a significant risk factor for stroke, major
bleeding, and mortality. Data from the warfarin arms of the Stroke Prophylaxis using
an ORal Thrombin Inhibitor in atrial Fibrillation (SPORTIF) III and V trials concluded
significantly higher rates of major hemorrhage in the poor INR control group (TTR<60%)
compared with the moderate INR control group (TTR 60% to 75%) and good INR control
group (TTR>75%) (major bleeding rates 3.85% versus 1.96% versus 1.58%, respectively;
P<0.01).
15
It has therefore been difficult to translate safety outcomes from clinical trials
into general practice, when outcomes vary by TTR, and TTR varies by population. In
a meta‐analysis investigating a study setting's influence on TTR, trial study populations
had a significantly higher mean TTR compared with community‐based cohort study populations
(66.4% versus 56.7%; P<0.001).
16
Because there is conflicting evidence on the safety of warfarin, clinicians have been
shown to underuse anticoagulant therapy, especially in the elderly—a population typically
with greater risk for stroke in AF.
17
The challenges to optimal warfarin use and achieving adequate INR control are complex
and multifactorial. Genetic mutations have been described that alter the pharmacodynamics
of warfarin, and environmental factors such as various drugs (through the cytochrome
P450 [CYP] system), herbal supplements, dietary changes in vitamin K, and certain
disease states (ie, liver dysfunction) can affect warfarin's pharmacokinetics. Due
to the variable dose response of warfarin, frequent monitoring is required, which
creates a significant barrier to its use.
18
There has subsequently been a demand for oral anticoagulant drugs with a wider therapeutic
window, that do not require frequent monitoring, that are easier to administer for
the patient, and that exhibit fewer drug–drug and diet–drug interactions.
Target‐Specific Oral Anticoagulants in the Prevention of Stroke in AF
Background
The challenges associated with managing warfarin in clinical practice have prompted
the extensive research and development of target‐specific oral anticoagulants (TSOAs)
that are now available for use. This group of drugs exerts its anticoagulant effects
through inhibition of factor Xa or thrombin (Figure). TSOAs are promising as safe
and efficacious alternatives to warfarin with some favorable pharmacological qualities
(Table 2). Not only do they offer quick time‐to‐peak effects, fixed dosing regimens,
and no monitoring, but they also have fewer drug–drug and dietary interactions compared
with warfarin. Disadvantages of these TSOAs include a current lack of accurate monitoring
in cases of suspected toxicity, lack of antidote in cases of life‐threatening bleeds
or urgent surgery, and the inability to administer to those individuals with stage
V chronic kidney disease or a prosthetic heart valve.
19
Safety and efficacy data of the TSOAs have been derived from multiple phase III randomized
clinical trials, the largest of them being those in stroke prevention in nonvalvular
AF (Table 3).
Table 2.
Comparison of Warfarin With Target‐Specific Oral Anticoagulants
Drug Feature
Warfarin
19
Dabigatran
20
Rivaroxaban
21
Apixaban
22
Target
Vitamin K
Thrombin
Factor Xa
Factor Xa
Dose frequency
Daily
Once or twice daily
Once or twice daily
Twice daily
Onset
Slow
Rapid
Rapid
Rapid
Peak effect
4 to 5 days
1 to 2 hours
2 to 3 hours
1 to 2 hours
Offset
Long
Short
Short
Short
Half‐life
40 hours
12 to 17 hours
7 to 11 hours
12 hours
Renal clearance
None
80%
33%
25%
Interactions
Many
P‐gp
CYP3A4; P‐gp
CYP3A4
Monitoring
Yes
No
No
No
Dialyzable
No
Yes
No
No
Antidote
Vitamin K
No
No
No
b.i.d. indicates twice daily; CYP3A4, cytochrome P450 3A4 enzyme; P‐gp, P‐glycoprotein;
q.d., once daily.
Table 3.
Efficacy and Safety Outcomes in Stroke Prevention in Atrial Fibrillation (AF) Trials
Novel Drug (Dose)
Stroke Prevention
Myocardial Infarction
Major Bleeding
Dabigatran 110 mg
23
0.91 (0.74 to 1.11)
1.35 (0.98 to 1.87)
0.8 (0.69 to 0.93)
Dabigatran 150 mg
23
0.66 (0.53 to 0.82)
1.38 (1.00 to 1.91)
0.93 (0.81 to 1.07)
Rivaroxaban 20 mg
24
0.88 (0.75 to 1.03)
0.81 (0.63 to 1.06)
1.04 (0.9 to 1.2)
Apixaban 5 mg
25
0.79 (0.66 to 0.95)
0.88 (0.66 to 1.17)
0.69 (0.6 to 0.8)
Results from stroke prevention in AF trials presented as relative risk or hazard ratios
with 95% CIs.
Figure 1.
Targets in anticoagulation cascade for novel anticoagulants.
Pharmacological Properties and Efficacy of Dabigatran in Stroke Prevention
Dabigatran is a direct thrombin inhibitor that has been approved by the US Food and
Drug Administration (FDA) for the prevention of stroke in nonvalvular AF. It requires
twice‐daily dosing, reaches peak effect within 1 to 2 hours, and has a half‐life of
12 to 17 hours. It is cleared by the kidneys (≈80%) and requires no routine coagulation
monitoring. Dabigatran is a P‐glycoprotein (P‐gp) substrate. Concomitant use with
the potent P‐gp inhibitor rifampin should be avoided. Individuals with moderate renal
impairment (creatinine clearance 30 to 50 mL/min) may experience increased concentrations
of dabigatran when coadminstered with the P‐gp inducers ketoconazole and dronedarone.
In this setting, a reduced dose of dabigatran is recommended, and use of these medications
should be avoided if the creatinine clearance is <30 mL/min.
19–20
Dabigatran is presently the only FDA‐approved direct thrombin inhibitor for stroke
prevention in patients with nonvalvular AF. The Randomized Evaluation of Long‐term
anticoagulant therapY (RE‐LY) trial compared 2 different dosages of dabigatran (110
mg twice daily or 150 mg twice daily) to adjusted‐dose warfarin (target INR of 2.0
to 3.0). The study population had a mean CHADS2 score of 2.1. The TTR for the warfarin
arm was 64%. The lower dose of dabigatran was found to be noninferior to warfarin
for the reduction of stroke or systemic embolism (relative risk [RR] 0.91, 95% CI
0.74 to 1.11; P<0.001 for noninferiority). However, the higher dose was found to be
superior to warfarin (RR 0.66, 95% CI 0.53 to 0.82; P<0.001 for superiority) and ultimately
gained FDA approval for stroke prevention in the United States. There has also been
a small and statistically insignificant increase in myocardial infarction seen with
both doses of dabigatran, but overall cardiovascular mortality was reduced with dabigatran
compared with warfarin.
23
Dabigatran and Bleeding Risk
Risk of hemorrhagic stroke was lower with both the 110‐mg and 150‐mg doses of dabigatran
compared with warfarin; however, only the 110‐mg dose of dabigatran had fewer major
bleeding events compared with warfarin (2.71% versus 3.76%; P=0.003).
23
In a subset analysis of bleeding events by age group in the RE‐LY trial, it was found
that patients >75 years receiving the 110‐mg dose had similar rates of bleeding compared
with warfarin. Moreover, the higher dose of dabigatran was associated with an increase
in major bleeding events, especially gastrointestinal hemorrhage, in the elderly population.
26
Despite these data, the FDA concluded the overall risk‐benefit still weighed in favor
of the higher 150‐mg dose.
27
A total of 153 patients suffered an intracranial hemorrhage (either intracerebral,
subdural, or subarachnoid) in the RE‐LY trial. The yearly rates of intracranial hemorrhage
were 0.76%, 0.31%, and 0.23% for the participants in the warfarin, dabigatran 150‐mg
dose, and dabigatran 110‐mg dose arms, respectively (P<0.001 for each comparison versus
warfarin). For both dabigatran arms, the events were less likely to be fatal compared
with the intracranial hemorrhagic events in the warfarin arm (P<0.05). Independent
risk factors for intracranial hemorrhage in all participants in the RE‐LY trial were
age, aspirin use, assignment to the warfarin arm, and prior stroke or TIA.
28
The RE‐LY and other AF trials excluded patients with valvular AF or prosthetic heart
valves. The phase II trial of dabigatran (Randomized, Phase II Study to Evaluate the
Safety and Pharmacokinetics of Oral Dabigatran Etexilate in Patients after Heart Valve
Replacement [RE‐ALIGN]), which studied patients with mechanical heart valves, was
stopped early due to an increase in thrombotic events and an increase in bleeding
postsurgery with dabigatran compared with warfarin. The FDA has since issued a contraindication
for dabigatran use with mechanical heart valves (both with and without AF).
29
Pharmacological Properties of Rivaroxaban and Efficacy in Stroke Prevention
Rivaroxaban is a factor Xa inhibitor that is also FDA approved for stroke prevention
treatment in nonvalvular AF. As a once‐daily dose, it reaches its peak effect in ≈2
to 3 hours, with a half‐life between 7 and 11 hours. About 30% of the drug remains
unchanged while excreted by the kidneys, whereas the remainder of the drug is metabolized
via the CYP3A4 system in the liver. In addition to avoiding use with other drugs that
are potent inhibitors of CYP3A4, rivaroxaban use should also be avoided (as with dabigatran)
with drugs that inhibit P‐gp.
19
ROCKET AF (Rivaroxaban Once‐Daily, Oral, Direct Factor Xa Inhibition Compared with
Vitamin K Antagonism for Prevention of Stroke and Embolism Trial in Atrial Fibrillation)
was a noninferiority trial that compared a fixed 20‐mg daily dosage of rivaroxaban
with adjusted‐dose warfarin. The study population recruited into the trial was one
of higher risk with a mean CHADS2 score of 3.5. Mean TTR was 55% for the participants
randomized to warfarin. Compared with adjusted‐dose warfarin, rivaroxaban was noninferior
in reducing the rate of stroke and non–central nervous system embolism in patients
with nonvalvular AF (hazard ratio [HR] 0.79, 95% CI 0.74 to 1.03; P<0.001 for noninferiority).
24
In a subgroup analysis, rivaroxaban was noninferior to warfarin for both primary and
secondary stroke prevention.
30
Rivaroxaban and Bleeding Risk
Rivaroxaban was associated with a lower risk of intracranial bleeding (0.5% versus
0.7%; P=0.02) and fatal bleeding (0.2% versus 0.5%; P=0.003) compared with warfarin.
24
Rates of major and nonmajor clinically relevant bleeding were similar for rivaroxaban
and warfarin (14.9% versus 14.5%, respectively; P=0.44); however, gastrointestinal
bleeding was more common in the rivaroxaban group (3.2% versus 2.2%, respectively;
P<0.001). Risk differences in major bleeding between rivaroxaban and warfarin remained
consistent when stratified according to underlying history of stroke or TIA in a subgroup
analysis.
30
Pharmacological Properties of Apixaban and Efficacy in Stroke Prevention
Apixaban, like rivaroxaban, is an oral factor Xa inhibitor that has recently been
approved by the FDA for stroke prevention in nonvalvular AF. Given as a twice‐daily
dose, apixaban reaches peak plasma concentration within 3 to 4 hours and has a half‐life
of 8 to 15 hours. Apixaban is both metabolized by the liver through the CYP3A4 pathway
and cleared by the kidneys (≈25%). Similar to rivaroxaban, coadministration with potent
CYP3A4 inhibitors and P‐gp inhibitors should be avoided.
19
In the A Phase III Study of Apixaban in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation (AVERROES)
trial, apixaban 5 mg twice daily was compared with aspirin (81 to 324 mg) among individuals
deemed to be unsuitable for a VKA. The trial enrolled 5598 participants with a mean
CHADS2 score of 2.0 (25% ≥3). At the first interim analysis, apixaban was found to
be superior to aspirin and thus the trial was terminated early for efficacy. After
1.1 years of follow‐up, compared with aspirin, apixaban was associated with a 55%
stroke risk reduction (HR 0.45, 95% CI 0.32 to 0.62; P<0.001).
31
These results were independent of baseline stroke risk according to CHADS2 score.
32
Apixaban for the Prevention of Stroke in Subjects With Atrial Fibrillation (ARISTOTLE)
was a noninferiority trial of apixaban 5 mg twice daily (2.5 mg twice daily for a
select subset) compared with adjusted‐dose warfarin. The mean CHADS2 score for the
study population was 2.1, and mean TTR for those randomized to warfarin was 62.2%.
Apixaban was shown to be superior to warfarin for the reduction of stroke and systemic
embolism (HR 0.79, 95% CI 0.66 to 0.95; P=0.01).
25
In subgroup analyses, apixaban was favorable compared with warfarin independent of
baseline stroke risk (CHADS2 of 1, 2, or ≥3) and history of stroke or TIA.
33–34
Apixaban and Bleeding Risk
Apixaban showed a favorable profile compared with warfarin in overall safety outcomes.
The rate of intracranial hemorrhage was reduced in the apixaban group compared with
warfarin (HR 0.42, 95% CI 0.30 to 0.58; P<0.001). Major bleeding, defined by International
Society of Thrombosis and Haemostasis (ISTH) criteria, occurred less frequently in
the apixaban group (HR 0.69, 95% CI 0.60 to 0.80; P<0.001). This trend was consistent
when using other definitions of major bleeding, including Global Utilization of Streptokinase
and Tissue plasminogen activator for Occluded coronary arteries (GUSTO) and Thrombolysis
In Myocardial Infarction (TIMI). Gastrointestinal bleeding was numerically lower with
apixaban compared with warfarin but did not achieve statistical significance (HR 0.89,
95% CI 0.70 to 1.15; P<0.37).
25
The AVERROES investigators found the apixaban group to have similar major bleeding
rates compared with the aspirin group (HR 1.13, 95% CI 0.74 to 1.75; P=0.57).
30
Major bleeding was associated with higher CHADS2 scores, but the relative risk was
similar between the apixaban and aspirin arms.
31
In a subset analysis from the AVERROES trial, apixaban was well tolerated and still
efficacious in stroke risk reduction in a population with chronic kidney disease stage
III, without a significant increase in major bleeding rates compared with aspirin.
35
TSOAs in Venous Thromboembolic Disease
Background
Risk factors for venous thromboembolism (VTE) are well described and include older
age, obesity, cancer, prior VTE, hereditary thrombophilia, hormonal therapy, chronic
venous insufficiency, prolonged bed rest or immobility, and major surgery, especially
total knee and hip arthroplasty (TKA/THA).
36
VTE is a significant but preventable cause of death in hospitalized and postsurgical
patients.
37
Implementing evidence‐based guidelines into clinical practice for VTE prophylaxis
can reduce the incidence of symptomatic VTE by up to 6‐fold.
38
However, often patients at high risk for VTE are not treated with the appropriate
prophylaxis. The ENDORSE (Epidemiologic International Day for the Evaluation of Patients
at Risk for Venous Thromboembolism in the Acute Hospital Care Setting) study reported
guideline‐based prophylaxis was used in only 64.4% and 41.5% of at‐risk surgical and
medical patients, respectively.
39
The mainstay of VTE prophylaxis for patients undergoing major orthopedic surgery (ie,
THA, TKA, and hip fracture surgery) has been extended low‐molecular‐weight heparin
(LMWH). Multiple randomized trials found LMWH to be associated with a relative risk
reduction of ≈50% compared with no prophylaxis in symptomatic DVT following THA, TKA,
and hip fracture surgery, with minimal hemorrhagic events.
40
The appropriate duration of therapy in the earlier trials was between 10 and 14 days
but recent data have shown a possible benefit of anticoagulant therapy >30 days postoperatively,
especially with THA.
41
As an alternative to LMWH, other pharmacological treatments recommended in prevention
of VTE in this patient population include fondaparinux, low‐dose unfractionated heparin,
aspirin, or adjusted‐dose VKA to a goal INR of 2.0 to 3.0 with appropriate bridging
treatment.
40
VTE Prevention in THA and TKA Patients
At present, rivaroxaban, dabigatran, and apixaban have demonstrated efficacy in the
prevention of VTE in orthopedic surgical patients (Table 4). Multiple randomized trials
from the RECORD (Regulation of Coagulation in Orthopedic Surgery to Prevent Deep Venous
Thrombosis and Pulmonary Embolism) study group have evaluated rivaroxaban's efficacy
in prevention of VTE compared with LMWH.
42–49
In a pooled analysis of these trials, rivaroxaban was associated with a relative risk
reduction of >50% compared with enoxaparin (RR 0.41, 95% CI 0.20 to 0.83). However,
there was a trend (though statistically insignificant) toward increased bleeding events
(major bleeding and bleeding leading to reoperation) with rivaroxaban (combined RR
1.73, 95% CI 0.94 to 3.17).
50
Of the 3 anticoagulants, rivaroxaban is at present the only one that is FDA approved
for use in the United States for VTE prophylaxis in TKA and THA patients.
Table 4.
Trials for Prevention of VTE in Total Hip and Knee Replacement
TSOA and Randomized Clinical Trial
Enoxaparin Treatment Dose
Days of TSOA Treatment
VTE Risk Difference, %
Bleeding Risk Difference, %
Dabigatran
RE‐MOBILIZE
51
30 mg twice daily
12 to 15
5.8*
0.8*
RE‐MODEL
52
40 mg once daily
6 to 10
1.3
0.2
RE‐NOVATE
53
40 mg once daily
28 to 35
0.7
0.4
RE‐NOVATE II
54
40 mg once daily
28 to 35
1.1
0.5
Rivaroxaban
RECORD 1
44
40 mg once daily
31 to 39
2.6
0.7
RECORD 2
45
40 mg once daily
31 to 39
7.3
0.6
RECORD 3
48
40 mg once daily
10 to 14
9.1
0.6
RECORD 4
49
30 mg twice daily
10 to 14
3.2
0.7
Apixaban
ADVANCE‐1
55
30 mg twice daily
10 to 14
0.2
1.5*
ADVANCE‐2
56
40 mg once daily
10 to 14
9.3
1.2*
ADVANCE‐3
57
40 mg once daily
35
2.5
0.2*
TSOA indicates target‐specific oral anticoagulant; VTE, venous thromboembolism.
*
Significant risk reduction in favor of enoxaparin in prevention of VTE or death.
*
Reduction in major and clinically relevant nonmajor bleeding rates in favor of TSOA.
Although the 220‐mg dose of dabigatran is available for prophylactic use in Europe
and Canada, it has not been approved by the FDA for use in orthopedic patients in
the United States. This decision was based on results from the RE‐MODEL (Dabigatran
Etexilate 150 or 220 mg Once Daily vs. Enoxaparin 40 mg Once Daily in Prevention of
Venous Thromboembolism Post Total Knee Replacement), RE‐MOBILIZE (Dabigatran Etexilate
220 mg vs. Enoxaparin 30 mg Twice Daily in Prevention of Venous Thromboembolism Post
Total Knee Replacement), and RE‐NOVATE (Dabigatran Etexilate Compared With Enoxaparin
in Prevention of Venous Thromboembolism Following Total Hip Arthroplasty) I and II
trials, all of which analyzed the difference in incidence of VTE and VTE‐related death
after TKA or THA between dabigatran and enoxaparin. Of the 4 trials, the RE‐MOBILIZE
investigators used the standard North American regimen of enoxaparin (30 mg SC twice
daily given postoperatively) in comparison with dabigatran in TKA patients. Incidence
of major VTE and VTE‐related death after TKA was found to be higher in both high‐
and low‐dose dabigatran arms compared with enoxaparin (3.0% and 3.4% versus 2.2%,
respectively) with overall similar bleeding rates.
51
The RE‐MODEL (TKA) and RE‐NOVATE I (THA) trials also analyzed both the high and low
doses of dabigatran but compared them with the European dosing regimen of enoxaparin
(40 mg daily started the night before surgery). Both the RE‐MODEL and RE‐NOVATE I
trials showed that both doses of dabigatran were noninferior to enoxaparin without
a significant increase in bleeding.
52–53
A subsequent meta‐analysis of RE‐MOBILIZE, RE‐MODEL, and RE‐NOVATE I trial data reported
the outcome event rates at 3.8%, 3.0%, and 3.3% for the dabigatran 150 mg, dabigatran
220 mg, and enoxaparin groups, respectively,
58
resulting in the approval of the higher dose in Europe and Canada. The RE‐NOVATE II
trial randomized THA patients to either extended prophylaxis with high‐dose dabigatran
or 40 mg SC daily enoxaparin and found similar efficacy and safety results as the
higher dose dabigatran arms of RE‐MODEL and RE‐NOVATE I.
54
Apixaban's efficacy and safety in the prevention of VTE in TKA and THA patients has
been tested in the Apixaban Versus Enoxaparin for Thromboprophylaxis After Hip or
Knee Replacement (ADVANCE) trials. The ADVANCE‐I trial included the standard North
American postoperative 30‐mg twice‐daily dosing of enoxaparin compared with apixaban
in patients who underwent TKA. Apixaban did not meet the prespecified margin to claim
noninferiority, but it did show significant reduction in major bleeding (2.9% versus
4.2%; P=0.03).
55
In the subsequent ADVANCE‐2 trial, the preoperative 40‐mg daily dose of enoxaparin
(European standard of care) was compared with apixaban in patients who underwent TKA.
56
The ADVANCE‐3 trial analyzed the same dosing regimens as ADVANCE‐2 but studied the
effects and safety in patients following THA.
57
In a pooled analysis of the ADVANCE‐2 and ADVANCE‐3 trials, apixaban was found to
be superior to enoxaparin in the reduction of major VTE incidence (risk difference
of −0.8%, 95% CI −1.2 to −0.3; P=0.001 for superiority). Superiority was achieved
by apixaban without an increase in major bleeding.
59
Based on the results from the ADVANCE‐2 and ADVANCE‐3 trials, apixaban has been approved
for use in VTE prophylaxis in TKA and THA in Europe and Canada.
In summarizing these trials, rivaroxaban, dabigatran, and apixaban have all demonstrated
some efficacy in the prevention of major VTE following orthopedic surgery without
a significant increase in bleeding. In a pooled analysis of 16 randomized clinical
trials comparing the 3 novel anticoagulants with enoxaparin, the drugs were generally
as effective and safe. In the meta‐analysis, rivaroxaban had the greatest risk reduction
in VTE but the highest risk of clinically relevant bleeding. While dabigatran and
apixaban had similar VTE risk reductions as enoxaparin, apixaban was the only drug
of the 3 to demonstrate a decrease in bleeding events.
60
VTE Prevention in Medically Ill Patients
Prospective data from the national DVT Free Registry illustrate that a vast number
of acute perihospitalization–related VTE occurs in nonsurgical patients.
61
Risk factors include age, obesity, prolonged immobility, chronic obstructive pulmonary
disease, advanced congestive heart failure, stroke, paralysis, cancer, prior VTE,
acute infection, central venous catheter use, and rheumatologic disease, among others.
Prior guidelines support the use of pharmacological VTE prophylaxis with LMWH or low‐dose
unfractionated subcutaneous heparin in those deemed moderate‐high risk.
62
Several phase III randomized trials have analyzed the use of the novel anticoagulants
in prophylaxis of VTE in medically ill patients. In the ADOPT (Apixaban Dosing to
Optimize Protection from Thrombosis) trial, participants were randomized to receive
either apixaban 2.5 mg twice daily for 30 days or enoxaparin 40 mg once daily for
6 to 14 days. The rates of VTE or VTE‐related mortality with apixaban versus enoxaparin
were 2.7% and 3.06%, respectively (RR 0.87, 95% CI 0.62 to 1.23). In addition, at
day 30, apixaban was associated with a significantly greater risk of bleeding compared
with enoxaparin (RR 2.58, 95% CI 1.02 to 7.24).
63
The MAGELLAN (Multicenter, Randomized, Parallel Group Efficacy and Safety Study for
the Prevention of Venous Thromboembolism in Hospitalized Acutely Ill Medical Patients
Comparing Rivaroxaban with Enoxaparin) trial with similar aims compared extended‐duration
rivaroxaban with enoxaparin.
64
Rivaroxaban was associated with a reduction in VTE events (RR 0.77, 95% CI 0.62 to
0.96; P=0.02), but it was associated with a significantly higher risk of bleeding
(RR 2.46, 95% CI 1.9 to 3.3).
65
Data for dabigatran use in this population are not yet available.
Oral Anticoagulants and Treatment of VTD
Before the emergence of new oral anticoagulants, the approved initial anticoagulant
therapy for DVT and pulmonary embolism included intravenous unfractionated heparin,
LMWH, or fondaparinux with a transition to warfarin or other VKA.
62
Multiple trials have assessed the efficacy of the new anticoagulants in the acute
treatment of VTE (Table 5). At present, rivaroxaban is the only drug that is approved
for treatment in acute DVT and pulmonary embolism based on results from the EINSTEIN
DVT (Oral Direct Factor Xa Inhibitor Rivaroxaban in Patients With Acute Symptomatic
Deep Vein Thrombosis) and EINSTEIN PE (Oral Direct Factor Xa Inhibitor Rivaroxaban
in Patients With Acute Symptomatic Deep Vein Thrombosis) randomized clinical trials.
With the primary end point being recurrence of VTE at 3, 6, and 12 months, investigators
from EINSTEIN DVT report event rates for rivaroxaban and VKA of 2.1% versus 3.0%,
respectively (HR 0.68, 95% CI 0.44 to 1.04; P<0.001 for noninferiority). Similarly,
in EINSTEIN PE, rivaroxaban also met noninferiority compared with VKA (HR 1.12, 95%
CI 0.75 to 1.68; P=0.003 for noninferiority). Rivaroxaban was not associated with
an increased risk for major bleeding in either trial. It is important to highlight
the treatment doses of rivaroxaban for acute treatment of VTE: 15 mg twice daily for
the initial 3 weeks followed by a 20‐mg once‐daily maintenance dose. The extension
study of EINSTEIN DVT also reported noninferiority of rivaroxaban, but versus placebo,
when assessed for efficacy and safety outcomes at 12‐month follow‐up.
66–67
Table 5.
Risk of Recurrent Venous Thromboembolism With Target‐Specific Anticoagulants Versus
Conventional Therapy
Randomized Clinical Trial
Number of Events/Total
Risk Ratio (95% CI)
TSOA
LMWH+VKA
Dabigatran
RECOVER I
68
30/1274
27/1265
1.10 (0.66 to 1.84)
RECOVER II
69
30/1279
28/1289
1.08 (0.65 to 1.8)
Rivaroxaban
EINSTEIN‐DVT
66
36/1731
51/1718
0.70 (0.46 to 1.07)
EINSTEIN‐PE
67
50/2419
44/2413
1.13 (0.76 to 1.69)
Apixaban
AMPLIFY
70
59/2609
71/2635
0.84 (0.60 to 1.18)
LMWH indicates low‐molecular‐weight heparin; TSOA, target‐specific oral anticoagulant;
VKA, vitamin K antagonist.
Dabigatran, at a fixed dosage of 150 mg twice daily for acute VTE, was also found
to be noninferior in the prevention of recurrent VTE compared with dose‐adjusted warfarin
in the double‐blind RE‐COVER (Efficacy and Safety of Dabigatran Compared to Warfarin
for 6 Month Treatment of Acute Symptomatic Venous Thromboembolism) trial. The study
end point was assessed at 6 months. Event rates for dabigatran and warfarin were 2.4%
and 2.1%, respectively (HR 1.10, 95% CI, 0.65 to 1.84; P<0.001 for noninferiority).
Although the risk of dyspepsia and adverse events leading to study drug discontinuation
was increased with dabigatran, the risk of bleeding was similar between the 2 arms.
68
In the duplicate RE‐COVER II trial, results were similar.
69
Individuals in this study were randomized to dabigatran after receiving at least 5
days of a parenteral anticoagulant. The RE‐MEDY (a Phase III, Randomised, Multicenter,
Double‐blind, Parallel‐group, Active Controlled Study to Evaluate the Efficacy and
Safety of Oral Dabigatran Etexilate [150 mg Bid] Compared to Warfarin [INR 2.0–3.0]
for the Secondary Prevention of Venous Thromboembolism) investigators looked at extended
anticoagulation for unprovoked VTE following appropriate initial treatment. Dabigatran
was noninferior to warfarin in the reduction of VTE and VTE‐related deaths (HR 1.05,
95% CI 0.65 to 1.70; P<0.0001 for noninferiority).
71
The AMPLIFY‐EXT (a Safety and Efficacy Trial Evaluating the Use of Apixaban for the
Extended Treatment of Deep Vein Thrombosis and Pulmonary Embolism) trial compared
apixaban with placebo in patients who had already completed at least 6 months of standard
anticoagulant therapy for VTE. Rate of recurrent VTE or death at 12‐month follow‐up
was significantly reduced in both the 2.5‐ and 5‐mg doses of apixaban compared with
placebo (RR 0.33 and 0.36, respectively; P<0.001).
72
The AMPLIFY trial, which compares apixaban with the conventional acute VTE treatment
with LMWH or heparin and VKA, has just been completed. Apixaban at a dosage of 10
mg twice daily for 7 days followed by 5 mg twice daily for 6 months, compared with
conventional therapy, was found to be noninferior for the treatment of acute VTE (RR
0.84, 95% CI 0.60 to 1.18; P<0.001 for noninferiority). It was also associated with
significantly less bleeding (RR 0.44, 95% CI 0.36 to 0.55; P<0.001).
70
TSOA Use in Acute Coronary Syndromes
Acute coronary syndromes (ACS) (ie, unstable angina, non–ST‐elevation myocardial infarction,
and ST‐elevation myocardial infarction) are often life‐threatening events. Importantly,
patients remain at significant risk for subsequent events such as recurrent myocardial
infarction or ischemia, stroke, or death during the subsequent months. The current
standard of care includes extended therapy often with dual antiplatelet agents. The
role of the new anticoagulants in the management of secondary prevention following
ACS is less clear.
The ATLAS ACS‐TIMI 46 (a Randomized, Double‐Blind, Placebo‐Controlled, Multicenter,
Dose‐Escalation and Dose‐Confirmation Study to Evaluate the Safety and Efficacy of
Rivaroxaban in Combination With Aspirin Alone or With Aspirin and a Thienopyridine
in Subjects With Acute Coronary Syndromes) was a phase II dose‐escalation study assessing
the safety and efficacy of rivaroxaban (5 to 20 mg daily dosing) versus placebo in
patients already on mono‐antiplatement or dual‐antiplatelet therapy for ACS. The primary
end point was the composite of death, myocardial infarction, stroke, or recurrent
ischemia requiring revascularization. The study found that rivaroxaban was not associated
with a reduction in the primary efficacy end point versus placebo over the 6‐month
follow‐up period (HR 0.79, 95% CI 0.6 to 1.05; P=0.10); however, it did reduce the
main secondary end point (death, myocardial infarction, or stroke) compared with placebo
(HR 0.69, 95% CI 0.50 to 0.96; P=0.027). The study also found a dose‐dependent increased
risk of bleeding.
73
The subsequent ATLAS‐ACS 2 TIMI 51 trial randomized patients with a recent ACS to
receive twice‐daily 2.5 mg or 5 mg of rivaroxaban versus placebo. The primary end
point, which was a reduction in the composite of death from cardiovascular disease,
myocardial infarction, or stroke, was achieved with rivaroxaban (HR 0.84, 95% CI 0.74
to 0.96). Compared with placebo, rivaroxaban was associated with an increased risk
of nonfatal major bleeding (2.1% versus 0.6%; P<0.001) without a significant increase
in fatal bleeding (0.3% versus 0.2%; P=0.66).
74
Although rivaroxaban has been approved in Europe (2.5 mg twice daily) for secondary
prevention in biomarker‐confirmed ACS, the FDA has not granted approval for this indication
due to concerns over incomplete follow‐up and missing data (FDA briefing document,
May 23, 2012, Cardiovascular and Renal Drugs Advisory Committee [CRDAC]).
75
Apixaban was studied in the APPRAISE (Apixaban for Prevention of Acute Ischemic Events)‐I
and APPRAISE‐II trials. Results from the initial phase II trial demonstrated a trend
(although nonsignificant) toward a dose‐dependent reduction in recurrent ischemic
events with apixaban compared with placebo (HR 0.61, 95% CI 0.35 to1.04; P=0.07 for
apixaban 10 mg total daily dose). There was also a dose‐dependent increased risk of
bleeding.
76
Given the results from the phase II trial, the phase III APPRAISE‐II assessed lower‐dose
apixaban (5 mg twice daily) versus placebo and was terminated early due to a significant
increase in major bleeding events without a significant reduction in recurrent ischemic
events.
77
Of note, the 5‐mg twice‐daily dose is the dosage approved for stroke prevention in
AF.
The phase II RE‐DEEM (Randomized Dabigatran Etexilate Dose Finding Study in Patients
With Acute Coronary Syndromes Post Index Event With Additional Risk Factors for Cardiovascular
Complications Also Receiving Aspirin and Clopidogrel: Multicenter, Prospective, Placebo
Controlled, Cohort Dose Escalation Study) trial, which randomized post‐ACS patients
to placebo versus 4 incremental twice‐daily doses of dabigatran (50, 75, 110, and
150 mg), showed a dose‐dependent increased risk of bleeding with dabigatran. Although
dabigatran lowered coagulation activity (measured with D‐dimer levels), there was
no significant reduction in death, myocardial infarction, or stroke.
78
With increased bleeding with new agents while on antiplatelet therapy, there currently
is no FDA‐approved use for the TSOAs in ACS until further evidence becomes available.
Potential Challenges in the Translation of Trial Results Into Clinical Practice
Results from the randomized clinical trials have demonstrated some promising advantages
of novel anticoagulants over standard VKAs, thus leading to FDA approval and an increase
in choice for the practicing physician (Table 6). Despite these results, however,
TSOA use in certain patient subgroups not represented in trials remains unclear until
further evidence emerges. Physicians should consider carefully each patient's concomitant
medications and comorbid disorders, while also considering baseline characteristics
and key exclusionary criteria of the trial populations, before TSOA transition
79
(Table 7). Further data are needed especially for elderly patients, those with moderate‐severe
kidney disease (both chronic and acute), those on antiplatelet agents, and those undergoing
emergent surgery or endovascular procedures. In addition, the optimal management of
patients who have either very low TTR due to nonadherence, or very high TTR due to
well‐controlled warfarin, warrants further study.
79
Table 6.
Target‐Specific Anticoagulants Approved for Use
Indication
Dabigatran
Rivaroxaban
Apixaban
Stroke prevention in AF
150 mg twice daily
20 mg once daily
5 mg twice daily
Acute VTE treatment
Not approved
20 mg once daily
Not approved
VTE prevention in TKA or THA
220 mg once daily*
10 mg once daily
2.5 mg twice daily*
AF indicates atrial fibrillation; THA, total hip arthroplasty; TKA, total knee arthroplasty;
VTE, venous thromboembolism.
*
Only approved in Europe and Canada for this indication.
Table 7.
Stroke Prevention in Atrial Fibrillation Trial Populations
Trial Characteristics
Dabigatran (RE‐LY)
23
Rivaroxaban (ROCKET AF)
24
Apixaban (ARISTOTLE)
25
Participants, n
18 113
14 264
18 201
Median age
71 (mean)
73
70
Mean CHADS2
2.1
3.5
2.1
Mean TTR
64%
55%
62%
Median CrCl
68
67
N/A*
CrCl indicates creatinine clearance; CHADS2, congestive heart failure, hypertension,
age, diabetes, stroke; TTR, time in therapeutic range.
*
Data on renal function presented as 83% with CrCl ≥50 mL/min.
Currently, rivaroxaban is the only available TSOA approved for use in VTE disease
in the United States. However, dabigatran, rivaroxaban, and apixaban are all viable
options in managing patients with AF, as their efficacy and safety profiles met FDA
requirements for approval. Given the fact that randomized trials rarely perform new
drug–drug comparisons, it becomes crucial before transitioning to TSOAs that the clinician
considers the above limitations and applies such to their patients' disease profile
and concomitant medications. For example, as mean TTR never exceeded 65% in the trial
populations, it becomes difficult to conclude comparative efficacy of the TSOAs in
patients who are on a very stable warfarin regimen.
In addition, careful monitoring and dose adjustments should be considered in those
patient populations that were less likely to be included in the phase III trial populations,
that is, subjects 65 years or older and those with a creatinine clearance <30 mL/min
resulting from chronic or acute kidney disease. TSOAs are contraindicated in patients
with end‐stage chronic kidney disease or those on dialysis. Dose reduction is required
for those with severe renal insufficiency, that is, creatinine clearance 15 to 30
mL/min on dabigatran or creatinine clearance 15 to 50 mL/min on rivaroxaban. The presence
of ≥2 of the following mandate the reduced dose of 2.5 mg twice daily for apixaban:
aged ≥80 years, weight <60 kg, or creatinine level of ≥1.5 mg/dL. Regular monitoring
of kidney function at least once per year is recommended for patients on these drugs.
More frequent monitoring is prudent for certain populations at risk for a decline
in kidney function.
20–22
Although concern has been raised about excessive thrombotic risk with cessation of
these agents, there is no evidence to support a drug‐specific rebound phenomenon.
As with warfarin, periods off of drug should be minimized to the extent that is safely
possible given the underlying hypercoagulable states present with AF and VTE.
Monitoring and Reversibility With Novel Anticoagulants
Whereas VKAs are highly variable in pharmacokinetics necessitating frequent monitoring,
the TSOAs have a more predictable pharmacokinetic profile and routine monitoring is
not needed. However, there exist potential clinical scenarios for which monitoring
and reversal of the anticoagulant effect would be highly desirable, such as with intracranial
hemorrhage, life‐threatening gastrointestinal bleeding, urgent surgery, or trauma.
These clinical situations may be especially hazardous in those patients with a baseline
increased risk of bleeding, such as patients 65 years or older, and those with kidney
failure or on antiplatelet therapy.
Although beneficial to have a test measuring the level of anticoagulation in these
urgent situations and high‐risk patients, there is a lack of readily available accurate
laboratory testing in most clinical settings. Dabigatran prolongs not only the INR
but also the activated partial thromboplastin time, thrombin clotting time, and, to
some extent, prothrombin time. The thrombin clotting time assay is the most accurate
test in detecting the presence of dabigatran and increases with increasing drug concentration.
This test, however, is not routinely available in most institution laboratories.
19,80–81
The factor Xa inhibitors rivaroxaban and apixaban can prolong the INR and prothrombin
time, but the degree of prothrombin time prolongation does not reliably predict drug
concentrations. There is a potential for drug monitoring with anti–factor Xa assays,
but these assays may not be amply available to ensure a fast turnaround, which is
critical in these emergent situations.
82
Currently, there are no available drug‐specific antidotes for the new oral anticoagulants,
but several are under development. One such antidote is the monoclonal antibody directed
against dabigatran, which has shown positive results in inhibiting its anticoagulant
activity in both human and animal studies. There also exist potential factor Xa inhibitors
(pd–factor Xa and r–factor Xa) that may be used to reverse rivaroxaban and apixaban.
Studies showed these factors had the ability to neutralize anticoagulation test abnormalities
associated with the Xa inhibitors. Four‐ and 3‐factor prothrombin complex concentrates
are available for use, but additional study is ongoing to fully understand their efficacy
in TSOA‐induced life‐threatening bleeds.
83
Conclusions
For several decades, warfarin has been the standard of care in oral anticoagulation
therapy for stroke prevention in AF and management of VTE. Despite a vast understanding
on food and drug interactions and available algorithms for dose adjustments, adequate
TTR is still difficult for many patients to achieve. Recent pharmacological advancements
have enabled several TSOAs to be available for use in clinical practice. Based on
recent data from randomized clinical trials involving AF and VTE, these drugs have
demonstrated significant efficacy compared with warfarin and are associated with a
significant reduction in intracranial hemorrhage. In addition, these agents are advantageous
to both the prescribing clinician and the patient, as they are available in fixed
doses, and no drug‐level monitoring is required. As further data emerge on safety
and efficacy of these agents, clinicians should be aware of the present limitations
in clinical trials as they apply to their patients, paying special attention to those
populations that may exhibit higher risk. In the meantime, there are emerging data
on target‐specific reversal agents and use of PCCs that could prove to be useful in
life‐threatening situations.