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      The recurrence risk of neural tube defects (NTDs) in a population with high prevalence of NTDs in northern China

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          Abstract

          Background

          Although a number of studies have reported the recurrence risk of NTDs in developed countries, there is little data on the rate of recurrence of NTDs in northern China, a region of high prevalence of NTDs.

          Methods

          Based on the population-based birth defects surveillance system of five counties, we identified women who had an NTD affected pregnancy from 2004-2015 and a retrospective survey was conducted. The rate of recurrence of NTDs was calculated by the number of recurrent NTDs divided by the first NTDs. Maternal age, body mass index (BMI), gestational weeks, education, and occupation were collected. Information on folic acid (FA) supplements, time and dosage were also recorded.

          Results

          Among 851 women who had a previous NTD-affected pregnancy, there were 578 subsequent pregnancies, with 10 recurrent NTDs, a 1.7% recurrence rate. The recurrence rate was 1.5% and 2.6% for those taking FA supplements and without FA supplementation respectively. Women with recurrent NTDs had higher BMI before pregnancy compared to those who had a second pregnancy without NTDs. Among the recurrent NTDs, the majority were spina bifida.

          Conclusions

          The recurrence rate of NTDs was approximately five times higher than the overall prevalence in the same region of northern China. Risk of recurrence appeared lower among women who took FA supplements. These findings are consistent with the reduction in NTD frequency in the population since introduction of the nationwide FA supplement program. Data on recurrence rates in northern China will inform power calculations for future intervention studies.

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          Most cited references25

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          Prevention of neural-tube defects with folic acid in China. China-U.S. Collaborative Project for Neural Tube Defect Prevention.

          Periconceptional administration of folic acid can reduce a woman's risk of having a fetus or infant with a neural-tube defect. As part of a public health campaign conducted from 1993 to 1995 in an area of China with high rates of neural-tube defects (the northern region) and one with low rates (the southern region), we evaluated the outcomes of pregnancy in women who were asked to take a pill containing 400 microg of folic acid alone daily from the time of their premarital examination until the end of their first trimester of pregnancy. Among the fetuses or infants of 130,142 women who took folic acid at any time before or during pregnancy and 117,689 women who had not taken folic acid, we identified 102 and 173, respectively, with neural-tube defects. Among the fetuses or infants of women who registered before their last menstrual period and who did not take any folic acid, the rates of neural-tube defects were 4.8 per 1000 pregnancies of at least 20 weeks' gestation in the northern region and 1.0 per 1000 in the southern region. Among the fetuses or infants of the women with periconceptional use of folic acid, the rates were 1.0 per 1000 in the northern region and 0.6 per 1000 in the southern region. The greatest reduction in risk occurred among the fetuses or infants of a subgroup of women in the northern region with periconceptional use who took folic acid pills more than 80 percent of the time (reduction in risk, 85 percent as compared with the fetuses or infants of women who registered before their last menstrual period and who took no folic acid; 95 percent confidence interval, 62 to 94 percent) [corrected]. In the southern region the reduction in risk among the fetuses or infants of women with periconceptional use of folic acid was also significant (reduction in risk, 41 percent; 95 percent confidence interval, 3 to 64 percent). Periconceptional intake of 400 microg of folic acid daily can reduce the risk of neural-tube defects in areas with high rates of these defects and in areas with low rates.
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            Prevention of neural tube defects: results of the Medical Research Council Vitamin Study. MRC Vitamin Study Research Group.

            A randomised double-blind prevention trial with a factorial design was conducted at 33 centres in seven countries to determine whether supplementation with folic acid (one of the vitamins in the B group) or a mixture of seven other vitamins (A,D,B1,B2,B6,C and nicotinamide) around the time of conception can prevent neural tube defects (anencephaly, spina bifida, encephalocele). A total of 1817 women at high risk of having a pregnancy with a neural tube defect, because of a previous affected pregnancy, were allocated at random to one of four groups--namely, folic acid, other vitamins, both, or neither. 1195 had a completed pregnancy in which the fetus or infant was known to have or not have a neural tube defect; 27 of these had a known neural tube defect, 6 in the folic acid groups and 21 in the two other groups, a 72% protective effect (relative risk 0.28, 95% confidence interval 0.12-0.71). The other vitamins showed no significant protective effect (relative risk 0.80, 95% Cl 0.32-1.72). There was no demonstrable harm from the folic acid supplementation, though the ability of the study to detect rare or slight adverse effects was limited. Folic acid supplementation starting before pregnancy can now be firmly recommended for all women who have had an affected pregnancy, and public health measures should be taken to ensure that the diet of all women who may bear children contains an adequate amount of folic acid.
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              Updated Estimates of Neural Tube Defects Prevented by Mandatory Folic Acid Fortification — United States, 1995–2011

              In 1992, the U.S. Public Health Service recommended that all women capable of becoming pregnant consume 400 μg of folic acid daily to prevent neural tube defects (NTDs) (1). NTDs are major birth defects of the brain and spine that occur early in pregnancy as a result of improper closure of the embryonic neural tube, which can lead to death or varying degrees of disability. The two most common NTDs are anencephaly and spina bifida. Beginning in 1998, the United States mandated fortification of enriched cereal grain products with 140 μg of folic acid per 100 g (2). Immediately after mandatory fortification, the birth prevalence of NTD cases declined. Fortification was estimated to avert approximately 1,000 NTD-affected pregnancies annually (2,3). To provide updated estimates of the birth prevalence of NTDs in the period after introduction of mandatory folic acid fortification (i.e., the post-fortification period), data from 19 population-based birth defects surveillance programs in the United States, covering the years 1999–2011, were examined. After the initial decrease, NTD birth prevalence during the post-fortification period has remained relatively stable. The number of births occurring annually without NTDs that would otherwise have been affected is approximately 1,326 (95% confidence interval = 1,122–1,531). Mandatory folic acid fortification remains an effective public health intervention. There remain opportunities for prevention among women with lower folic acid intakes, especially among Hispanic women, to further reduce the prevalence of NTDs in the United States. In August 2014, a total of 19 population-based birth defects surveillance programs in the United States reported to CDC the number of cases of spina bifida (International Classification of Diseases, 9th Revision, Clinical Modification codes 741.0 and 741.9) and anencephaly (codes 740.0–740.1) among deliveries occurring during 1995–2011 among non-Hispanic whites, non-Hispanic blacks, and Hispanics, as well as all racial/ethnic groups combined. Surveillance programs were grouped by whether they systematically conducted prenatal ascertainment to capture diagnosed cases (eight sites: Arkansas, Georgia, Iowa, New York, Oklahoma, Puerto Rico, South Carolina, and Utah) or did not (11 sites: Arizona, California, Colorado, Illinois, Kentucky, Maryland, New Jersey, North Carolina, Texas, West Virginia, and Wisconsin). Programs with prenatal ascertainment monitored birth defects among live births, stillbirths, and elective terminations, and included collection of information from prenatal sources, such as prenatal diagnostic facilities. The birth prevalences of spina bifida, anencephaly, and both NTDs combined were estimated as the total number of cases divided by the total number of live births during the pre-fortification (1995–1996) and post-fortification periods (1999–2011). These prevalence estimates were multiplied by the average number of live births in the United States for the selected periods to estimate the annual number of NTD cases nationwide. Prevalence estimates were also calculated by type of surveillance program (i.e., programs with prenatal ascertainment and programs without prenatal ascertainment) and maternal race/ethnicity (i.e., non-Hispanic white, non-Hispanic black, and Hispanic). The estimated annual number of NTDs prevented was calculated as the difference between the estimated annual number during the pre-fortification period and the estimated annual number during the post-fortification period using prevalence estimates from programs with prenatal ascertainment. A decline in NTDs was observed for all three of the racial/ethnic groups examined between the pre-fortification and post-fortification periods (Figure). The post-fortification prevalence has remained relatively stable. During the observed periods, Hispanics consistently had a higher prevalence of NTDs compared with the other racial/ethnic groups, whereas non-Hispanic blacks generally had the lowest prevalence. The birth prevalences of anencephaly and spina bifida during the pre-fortification (1995–1996) and post-fortification periods (biennial from 1999–2008, last 3 years of available data from 2009–2011, and all years from 1999–2011) for programs with and without prenatal ascertainment were estimated. Overall, a 28% reduction in prevalence was observed for anencephaly and spina bifida using data from all participating programs; a greater reduction (35%) was observed among programs with prenatal ascertainment than for programs without prenatal ascertainment (21%) (Table). The prevalence reported for anencephaly from programs with prenatal ascertainment was consistently higher across all racial/ethnic groups than for programs without prenatal ascertainment, whereas the difference in the observed prevalence of spina bifida was not as pronounced between the two types of programs. Based on data from programs that collect prenatal ascertainment information, an updated estimate of the number of births occurring annually without NTDs that would otherwise have been affected is 1,326 (95% confidence interval = 1,122–1,531). Discussion The birth prevalence of NTDs during the post-fortification period has remained relatively stable since the initial reductions observed during 1999–2000, immediately after mandatory folic acid fortification in the United States. The updated estimate of approximately 1,300 NTD-affected births averted annually during the post-fortification period is slightly higher than the previously published estimate (3). Factors that could have helped contribute to the difference include a gradual increase in the number of annual live births in the United States during the post-fortification period and data variations caused by differences in surveillance methodology. The lifetime direct costs for a child with spina bifida are estimated at $560,000, and for anencephaly (a uniformly fatal condition), the estimate is $5,415 (4); multiplying these costs by the NTD case estimates translates to an annual saving in total direct costs of approximately $508 million for the NTD-affected births that were prevented. The reduction in NTD cases during the post-fortification period inversely mirrors the increase in serum and red blood cell (RBC) folate concentrations among women of childbearing age in the general population. Fortification led to a decrease in the prevalence of serum folate deficiency from 30% to 1,000 nmol/L were sufficient to substantially attenuate the risk for NTDs at a population level (6). Using data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey for 1988–2010 (5) and adjusting for assay differences, the estimated mean RBC folate concentration in women aged 15–44 years in the United States is 1,290–1,314 nmol/L, which appears to indicate that for many women of childbearing age, current strategies are preventing a majority of folic acid–sensitive NTDs (5,6). However, almost a quarter (21.6%) of women of childbearing age in the United States still do not have RBC folate concentrations associated with a lower risk for NTDs, and targeted strategies might be needed to achieve RBC folate concentrations >1,000 nmol/L in this group (7). Although a reduction in the birth prevalence of NTDs has been observed for all three of the racial/ethnic groups examined, the prevalence among Hispanics is consistently greater than that among other racial/ethnic groups. Possible reasons could include differences in folic acid consumption and genetic factors affecting the metabolism of folic acid. Fewer Hispanic women (17%) than non-Hispanic white women (30%) report consuming ≥400 μg of folic acid per day through fortified food or supplements (8). A common genetic polymorphism in Hispanics, the methylenetetrahydrofolate reductase T allele, has been associated with relatively lower plasma folate and RBC folate concentrations compared with those without this polymorphism (9). Persons with this polymorphism have more genetic susceptibility to a folate insufficiency. To target Hispanics who might need additional folic acid intake to prevent NTDs, one strategy under consideration in the United States is to fortify corn masa flour with folic acid at the same level as enriched cereal grain products. Implementation of corn masa flour fortification would likely prevent an additional 40 cases of NTDs annually (10). What is already known on this topic? A decline in the prevalence of neural tube defects (NTDs) was reported during the period immediately after mandatory folic acid fortification in the United States, which translated to approximately 1,000 births occurring annually without anencephaly or spina bifida that would otherwise have been affected. What is added by this report? The prevalence of NTDs during the post-fortification period has remained relatively stable since the initial reduction observed immediately after mandatory folic acid fortification in the United States. Using the observed prevalence estimates of NTDs during 1999–2011, an updated estimate of the number of births occurring annually without NTDs that would otherwise have been affected is 1,300. What are the implications for public health practice? Current fortification efforts should be maintained to prevent folic acid–sensitive NTDs from occurring. There are still opportunities for prevention among women with lower folic acid intakes, especially among Hispanic women, to further reduce the prevalence of NTDs in the United States. The findings in this report are subject to at least one limitation. The prevalence data used in this study might not be generalizable to the entire United States, but only to the extent that NTD prevalence in other states/territories not examined could differ from NTD prevalence in the states/territories represented in this analysis. The initial decline in NTD prevalence reported immediately after mandatory folic acid fortification has been maintained after more than a decade since implementation. Mandatory folic acid fortification remains an effective public health policy intervention.
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                Author and article information

                Journal
                Oncotarget
                Oncotarget
                Oncotarget
                ImpactJ
                Oncotarget
                Impact Journals LLC
                1949-2553
                22 September 2017
                3 August 2017
                : 8
                : 42
                : 72577-72583
                Affiliations
                1 Institute of Reproductive and Child Health/Key Laboratory of Reproductive Health, National Health and Family Planning Commission of the People's Republic of China, Peking University, Beijing, P. R. China
                2 Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing, P. R. China
                3 UCL Great Ormond Street Institute of Child Health, University College London, London, United Kingdom
                Author notes
                Correspondence to: Zhiwen Li, lizw@ 123456bjmu.edu.cn
                Article
                19890
                10.18632/oncotarget.19890
                5641153
                29069810
                a5db5836-91ea-424a-984d-2fb53a9e3e8c
                Copyright: © 2017 Liu et al.

                This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC-BY), which permits unrestricted use and redistribution provided that the original author and source are credited.

                History
                : 24 May 2017
                : 13 July 2017
                Categories
                Research Paper

                Oncology & Radiotherapy
                recurrence,neural tube defects,folic acid,supplementation,china
                Oncology & Radiotherapy
                recurrence, neural tube defects, folic acid, supplementation, china

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