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      The Bayesian New Statistics: Hypothesis testing, estimation, meta-analysis, and power analysis from a Bayesian perspective

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      Psychonomic Bulletin & Review
      Springer Science and Business Media LLC

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          Abstract

          In the practice of data analysis, there is a conceptual distinction between hypothesis testing, on the one hand, and estimation with quantified uncertainty on the other. Among frequentists in psychology, a shift of emphasis from hypothesis testing to estimation has been dubbed "the New Statistics" (Cumming 2014). A second conceptual distinction is between frequentist methods and Bayesian methods. Our main goal in this article is to explain how Bayesian methods achieve the goals of the New Statistics better than frequentist methods. The article reviews frequentist and Bayesian approaches to hypothesis testing and to estimation with confidence or credible intervals. The article also describes Bayesian approaches to meta-analysis, randomized controlled trials, and power analysis.

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          The ASA's Statement onp-Values: Context, Process, and Purpose

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            Bayesian estimation supersedes the t test.

            Bayesian estimation for 2 groups provides complete distributions of credible values for the effect size, group means and their difference, standard deviations and their difference, and the normality of the data. The method handles outliers. The decision rule can accept the null value (unlike traditional t tests) when certainty in the estimate is high (unlike Bayesian model comparison using Bayes factors). The method also yields precise estimates of statistical power for various research goals. The software and programs are free and run on Macintosh, Windows, and Linux platforms. PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2013 APA, all rights reserved.
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              Null Hypothesis Testing: Problems, Prevalence, and an Alternative

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                Author and article information

                Journal
                Psychonomic Bulletin & Review
                Psychon Bull Rev
                Springer Science and Business Media LLC
                1069-9384
                1531-5320
                February 2018
                February 7 2017
                February 2018
                : 25
                : 1
                : 178-206
                Article
                10.3758/s13423-016-1221-4
                28176294
                a62c0631-cc1e-4252-993e-29c819ed34a3
                © 2018

                http://www.springer.com/tdm

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