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      Overestimation of Survival Rates of Cardiopulmonary Resuscitation Is Associated with Higher Preferences to Be Resuscitated: Evidence from a National Survey of Older Adults in Switzerland

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          Abstract

          Background

          Many widely used advance directives templates include direct questions on individuals’ preferences for cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) in case of decision-making incapacity during medical emergencies. However, as knowledge of the survival rates of CPR is often limited, individuals’ advance decisions on CPR may be poorly aligned with their preferences if false beliefs about the survival rates of CPR shape stated preferences for CPR.

          Methods

          We analyzed nationally representative data from 1,469 adults aged 58+ y who responded to wave 8 (2019/2020) of the Swiss version of the Survey on Health, Ageing, and Retirement in Europe (SHARE) to assess the partial association between knowledge of CPR survival rates and stated preferences for CPR using multivariable probit regression models that adjust for social, health, and regional characteristics. Knowledge of CPR survival rates was assessed by asking how likely it is in general in Switzerland for a 70-y-old to survive until hospital discharge from a CPR performed outside of a hospital. Preferences for CPR were measured by asking respondents if they would wish to be resuscitated in case of cardiac arrest.

          Results

          Only 9.3% of respondents correctly assessed the chances for a 70-y-old to survive until hospital discharge from a CPR performed outside of a hospital, while 65.2% indicated a preference to be resuscitated in case of a cardiac arrest. Respondents who correctly assessed CPR survival were significantly more likely to wish not to be resuscitated (average marginal effect: 0.18, P < 0.001).

          Conclusions

          Reducing misconceptions concerning the survival rates of CPR could change older adults’ preferences for CPR and make them more likely to forgo such treatments.

          Highlights
          • Many older adults in Switzerland overestimate the survival rates of cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR).

          • The study reveals that individuals with accurate knowledge of CPR survival rates are more likely to refuse resuscitation in case of cardiac arrest.

          • Overestimation of CPR survival rates may lead to a mismatch between individuals’ preferences for CPR and their actual end-of-life care decisions.

          • Improving the general population’s knowledge of CPR survival rates is crucial to ensure informed decision making and effective advance care planning.

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          Most cited references24

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          Survival after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest in Europe - Results of the EuReCa TWO study

          The epidemiology and outcome after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) varies across Europe. Following on from EuReCa ONE, the aim of this study was to further explore the incidence of and outcomes from OHCA in Europe and to improve understanding of the role of the bystander.
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            The global survival rate among adult out-of-hospital cardiac arrest patients who received cardiopulmonary resuscitation: a systematic review and meta-analysis

            Background To quantitatively summarize the available epidemiological evidence on the survival rate of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) patients who received cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR). Methods We systematically searched the PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science databases, and the references of retrieved articles were manually reviewed to identify studies reporting the outcome of OHCA patients who received CPR. The overall incidence and outcome of OHCA were assessed using a random-effects meta-analysis. Results A total of 141 eligible studies were included in this meta-analysis. The pooled incidence of return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC) was 29.7% (95% CI 27.6–31.7%), the rate of survival to hospital admission was 22.0% (95% CI 20.7–23.4%), the rate of survival to hospital discharge was 8.8% (95% CI 8.2–9.4%), the pooled 1-month survival rate was 10.7% (95% CI 9.1–13.3%), and the 1-year survival rate was 7.7% (95% CI 5.8–9.5%). Subgroup analysis showed that survival to hospital discharge was more likely among OHCA patients whose cardiac arrest was witnessed by a bystander or emergency medical services (EMS) (10.5%; 95% CI 9.2–11.7%), who received bystander CPR (11.3%, 95% CI 9.3–13.2%), and who were living in Europe and North America (Europe 11.7%; 95% CI 10.5–13.0%; North America: 7.7%; 95% CI 6.9–8.6%). The survival to discharge (8.6% in 1976–1999 vs. 9.9% in 2010–2019), 1-month survival (8.0% in 2000–2009 vs. 13.3% in 2010–2019), and 1-year survival (8.0% in 2000–2009 vs. 13.3% in 2010–2019) rates of OHCA patients who underwent CPR significantly increased throughout the study period. The Egger’s test did not indicate evidence of publication bias for the outcomes of OHCA patients who underwent CPR. Conclusions The global survival rate of OHCA patients who received CPR has increased in the past 40 years. A higher survival rate post-OHCA is more likely among patients who receive bystander CPR and who live in Western countries. Electronic supplementary material The online version of this article (10.1186/s13054-020-2773-2) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.
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              How many people will need palliative care in 2040? Past trends, future projections and implications for services

              Background Current estimates suggest that approximately 75% of people approaching the end-of-life may benefit from palliative care. The growing numbers of older people and increasing prevalence of chronic illness in many countries mean that more people may benefit from palliative care in the future, but this has not been quantified. The present study aims to estimate future population palliative care need in two high-income countries. Methods We used mortality statistics for England and Wales from 2006 to 2014. Building on previous diagnosis-based approaches, we calculated age- and sex-specific proportions of deaths from defined chronic progressive illnesses to estimate the prevalence of palliative care need in the population. We calculated annual change over the 9-year period. Using explicit assumptions about change in disease prevalence over time, and official mortality forecasts, we modelled palliative care need up to 2040. We also undertook separate projections for dementia, cancer and organ failure. Results By 2040, annual deaths in England and Wales are projected to rise by 25.4% (from 501,424 in 2014 to 628,659). If age- and sex-specific proportions with palliative care needs remain the same as in 2014, the number of people requiring palliative care will grow by 25.0% (from 375,398 to 469,305 people/year). However, if the upward trend observed from 2006 to 2014 continues, the increase will be of 42.4% (161,842 more people/year, total 537,240). In addition, disease-specific projections show that dementia (increase from 59,199 to 219,409 deaths/year by 2040) and cancer (increase from 143,638 to 208,636 deaths by 2040) will be the main drivers of increased need. Conclusions If recent mortality trends continue, 160,000 more people in England and Wales will need palliative care by 2040. Healthcare systems must now start to adapt to the age-related growth in deaths from chronic illness, by focusing on integration and boosting of palliative care across health and social care disciplines. Countries with similar demographic and disease changes will likely experience comparable rises in need. Electronic supplementary material The online version of this article (doi:10.1186/s12916-017-0860-2) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.
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                Author and article information

                Contributors
                Journal
                Med Decis Making
                Med Decis Making
                MDM
                spmdm
                Medical Decision Making
                SAGE Publications (Sage CA: Los Angeles, CA )
                0272-989X
                1552-681X
                29 December 2023
                February 2024
                : 44
                : 2
                : 129-134
                Affiliations
                [1-0272989X231218691]Faculty of Biology and Medicine and the Faculty of Business and Economics, University of Lausanne, Switzerland
                [2-0272989X231218691]Swiss Centre of Expertise in the Social Sciences, Lausanne, Switzerland
                [3-0272989X231218691]Swiss Centre of Expertise in the Social Sciences, Lausanne, Switzerland
                [4-0272989X231218691]Faculty of Business and Economics, University of Lausanne, Switzerland
                [5-0272989X231218691]Swiss National Centre of Competence in Research LIVES – Overcoming Vulnerability: Life Course Perspectives, Lausanne and Geneva, Switzerland
                [6-0272989X231218691]Palliative and Supportive Care Service, Lausanne University Hospital and University of Lausanne, Lausanne, Switzerland
                [7-0272989X231218691]Palliative and Supportive Care Service, Chair in Geriatric Palliative Care, and Institute of Humanities in Medicine, Lausanne University Hospital and University of Lausanne, Switzerland
                [8-0272989X231218691]Faculty of Business and Economics, University of Lausanne, Switzerland
                Author notes
                [*]Clément Meier, University of Lausanne, Bâtiment Géopolis, FORS, Lausanne, 1015, Switzerland; ( clement.meier@ 123456unil.ch ).
                Author information
                https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3273-7993
                Article
                10.1177_0272989X231218691
                10.1177/0272989X231218691
                10865767
                38156651
                a6766c45-e6f6-43ad-8865-a0969104c860
                © The Author(s) 2023

                This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License ( https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) which permits any use, reproduction and distribution of the work without further permission provided the original work is attributed as specified on the SAGE and Open Access pages ( https://us.sagepub.com/en-us/nam/open-access-at-sage).

                History
                : 31 July 2023
                : 6 November 2023
                Funding
                Funded by: Schweizerischer Nationalfonds zur Förderung der Wissenschaftlichen Forschung, FundRef https://doi.org/10.13039/501100001711;
                Award ID: 10001C_188836
                Categories
                Brief Reports
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                Medicine
                cpr survival rates,advance directives,cardiac arrest,end-of-life preferences,end-of-life care decisions

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