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      Thyroid Cancer Incidence Rates in North Dakota are Associated with Land and Water Use

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          Abstract

          Objective: The increasing rate of thyroid cancer diagnoses in the U.S. reflects the increasing use of ultrasonography and of specialist medical care. North Dakota is a rural state with limited access to specialist care, yet its incidence of thyroid cancer is significantly greater than that of the U.S. overall. We sought to identify factors responsible for the high incidence of thyroid cancer in North Dakota. Methods: We examined county-specific incidence rates for thyroid cancer in North Dakota in relation to demographic and geographic factors, including median household income, percent of land fertilized, cattle density per capita, and source of drinking water (city or well water), using structural equation modeling. We included county level data on residential radon levels and estimates of radioactive iodine in milk following nuclear weapons testing in the 1950s. Results: Thyroid cancer incidence rates were significantly associated with median income ( p < 0.05); percent of land fertilized ( p < 0.05); the use of city water ( p < 0.01), and cattle density per capita ( p < 0.001). Conclusions: The risk of thyroid cancer in North Dakota is positively associated with income and with factors related to land and water use. Our finding that thyroid cancer incidence rates are associated with the use of city water was unexpected and merits examination in other locations with a mix of city and well water use.

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          Most cited references41

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          Drinking Water Nitrate and Human Health: An Updated Review

          Nitrate levels in our water resources have increased in many areas of the world largely due to applications of inorganic fertilizer and animal manure in agricultural areas. The regulatory limit for nitrate in public drinking water supplies was set to protect against infant methemoglobinemia, but other health effects were not considered. Risk of specific cancers and birth defects may be increased when nitrate is ingested under conditions that increase formation of N-nitroso compounds. We previously reviewed epidemiologic studies before 2005 of nitrate intake from drinking water and cancer, adverse reproductive outcomes and other health effects. Since that review, more than 30 epidemiologic studies have evaluated drinking water nitrate and these outcomes. The most common endpoints studied were colorectal cancer, bladder, and breast cancer (three studies each), and thyroid disease (four studies). Considering all studies, the strongest evidence for a relationship between drinking water nitrate ingestion and adverse health outcomes (besides methemoglobinemia) is for colorectal cancer, thyroid disease, and neural tube defects. Many studies observed increased risk with ingestion of water nitrate levels that were below regulatory limits. Future studies of these and other health outcomes should include improved exposure assessment and accurate characterization of individual factors that affect endogenous nitrosation.
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            The changing epidemiology of thyroid cancer: why is incidence increasing?

            Thyroid cancer incidence is increasing worldwide. Causes are highly debated.
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              The epidemic of thyroid cancer in the United States: the role of endocrinologists and ultrasounds.

              The incidence of thyroid cancer has increased at an alarming rate in both men and women in the United States. The etiology of this epidemic is unclear. We tested the hypothesis that a significant component of this epidemic is due to increased detection of occult disease. We examined whether the density of endocrinologists and general surgeons as well as employment of cervical ultrasonography were factors associated with this epidemic. Thyroid cancer incidence rates by states were obtained from the United States Cancer Statistics 1999-2009 reported by the National Program of Cancer Registries. The densities of endocrinologists and general surgeons and the employment of cervical ultrasonography were calculated on a statewide basis and correlated with the incidence of thyroid cancer. Age-standardized incidence rates of thyroid cancer have increased in every state in the United States. Significant regional variations were noted, with the highest incidence rates in the northeast and the lowest in the south. The incidence rates were significantly correlated with the density of endocrinologists (r = 0.58, p<0.0001 for males; r = 0.44, p = 0.0031 for females) and the employment of cervical ultrasonography (r = 0.40, p = 0.0091 for males; r = 0.36, p = 0.0197 for females). Both the density of endocrinologists and general surgeons and employment of cervical ultrasonography could explain 57% of the variability in state-level incidence for males and 49% for females. These data offer evidence to suggest that the epidemic of thyroid cancer is due to increased detection of a reservoir of previously occult disease. The increased detection of thyroid cancer results in therapeutic interventions including surgery and radioactive thyroid treatment that may be of limited benefit.
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                Author and article information

                Journal
                Int J Environ Res Public Health
                Int J Environ Res Public Health
                ijerph
                International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health
                MDPI
                1661-7827
                1660-4601
                10 October 2019
                October 2019
                : 16
                : 20
                : 3805
                Affiliations
                Department of Population Health, University of North Dakota School of Medicine & Health Sciences, Grand Forks, ND 58202-9037, USA; marilyn.klug@ 123456und.edu
                Author notes
                [* ]Correspondence: gary.schwartz@ 123456und.edu ; Tel.: +1-701-777-6598
                Author information
                https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4789-4297
                Article
                ijerph-16-03805
                10.3390/ijerph16203805
                6843260
                31658605
                a8b34349-1342-4476-81d6-0b56da516db5
                © 2019 by the authors.

                Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license ( http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).

                History
                : 10 September 2019
                : 07 October 2019
                Categories
                Article

                Public health
                thyroid cancer,structural equation models,epidemiology,radiation,water
                Public health
                thyroid cancer, structural equation models, epidemiology, radiation, water

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