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      A Model Proposed for the Prediction of Future Sustainable Residence Specifications Using Analytical Network Process

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          Abstract

          In Egypt, people are unable to determine the qualities of appropriate residence that achieves quality and occupant satisfaction, and contributes to sustainability of residential conglomerations. In general, developing countries lack housing information which can be used to enhance quality of residence. Also, the methods of assessing and identifying the appropriate criteria for future residence quality remain traditional ones that cannot address the multiple, conflicting, overlapping aspects to reach a good decision. This calls for using the Analytical Network Process  (ANP), an effective tool for specifying the relative importance of all factors impacting a specific issue for making an appropriate residential decision. In addition, this method provides results for the decision element impacts network within the decision structure; thus contributing to more understanding of the mechanisms and requirements of residence selection. The proposed decision structure comprises a two-level network: main clusters, main elements, and sub-elements included in the demographic characteristics group, the residence criteria group, the demand parameters group, the supply parameters group, the residence specifications group, and the alternatives group which representing, in total, the decision and specifying the percentage needed for each housing level. Results of the model showed complete capacity in smoothly addressing complexities and overlapping in the decision structure. The decision structure showed that 52% chose luxury residence, 28% chose middle-class residence, and 19.5% chose the economic residence. Mechanisms of decision making were analyzed; particularly in terms of relationship to demographic characteristics and residence specifications. Also, the importance and impact of demand / supply parameters in reaching decision were analyzed.

          Author and article information

          Journal
          International Journal of Environmental Science & Sustainable Development
          ESSD
          International Experts for Research Enrichment and Knowledge Exchange (IEREK)
          2357-0857
          2357-0849
          December 30 2019
          December 30 2019
          : 4
          : 3
          : 109-126
          Article
          10.21625/essd.v4i3.681
          a944e2d2-82c9-4389-95a5-51c0845d2912
          © 2019

          All content is freely available without charge to users or their institutions. Users are allowed to read, download, copy, distribute, print, search, or link to the full texts of the articles in this journal without asking prior permission of the publisher or the author. Articles published in the journal are distributed under a http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.

          History

          Earth & Environmental sciences,Environmental economics & Politics,Environmental ethics,Environmental change,Environmental management, Policy & Planning

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