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      The Diagnosis, Prognosis, and Treatment of Medical Uncertainty

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      Journal of Graduate Medical Education
      Journal of Graduate Medical Education

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          Intolerance of ambiguity as a personality variable.

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            Scientific evidence underlying the ACC/AHA clinical practice guidelines.

            The joint cardiovascular practice guidelines of the American College of Cardiology (ACC) and the American Heart Association (AHA) have become important documents for guiding cardiology practice and establishing benchmarks for quality of care. To describe the evolution of recommendations in ACC/AHA cardiovascular guidelines and the distribution of recommendations across classes of recommendations and levels of evidence. Data from all ACC/AHA practice guidelines issued from 1984 to September 2008 were abstracted by personnel in the ACC Science and Quality Division. Fifty-three guidelines on 22 topics, including a total of 7196 recommendations, were abstracted. The number of recommendations and the distribution of classes of recommendation (I, II, and III) and levels of evidence (A, B, and C) were determined. The subset of guidelines that were current as of September 2008 was evaluated to describe changes in recommendations between the first and current versions as well as patterns in levels of evidence used in the current versions. Among guidelines with at least 1 revision or update by September 2008, the number of recommendations increased from 1330 to 1973 (+48%) from the first to the current version, with the largest increase observed in use of class II recommendations. Considering the 16 current guidelines reporting levels of evidence, only 314 recommendations of 2711 total are classified as level of evidence A (median, 11%), whereas 1246 (median, 48%) are level of evidence C. Level of evidence significantly varies across categories of guidelines (disease, intervention, or diagnostic) and across individual guidelines. Recommendations with level of evidence A are mostly concentrated in class I, but only 245 of 1305 class I recommendations have level of evidence A (median, 19%). Recommendations issued in current ACC/AHA clinical practice guidelines are largely developed from lower levels of evidence or expert opinion. The proportion of recommendations for which there is no conclusive evidence is also growing. These findings highlight the need to improve the process of writing guidelines and to expand the evidence base from which clinical practice guidelines are derived.
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              Varieties of Uncertainty in Health Care

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                Author and article information

                Journal
                Journal of Graduate Medical Education
                Journal of Graduate Medical Education
                Journal of Graduate Medical Education
                1949-8349
                1949-8357
                December 2015
                December 2015
                : 7
                : 4
                : 523-527
                Article
                10.4300/JGME-D-14-00638.1
                26692960
                acf499df-2c92-4a19-bf8c-ed907f3da789
                © 2015
                History

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