Introduction
Since its introduction to the human population in December 2019, Coronavirus Disease
2019 (COVID-19) continues to spread worldwide. More than 80% of patients with COVID-19
present with influenza-like illness (ILI) or mild pneumonia [1], most of these patients
are not hospitalized. Real time reverse transcriptase-polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR)
is used to detect the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2)
from respiratory samples [2]. We aim to compare the symptoms of patients with positive
and negative SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR results and to determine the sensitivity, specificity,
positive predictive value (PPV) and negative predictive value (NPV) for each of these
symptoms in regard to SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR.
Methods
Less than 30 miles from our hospital (Nord Franche-Comté Hospital), a major French
cluster of COVID-19 began on March 1st, 2020 in Mulhouse city. We conducted a retrospective
study between March, 30th and April, 3rd 2020, we collected the data of all adult
patients (≥ 18 years) who presented for possible COVID-19 at our outpatient department.
Pregnant women, children (< 18 years), patients with dementia (unable to report functional
symptoms) were excluded.
During the beginning of the outbreak, we prospectively collected the symptoms of each
patient consulting for a suspicion of COVID-19 to help us to screen the clinical feature
of COVID-19. According to our data [3] and data of the medical literature [1], we
designed a standardized questionnaire to specify the symptoms in patients consulting
for COVID-19 suspicion. Between March, 30th and April, 3rd 2020 we retrospectively
collected the following data from the medical files of patients: demographic characteristics
(age, sex), interval between illness onset and consultation, functional symptoms (measured
fever > 38 °C, myalgia and/or arthralgia, headache, cough, dyspnea, dysgeusia, anosmia,
rhinorrhea, nausea, vomiting, diarrhea, and abdominal pain), clinical signs (crackling
sounds heard on pulmonary auscultation) and result of RT-PCR SARS-CoV-2 nasopharyngeal
sample. We didn’t collect the outcome of the patients who were hospitalized.
Diagnosis was confirmed by real-time SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR on nasopharyngeal swab specimen.
For SARS-CoV-2 real-time RT-PCR, viral RNA was extracted using the NucleoSpin® RNA
Virus kit (Macherey–Nagel) according to the manufacturers’ instructions, and amplified
by RT-PCR protocols developed by the Charité (E gene) [2] and the Institut Pasteur
(RdRp gene) [4] on LightCycler 480® (Roche). Quantified positive controls were kindly
provided by the French National Reference Center for Respiratory Viruses, Institut
Pasteur, Paris.
We defined two groups of patients: Group 1 (G1: patients infected by COVID-19 confirmed
by a positive RT-PCR) and Group 2 (G2: patients with a negative RT-PCR result on nasopharyngeal
sample). Concerning the statistical analysis, continuous variables were expressed
as mean and standard deviation (SD) and compared with ANOVA test. Categorical variables
were expressed as number (%) and compared by Chi square test or Fisher's exact test
between the two groups (patients with confirmed COVID-19 and patients with negative
SARS-CoV2 RT-PCR results). A p value < 0.05 was considered significant. We used the
SPSS v24.0 software® (IBM, Armonk, NY, USA).
Results
During the study period, 217 samples (nasopharyngeal swabs) were collected in our
consultation: 95 patients (44%) had a positive SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR confirming the infection
by COVID-19 and 122 patients (56%) had a negative SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR.
Clinical description of patients with COVID-19
In G1 (with positive SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR; n = 95), the mean age of patients was 40 (± 12)
years and 79 (83%) were female. More than two-thirds of patients (72%) were 31 to
60 years-old. The interval between illness onset and the consultation/ sample was
5.3 days (± 2.8).
The most common symptoms (≥ 70% of cases) were cough (79%, n = 75), headache (78%,
n = 74), myalgia (75%, n = 71) and fever (74%, n = 70). Otorhinolaryngological symptoms
were present in more than half of the patients in G1: dysgeusia (65%, n = 62), anosmia
(63%, n = 60) and rhinorrhea (at 62%, n = 59). Only two patients (2/95) patients described
isolated dysgeusia and/or anosmia as clinical symptoms in G1.
Fifty-four patients (57%) had at least one gastro-intestinal (GI) symptom. Twenty
four percent of patients (n = 23) had crackling sounds heard on pulmonary auscultation.
Comparison between the two groups (Table 1)
Table 1
Demographic characteristics and clinical data in patients with positive and negative
SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR on nasopharyngeal swab (n = 217)
Characteristics
Positive RT-PCR (COVID-19)
Negative RT-PCR
p value
(n = 95)
(n = 122)
Demographic characteristics
Age (years) (mean, extremes, SD)
39.8 [18–73]
± 12.2
39.6 [18–61]
± 11.7
0.889
Age range (number, %)
[18–30]
25 (26.3)
33 (27)
1
[31–40]
24 (25.3)
30 (24.6)
1
[41–50]
26 (27.4)
27 (22.1)
0.427
[51–60]
18 (18.9)
27 (22.1)
0.615
[61–70]
1 (1.1)
2 (1.6)
1
[71–80]
1 (1.1)
0
0.438
Sex (number, %)
Male
16 (16.8)
0.448
Female
79 (83.2)
106 (86.9)
0.448
Interval between illness onset and consultation (days: mean, extremes, SD)
5.3 [1–16]
± 2.8
6.12 [1–16]
± 3.3
0.118
Functional Signs
General symptoms
Fever ≥ 38 °C (number, (%))
70 (73.7)
80 (65.6)
0.237
Pain symptoms
Myalgia and/or arthralgia (number, (%))
71 (74.7)
79 (64.8)
0.221
Headache (number, (%))
74 (77.7)
92 (75.4)
0.748
Respiratory symptoms
Cough (number, (%))
75 (78.9)
96 (78.7)
1
Dyspnea (number, (%))
40 (42.1)
50 (41)
0.672
Otorhinolaryngological symptoms
Dysgeusia (number, (%))
62 (65.3)
19 (15.6)
< 0.001
Anosmiaa (number, (%))
60 (63.2)
18 (14.8)
< 0.001
Dysgeusia and anosmia (number, (%))
52 (54.7)
11 (9)
< 0.001
Dysgeusia and/or anosmia (number, (%))
70 (73.7)
27 (22.1)
< 0.001
Rhinorrhea (number, (%))
59 (62.1)
77 (63.1)
0.524
Gastro-intestinal symptomsb (number, (%))
54 (56.8)
69 (56.6)
0.965
Physical examination
Crackling sounds heard on pulmonary auscultation (number, (%))
23 (24.2)
23 (18.9)
0.099
aIn another study (not yet published) about 70 patients infected by COVID-19, there
were no significant difference for viral load (VL) between patients with anosmia and
patients without anosmia (5.45 [1.99–8.64] vs 5.27 [2.11—8.51] log copies/ml respectively,
p = 0,67)
bDefined by: nausea and/or vomiting and/or diarrhea and /or abdominal pain
In our study, only 2 symptoms were statistically more frequent in G1 (PCR-positive)
than in G2 (PCR-negative): dysgeusia (65% vs 16%, p < 0.001) and anosmia (63% vs 15%,
p < 0.001). There were no significant differences in demographic characteristics and
others clinical features between the two groups.
Amongst patients complaining of dysgeusia and anosmia, eleven patients were in G2
(PCR-negative) and 52 patients were in G1 (PCR-positive). Eighty-two percent (n = 9/11)
of these 11 patients in G2 versus 38% (n = 20/52) of the 52 patients in G1 were sampled
more than 5 days after the onset of symptoms (p = 0.017).
Sensitivity, specificity, PPV, and NPV of the symptoms (Table 2)
Table 2
Sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV) and negative predictive
value (NPV) of different symptoms for a positive result of SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR on nasopharyngeal
swab (n = 217)
Characteristics
Sensitivity (%)
Specificity (%)
PPV (%)
NPV (%)
General symptoms
Fever ≥ 38 °C
73.7
34.4
46.7
62.7
Pain symptoms
Myalgia and/or arthralgia
74.7
34.7
47.3
63.6
Headache
77.9
24.6
44.6
58.8
Respiratory symptoms
Cough
78.9
21.3
43.9
56.5
Dyspnea
42.1
58.7
44.4
56.3
Otorhinolaryngological symptoms
Dysgeusia
65.3
84.4
76.5
75.7
Anosmia
63.2
85.2
76.9
74.8
Dysgeusia and anosmia
54.7
91
82.5
72.1
Dysgeusia and/or anosmia
73.7
77.9
72.2
79.2
Rhinorrhea
62.8
36.9
43.4
56.3
Gastro-intestinal symptomsa
58.1
42.5
43.9
56.7
Physical examination
Crackling sounds heard on pulmonary auscultation
24.5
79.8
50
56.2
aDefined by: nausea and/or vomiting and/or diarrhea and/or abdominal pain
The sensitivity of cough, headache, myalgia and fever was respectively 79%, 78%, 75%
and 74% for a positive result of RT-PCR. However, the specificity of these symptoms
was low. The specificity of anosmia, dysgeusia and crackling sounds heard on pulmonary
auscultation was respectively of 85%, 84% and 80%. Specificity of the combination
of anosmia and dysgeusia reached 91% for a positive PCR result. Dysgeusia and anosmia
both had a positive predictive value of 77% for a positive RT-PCR result. The combination
of these 2 symptoms had a positive predictive value of 83% for a positive SARS-CoV-2
RT-PCR result.
Discussion
This study describes a population of 217 outpatients presenting to our consultation
for symptoms suggestive of COVID-19. Ninety-five patients (44%) of these symptomatic
adults were confirmed to be infected by COVID-19 by SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR on nasopharyngeal
sample, (in an area of intense SARS CoV-2 viral circulation). Most of these patients
were health care workers (data not shown). This can explain the age distribution and
the sex-ratio in this series.
In our study, the most common symptoms in the confirmed COVID-19 group were fever,
cough, headache, myalgia and/or arthralgia as already described in medical literature.
In a systematic review and meta-analysis (including 46,248 patients infected with
COVID-19) by Yang et al. [5], the most common symptoms were fever, followed by cough,
fatigue and dyspnea. In our population, dyspnea was reported by only 42% of patients
(probably because they were outpatients, thus without any respiratory distress). We
noticed two otorhinolaryngological symptoms: dysgeusia and anosmia, reported by more
than half of the confirmed COVID-19 patients. These symptoms have been recently described
related to SARS-CoV-2 [3, 6, 7]. Lechien et al. reported gustatory disorders in 89%
of their patients (n = 342/417) and olfactory disorders in 86% (n = 357/417) [6],
these higher percentages may be explained by a selection bias with outpatients consulted
at Otorhinolaryngology department.
In a recent publication, we showed that anosmia began 4.4 (± 1.9 [1–8]) days after
infection onset [7]. The mean duration of anosmia was 8.9 (± 6.3 [1–21]) days and
98% of patients recovered within 28 days [7].
In another study (not yet published), we reconstituted the history of onset of clinical
symptoms of 70 patients with COVID-19: anosmia appears on average 5 days after the
onset of the first other symptoms: pain syndrome appears first (on average 1.6 days
after), then, fever in the second day (on average after 1.9 days) followed by cough
(on average after 3.7 days) and diarrhea (on average after 4.5 days).
Patients with COVID-19 may also develop GI symptoms [8]. In the review of Li et al.
[9], the over-all incidence of diarrhea was 5.8% (n = 145/2506). However in our study,
GI symptoms were present in more than half of our patients, which is similar to the
incidence reported in the European study of Lechien et al. in outpatients [6].
In this epidemic context, the major finding of our work is the positive predictive
value of anosmia (77%), dysgeusia (77%) and combination of anosmia plus dysgeusia
(83%) for a positive SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR on nasopharyngeal sample. The main limitation
for our study is that SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR on nasopharyngeal sample remains an insecure
mean of diagnosis for patients with possible COVID-19. The current bibliography shows
a sensitivity of 56–83% for this test [10]. In our study, only nasopharyngeal SARS-CoV-2
RT-PCR was performed for diagnosis. RT-PCR for SARS-CoV-2 is very specific for COVID-19,
but not enough sensitive. So, it is highly probable that some of the patients reporting
anosmia and/or dysgeusia who tested negative for this RT-PCR may actually be infected
by SARS-CoV-2 (false-negative results of the nasopharyngeal PCR test). Therefore,
the PPV of these symptoms may even be higher for the diagnosis of COVID-19. The false
negative rate of RT-PCR may be explained by a long interval between onset of the disease
and PCR testing (as viral load can decrease or become negative in nasopharyngeal samples
during the second week of COVID-19) [11]. In our study, we noticed that 82% (n = 9/11)
patients, who complained of dysgeusia and anosmia with PCR-negative (G2), were sample
more than 5 days after the onset of symptoms.
We emphasize the utility of prescribing a chest Computed Tomography (CT) scan to detect
early changes due to COVID-19 in cases for which RT-PCR tests show negative results,
despite a high clinical probability of COVID-19 [12]. In our series, 23/112 patients
in G2 had crackling sounds heard on pulmonary auscultation, and it is probable that
some of them may have presented CT scan findings enabling us to validate a diagnosis
of COVID-19. In recent studies, combination of RT-PCR (on respiratory samples) and
serological tests also seems to enhance the sensitivity for COVID biological diagnosis
[13].
Therefore, further studies are needed to find out the real PPV of anosmia and/or dysgeusia
for COVID-19, using a multimodal diagnosing method (RT-PCR ± serology ± CT scan).
These positive predictive values for COVID-19 diagnosis will probably be even higher
than the ones we found in our series with the sole nasopharyngeal SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR.
Conclusion
Anosmia and/or dysgeusia are frequently reported by outpatients consulting for suspicion
of COVID-19 (45% of the patients in our series). It is important for clinician to
know the predictive values of these symptoms. In this epidemic context, RT-PCR tests
are not always widely available and sometimes with long delays. Outpatients presenting
with dysgeusia and/or anosmia may be considered as patients infected with COVID-19,
until microbiological confirmation has been obtained (as they have a high pre-test
probability to be positive for SARS CoV-2 RT-PCR). Furthermore, for patients reporting
dysgeusia and/or anosmia, with a negative RT-PCR SARS-CoV-2, it is necessary to remain
vigilant before ruling out this diagnosis and to maintain hygiene precautions. It
might be useful in these situations to get a deeper respiratory sample (sputum or
naso-tracheal aspiration), and/or to use other diagnostic tools (serology or thoracic
CT scan).