Pacific Sea Surface Temperature Forcing Dominates Orbital Forcing of the Early Holocene Monsoon

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Abstract

Orbital forcing is known to play a primary role in regulating the strength of the south Asian monsoon circulation. In this study, a comparison is made between orbital forcing and Pacific sea surface temperature (SST) forcing of the monsoon through a sequence of atmospheric general circulation model experiments configured for 6,000 and 9,000 yr B.P. Early–mid Holocene orbital parameters are shown to increase continental seasonality as well as the meridional mean, the zonal mean, and the summer monsoon circulations. Winds in the southeast Asian monsoon are weakened by warm Pacific SST to such an extent that the increase in strength caused by early Holocene orbital parameters is offset. These results imply that SSTs are potentially as important as orbital parameters in governing the monsoon and that more data—particularly from the equatorial Pacific—are crucial to deciphering Holocene climate.

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Two ice cores from the col of Huascarán in the north-central Andes of Peru contain a paleoclimatic history extending well into the Wisconsinan (Würm) Glacial Stage and include evidence of the Younger Dryas cool phase. Glacial stage conditions at high elevations in the tropics appear to have been as much as 8 degrees to 12 degrees C cooler than today, the atmosphere contained about 200 times as much dust, and the Amazon Basin forest cover may have been much less extensive. Differences in both the oxygen isotope ratio zeta(18)O (8 per mil) and the deuterium excess (4.5 per mil) from the Late Glacial Stage to the Holocene are comparable with polar ice core records. These data imply that the tropical Atlantic was possibly 5 degrees to 6 degrees C cooler during the Late Glacial Stage, that the climate was warmest from 8400 to 5200 years before present, and that it cooled gradually, culminating with the Little Ice Age (200 to 500 years before present). A strong warming has dominated the last two centuries.