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      Deaths Related to Hurricane Irma — Florida, Georgia, and North Carolina, September 4–October 10, 2017

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          Abstract

          Three powerful and devastating hurricanes from the 2017 Atlantic hurricane season (Harvey [August 17–September 1], Irma [August 30–September 13], and Maria [September 16–October 2]) resulted in the deaths of hundreds of persons. Disaster-related mortality surveillance is critical to an emergency response because it provides government and public health officials with information about the scope of the disaster and topics for prevention messaging. CDC’s Emergency Operations Center collaborated with state health departments in Florida, Georgia, and North Carolina to collect and analyze Hurricane Irma–related mortality data to understand the main circumstances of death. The most common circumstance-of-death categories were exacerbation of existing medical conditions and power outage. Further analysis revealed two unique subcategories of heat-related and oxygen-dependent deaths in which power outage contributed to exacerbation of an existing medical condition. Understanding the need for subcategorization of disaster-related circumstances of death and the possibility of overlapping categories can help public health practitioners derive more effective public health interventions to prevent deaths in future disasters. Hurricane Irma, a Category 5 hurricane (185-mph winds), caused catastrophic damage in the Caribbean before moving northwest and making landfall in Florida on September 10, 2017, as a Category 4 hurricane. Wind damage compromised power lines, and a storm surge caused extensive flooding, primarily along the coast. Irma affected the entire state of Florida; 7 million residents were evacuated ( 1 ) and 6.7 million utility customers lost power ( 2 ). As Irma traveled inland, it weakened to a tropical depression; despite this weakening, 75,000 customers in North Carolina ( 3 ) and >900,000 customers in Georgia ( 4 ) experienced storm-related power losses. As part of CDC’s public health response to the hurricanes, the Epidemiology and Surveillance Task Force in the Emergency Operations Center tracked online media reports of hurricane-associated deaths and contacted states for confirmation ( 5 , 6 ). The Georgia Department of Public Health and North Carolina Department of Health and Human Services provided CDC with information on confirmed hurricane-related deaths. Concurrently, the Florida Department of Health identified deaths associated with Hurricane Irma through examination of vital statistics death data from the electronic death registration system, reports from the Florida Medical Examiners Commission, and media reports. To identify hurricane-related deaths, Florida used text-parsing algorithms to query “How Injury Occurred” and “Literal Cause of Death” fields on the death certificates. Researchers developed a circumstance-of-death categorization scheme based on previous research ( 7 ) and used it to classify Hurricane Irma–related deaths (Box). This report summarizes the circumstances of confirmed Hurricane Irma–related deaths from September 4 to October 10, 2017, in Florida, Georgia, and North Carolina and highlights the need for detailed analysis of disaster-related circumstances of death. BOX Categorization scheme used to classify circumstances of deaths associated with Hurricane Irma — Florida, Georgia, and North Carolina, September 4–October 10, 2017 Directly hurricane-related Accident Trauma from wind/rain-associated structural collapse, falling structures, or flying debris during storm Drowning or asphyxiation from rain/floods/landslides Automobile-related Boat-related Residence/Building-related Other or unknown mechanism Electrocution from lightning Indirectly hurricane-related Natural Hazardous environmental conditions (e.g., leptospirosis) Exacerbation of existing medical condition Emergency medical issue inadequately addressed because of loss/disruption of emergency transportation services Loss/Disruption of usual access to medical/mental health care (e.g., clinics, pharmacies) Loss/Disruption of public utilities (e.g., electricity) needed for medical treatment (e.g., dialysis, oxygen, refrigerated medications, etc.) Loss/Disruption of heat or cooling systems where excess heat/cold exacerbated preexisting medical conditions Primarily induced by stress/anxiety before, during, or after the storm where access to medical services was available (e.g. myocardial infarction) Accident Poisoning Carbon monoxide Industrial hazards Vehicular accident Precipitated by hazardous road/traffic conditions Not precipitated by hazardous conditions, but occurring while in route to or from hurricane-affected area (e.g., involving evacuation of disaster response/aid Preparation/Repair Fall from roof, ladder, etc. Sharp force injury during preparation/repair (e.g., chainsaw injury) Electrocution while working on nonfunctional power line Loss/Disruption of emergency services (e.g., fire department) Burn or smoke inhalation Hazardous or unfamiliar environmental conditions Fall from standing height caused by inadequate lighting, storm debris in walkway, or unfamiliar environment Collapse of unstable structures after storm Electrocution from contact with downed power line Possibly hurricane-related Homicide Suicide Undetermined Source: Categorization scheme based on report by Combs et al. (https://academic.oup.com/ije/article/28/6/1124/771525). Note: Direct deaths are caused by environmental forces of the hurricane and direct consequences of these forces and indirect deaths are caused by unsafe or unhealthy conditions because of loss or disruption of usual services, personal loss, or lifestyle disruption; possibly related deaths include deaths attributed to the hurricane in which the indirect or direct relation of the death to the hurricane is not clear. Among the 129 hurricane-related deaths identified in Florida, Georgia, and North Carolina, 123 (95.3%) occurred in Florida; 88 (68.2%) decedents were male, and the median age was 63 years (range = 1–99 years). Eleven (8.5%) deaths were directly related to the hurricane, 115 (89.1%) were indirectly related, and three (2.3%) were possibly related (Table). TABLE Circumstances of confirmed deaths* related to Hurricane Irma — Florida, Georgia, and North Carolina, September 4–October 10, 2017† Circumstance of death No. of deaths % of total deaths§ Directly hurricane-related¶ 11 8.5 Accident 11 8.5   Drowning related to flooding 7 5.4   Tree-related injuries 4 3.1 Indirectly hurricane-related¶ 115 89.1 Natural 48 37.2   Existing medical condition exacerbation 46 35.7     Stress-related cardiac disease 23 17.8     Heat-related 17 13.2     Oxygen-dependent 3 2.3     Disruption of emergency medical services 3 2.3   Floodwater infection 2 1.6 Accident 67 51.9   Carbon monoxide poisoning 16 12.4   Preparation/Repair injury 15 11.6   Motor vehicle crash 13 10.1   Falls from standing height** 13 10.1   Other†† 12 9.3 Possibly hurricane-related¶ 3 2.3 Homicide 1 0.8 Suicide 1 0.8 Undetermined 1 0.8 * N = 129. † Among the 129 total deaths, 123 are from Florida. The mortality data are accurate as of July 16, 2018. § Might not sum to 100% because of rounding. ¶ Direct deaths are caused by environmental forces of the hurricane and direct consequences of these forces. Indirect deaths are caused by unsafe or unhealthy conditions because of loss or disruption of usual services, personal loss, or lifestyle disruption. Possibly related deaths include deaths attributed to the hurricane in which the indirect or direct relation of the death to the hurricane is not clear. ** Falls from standing height occurred in elderly persons. The word “hurricane” was recorded in the death certificates. Four of the 13 decedents died after the surveillance end date of October 10, 2017, from complications of falls that occurred during the hurricanes. †† Includes deaths caused by drowning not related to flooding (n = 5) and collapse of unstable structures after the hurricane had passed (n = 1). Drowning not related to flooding includes persons found floating in swimming pools; these death certificates contain no mention of flooding. The most common category of indirect circumstance of death was exacerbation of an existing medical condition (46; 35.7%) (Table). Specifically, 23 (17.8%) deaths were associated with chronic health problems, such as cardiac disease, that were exacerbated by stress and anxiety related to the hurricane. Three (2.3%) deaths in chronically ill patients were attributed to disruption of emergency medical services. The remaining 20 (15.5%) deaths associated with exacerbation of an existing medical condition could also be categorized as power outage–related deaths (Figure). Seventeen (13.2%) heat-related deaths were associated with lack of air conditioning, and three (2.3%) deaths occurred in patients whose medical treatment (e.g., supplemental oxygen) was electricity-dependent. Fourteen (10.9%) of the heat-related deaths occurred among geriatric patients with existing chronic diseases who resided in an assisted-living facility in Florida that was without power for several days during a period of hot weather after the hurricane’s landfall. An additional 27 (20.9%) power outage–related deaths were not related to exacerbation of an existing medical condition. These included 16 (12.4%) carbon monoxide poisonings. FIGURE Overlapping circumstances of deaths associated with existing medical condition exacerbation and power outages caused by Hurricane Irma — Florida, Georgia, and North Carolina, September 4– October 10, 2017*,† Abbreviation: CO = carbon monoxide. * Total number of deaths = 73. † Fourteen of the 17 heat-related deaths occurred in residents of an assisted living facility in Florida that was without power for several days. The figure above is a diagram showing the overlapping circumstances of deaths associated with existing medical condition exacerbation and power outages caused by Hurricane Irma in Florida, Georgia, and North Carolina during September 4– October 10, 2017. Discussion Currently no published standardized methodology exists for analyzing disaster-related mortality data to inform public health action and prevent additional deaths. The death certification reference guide released in October 2017 by the National Center for Health Statistics informs medical examiners and coroners about completing death certificates for disaster-related deaths ( 6 ). Public health practitioners can refer to this document to understand current disaster-related death certification processes and how they can collaborate with medical examiners and coroners to obtain the specific mortality data needed to shape disaster-related public health communication strategies. Many public health agencies use traditional surveillance systems and social media surveillance to collect near real-time morbidity and mortality data. The more accurate and thorough the information, the more specifically communicators can target vulnerable groups with appropriate prevention messages. Because circumstance of death typically provides more detailed information than cause of death, using circumstance of death for disaster-related mortality data analysis is more likely to guide public health action. A single cause of death might be associated with multiple circumstances of death. For example, a cause of death such as “blunt force trauma” could be associated with a motor vehicle crash or being struck by a falling object. The specific circumstances can inform different prevention messages. However, abstracting circumstance of death from the death certificate is more challenging than ascertaining the cause of death. Whereas “Cause of Death” is a labeled field in the death certificate, circumstance of death is determined through assessment of information in other free-text fields within the death certificate, such as “How Injury Occurred.” Literature on U.S. hurricane-related mortality from recent decades has categorized circumstances of death ( 8 , 9 ). However, because each disaster is unique, the level of detail available in the circumstance-of-death categories varies across these reports. Not all disasters require a detailed analysis of all death circumstances; however, subcategorization of the most prevalent circumstances of death might reveal additional information that can be used to inform public health messages and interventions. For example, the circumstance of exacerbation of an existing medical condition might include subcategories such as stress-induced, disruption of emergency medical services, and power outage. Public health messaging about hurricane safety and prevention of hurricane-related injuries should be communicated effectively in the hurricane preparation and response phases ( 10 ). With a sound understanding that death circumstances can be subcategorized and that categories might overlap, public health practitioners can perform supplemental analyses that will inform more specific and effective public health messaging and interventions to reduce disaster-related injury and illness. By looking at overlapping circumstances of death, analysis of Hurricane Irma mortality data revealed two unique subcategories of heat-related and oxygen-dependent deaths in which power outage contributed to exacerbation of an existing medical condition. Deaths associated jointly with power outages and existing medical condition exacerbation can be minimized by prioritizing power restoration to locations with vulnerable populations, including elderly persons and those with chronic diseases who are especially prone to heat-related illness. In addition, public health messages emphasizing generator safety and widespread use of carbon monoxide detectors can help reduce power outage–related carbon monoxide poisoning. The findings in this report are subject to at least one limitation. The data might not include all deaths related to Hurricane Irma. As during any disaster, delayed reports of indirectly related deaths might not be recorded because of the imposed end dates of disaster-related mortality surveillance. In addition, death certifiers might change and refine circumstances of death as new information becomes available after registration of the death certificate; these death records are not included. Understanding the need for subcategorization of disaster-related circumstances of death can help public health practitioners develop more effective public health interventions to prevent deaths in future disasters. Summary What is already known about this topic? Collecting and analyzing mortality data is important for understanding the main circumstances of deaths related to a disaster such as Hurricane Irma. What is added by this report? Among deaths attributed to Hurricane Irma, the most common circumstance-of-death categories were exacerbation of existing medical conditions and power outage. Further analysis revealed two unique subcategories of heat-related and oxygen-dependent deaths in which power outage contributed to exacerbation of an existing medical condition. What are the implications for public health practice? Understanding the need for subcategorization of disaster-related circumstances of death can help public health practitioners develop more effective public health interventions to prevent deaths in future disasters.

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          Assessing disaster-attributed mortality: development and application of a definition and classification matrix.

          A useful step in developing and implementing sound policies to prevent disaster-attributed mortality is to classify the relationship between disasters and mortality. While there are classification methods for specific health outcomes, there is no standard method that includes all potential outcomes from exposure to a natural disaster. Without standards, our ability to assess health effects from disasters and implement prevention programmes is limited. We present a method for ascertaining and classifying disaster-attributed mortality which includes a case definition, flow chart, and matrix. The matrix is used for coding, reporting, and evaluating information about manner, cause, and circumstance of disaster-attributed deaths and geographical location and time of the disaster. To illustrate its use, two readers determine and classify deaths attributed to Hurricane Andrew (1992, USA). Of 322 deaths investigated by the Dade County Medical Examiner's Office, our readers showed 97% (313/322) agreement on case status and 83% (35/42) agreement on case classification. Our definition allows for a liberal interpretation of what constitutes disaster-related circumstances and the conditions or diseases that might arise from these circumstances. The inclusion of the flow chart and matrix provides a framework for consistent case classification and reporting. It also provides information about relationships between exposures and health effects, thereby identifying prevention policy needs.
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            Deaths Associated with Hurricane Sandy — October–November 2012

            On October 29, 2012, Hurricane Sandy* hit the northeastern U.S. coastline. Sandy’s tropical storm winds stretched over 900 miles (1,440 km), causing storm surges and destruction over a larger area than that affected by hurricanes with more intensity but narrower paths. Based on storm surge predictions, mandatory evacuations were ordered on October 28, including for New York City’s Evacuation Zone A, the coastal zone at risk for flooding from any hurricane (1). By October 31, the region had 6–12 inches (15–30 cm) of precipitation, 7–8 million customers without power, approximately 20,000 persons in shelters, and news reports of numerous fatalities (Robert Neurath, CDC, personal communication, 2013). To characterize deaths related to Sandy, CDC analyzed data on 117 hurricane-related deaths captured by American Red Cross (Red Cross) mortality tracking during October 28–November 30, 2012. This report describes the results of that analysis, which found drowning was the most common cause of death related to Sandy, and 45% of drowning deaths occurred in flooded homes in Evacuation Zone A. Drowning is a leading cause of hurricane death but is preventable with advance warning systems and evacuation plans. Emergency plans should ensure that persons receive and comprehend evacuation messages and have the necessary resources to comply with them. Red Cross tracks deaths during disasters to provide services to surviving family members, including crisis counseling, assistance with disaster-related expenses, locating emergency housing, identifying recovery resources, and addressing disaster-related health needs. Red Cross volunteers search for reports of disaster-related deaths from sources such as funeral home directors, the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), hospitals, and news reports. Volunteers then obtain information about these deaths from sources including the medical examiner/coroner, physician, fire department/police, and family of the decedent (2). Deaths included in this analysis were any Sandy-related death recorded on a Red Cross mortality form with a date of death up to November 30, 2012. Mortality forms included the decedent’s age, sex, race (white, black, Asian, other, or unknown), and date and location of death. Disaster-related deaths were categorized as direct or indirect. Directly related deaths are deaths caused by the environmental force of the disaster (e.g., wind or flood) or by the direct consequences of these forces (e.g., structural collapse). Indirectly related deaths are defined as deaths occurring in a situation in which the disaster led to unsafe conditions (e.g., hazardous roads) or caused a loss or disruption of usual services that contributed to the death (e.g., loss of electrical services) (2). Deaths without direct or indirect classification were reported as unknown or possibly related deaths. Daily counts of direct, indirect, and unknown/possibly related deaths were calculated based on the dates of each death. The characteristics of drowning deaths were compared with all deaths using chi-square tests of trend and t-tests. Home addresses of decedents whose drowning death occurred in the home were examined with respect to FEMA’s hurricane storm surge area (field-verified as of November 11, 2012 [3]) and known, geographically defined areas under evacuation order (i.e., New York City’s Evacuation Zone A) (1). What is already known on this topic? Despite advances in hurricane warning and evacuation systems, drowning remains one of the leading causes of hurricane-related deaths. What is added by this report? A total of 117 deaths related to Hurricane Sandy were reported via the American Red Cross mortality tracking system. Drowning was the leading cause, accounting for approximately one third of the deaths. More than half (52.5%) of the drowning deaths occurred in the decedent’s home; the majority of these homes were located in New York City’s Evacuation Zone A. What are the implications for public health practice? Drowning is a preventable cause of hurricane-related death. Hurricane response plans should ensure that persons receive and comprehend evacuation messages and have the necessary resources to comply with them. A total of 117 deaths were reported on Red Cross mortality forms. The source of information for the mortality forms was a medical examiner/coroner for 94 (80.3%) cases and the family of the decedent for 10 (8.5%) cases (Table). Most deaths occurred in New York (53 [45.3%]) and New Jersey (34 [29.1%]); the other deaths occurred in Pennsylvania, West Virginia, Connecticut, and Maryland. The deaths occurred during October 28–November 29, 2012 (Figure 1). Approximately half of the deaths (60 [51.3%]) occurred on the first 2 days of the storm’s landfall, with a peak of 37 deaths on October 30, 2012. Decedents ranged in age from 1 to 94 years (mean: 60 years, median: 65 years); 60.7% were male, and 53.8% were white. Of the 117 deaths, 67 (57.3%) were classified as directly related deaths, and 38 (32.5%) were indirectly related to the storm. Of the directly related deaths, the most common mechanism was drowning (40 [59.7%]), followed by trauma from being crushed, cut, or struck (19 [28.4%]). Poisoning was the most common indirectly related cause of death; of the 10 poisonings, nine were caused by carbon monoxide. Most directly related deaths occurred during the first few days of the storm, whereas indirectly related deaths continued from the day before the storm into the middle of November. Comparing the 40 drowning deaths to all Sandy-related deaths, the age, sex, and race distributions of decedents were similar (Table). The majority of drowning deaths (29 [72.5%]) also occurred in the initial phase of the storm, during October 29–31. Twenty-one (52.5%) drowning deaths occurred in the decedent’s home, and 11 (27.5%) occurred outside; one person drowned in a flooded commercial building lobby, and another person drowned while intentionally swimming off a storm-affected beach. For six deaths, circumstances of the drowning were not available. The location of drowning deaths by state was significantly different (p<0.05) compared with all Sandy-related deaths. The majority of drowning deaths (32 [80.0%]) occurred in New York, whereas deaths in New York accounted for only 27.3% of nondrowning deaths. Twenty decedents drowned in flooded homes in New York, and home addresses for 18 (90.0%) of them were located in Evacuation Zone A (Figure 2); the other two decedents’ homes were in or near areas of flooding and near Evacuation Zone A. Notes written by Red Cross volunteers on these 20 deaths captured decedents’ reasons for not evacuating, such as “afraid of looters,” “thought Hurricane Irene was mild,” and “unable to leave because did not have transportation.” Editorial Note The “perfect storm” weather conditions of Hurricane Sandy resulted in extensive damage to infrastructure and large flood zones (4). The direct and indirect impacts of the storm led to challenging, and sometimes deadly, conditions for residents, including prolonged power outages, storm surges, and disrupted services. More than half (51.3%) of deaths from Sandy occurred within the first 2 days of the storm, and the most common cause of death was drowning. Approximately half of the drowning deaths were in flooded homes located in areas that were under mandatory evacuation orders as of October 28, 2012, the day before Sandy’s landfall (1). Before the 1970s, drowning from wind-driven storm surges was by far the most common cause of hurricane-related death (5). Advances in hurricane warning and evacuation systems have helped to reduce drowning deaths. Since that time, hurricanes have had other leading causes of death, such as trauma for the Florida hurricanes in 2004 and 2005, and carbon monoxide poisoning for Hurricane Ike in 2008 (6,7). However, drowning continues to be an important cause of death, and was the leading cause for Hurricane Katrina (2005) and Sandy (8). The findings in this report are subject to at least two limitations. First, the number of deaths reported is limited to those captured through Red Cross mortality tracking, which is only activated in areas with a Red Cross Disaster Relief Operation. In an evaluation of Red Cross mortality tracking versus Texas’ active disaster-related mortality surveillance during Hurricane Ike, Red Cross had a sensitivity of 47% (Red Cross cases compared with Texas cases) and positive predictive value of 92% (Red Cross Ike cases compared with all Red Cross cases); thus, the cases presented in this report are likely to be actual cases but are unlikely to include all Sandy-related deaths (2). Media sources have reported 131 fatalities in the United States from the storm (9); Sandy mortality statistics, including death certificates, are pending official release. Second, the specific location of death was only available for decedents who died at home, limiting other geographic comparisons. Additionally, New York City’s Evacuation Zones provided the only geographic data available for identifying areas of evacuation; however, 95% of all drowning deaths at home were in or near these areas. Hurricane-related drowning deaths in evacuation zones are preventable. A successful evacuation depends on officials providing timely messaging to all affected persons, on persons receiving those messages, and on persons having the capacity, resources, and willingness to evacuate. The penetration of evacuation messages to decedents or their communities was not assessed in this report, but future research should evaluate the effectiveness of the hurricane evacuation orders. Given the inability and unwillingness of some residents to evacuate, additional research is needed to identify barriers and motivators for persons during an evacuation and the effectiveness of interventions designed to assist these persons.
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              Hurricane Isabel-related mortality--virginia, 2003.

              Hurricane Isabel had a massive negative environmental, public health, and economic impact; Virginia bore the highest death toll (32) among nine states affected by this storm. A descriptive mortality analysis was conducted to identify modifiable risk factors and corresponding injury prevention measures that might mitigate future natural disaster-related morbidity and mortality in Virginia.
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                Author and article information

                Journal
                MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep
                MMWR Morb. Mortal. Wkly. Rep
                WR
                Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report
                Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
                0149-2195
                1545-861X
                03 August 2018
                03 August 2018
                : 67
                : 30
                : 829-832
                Affiliations
                Epidemic Intelligence Service, CDC; Division of Environmental Health Science and Practice, National Center for Environmental Health, CDC; Florida Department of Health; Applied Epidemiology Fellowship Program, Council of State and Territorial Epidemiologists; Georgia Department of Public Health; North Carolina Department of Health and Human Services.
                Author notes
                Corresponding author: Tegan Boehmer, tboehmer@ 123456cdc.gov , 770-488-3714.
                Article
                mm6730a5
                10.15585/mmwr.mm6730a5
                6072056
                30070979
                b449e787-6b99-4d2c-81e9-bfb2656b116e

                All material in the MMWR Series is in the public domain and may be used and reprinted without permission; citation as to source, however, is appreciated.

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