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      Combined epidemiological and genomic analysis of nosocomial SARS-CoV-2 infection early in the pandemic and the role of unidentified cases in transmission

      research-article
      1 , 2 , 3 , 2 ,   4 , 1 , 2 , 6 , 1 , 4 , 5 , 5 , 1 , 6 , 6 , 5 , 5 , 1 , 2 , 5 , 5 , 5 , 2 , 1 , 2 , The COVID-19 Genomics UK (COG-UK) consortium ∗∗ , #
      Clinical Microbiology and Infection
      Published by Elsevier Ltd on behalf of European Society of Clinical Microbiology and Infectious Diseases.
      Healthcare-associated infection, Molecular epidemiology, nosocomial transmission, SARS-CoV-2, Whole genome sequencing

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          Abstract

          Objectives

          Analysis of nosocomial transmission in the early stages of the pandemic at a large multi-site healthcare institution. Nosocomial incidence is linked with infection control interventions..

          Methods

          Viral genome sequence and epidemiological data were analysed for 574 consecutive SARS-CoV-2 PCR-positive patients including 86 nosocomial cases during the first 19 days of the pandemic.

          Results

          44 putative transmission clusters were found through epidemiological analysis, which included 234 cases and all 86 nosocomial cases. SARS-CoV-2 genome sequence was obtained from 168/234 (72%) of these cases in epidemiological clusters, including 77/86 (90%) nosocomial cases. Only 75/168 (45%) linked, sequenced cases were not refuted by applying genomic data, creating 14 final clusters accounting for 59/77 (77%) sequenced nosocomial cases. Viral haplotypes from these clusters were enriched 1-14x (median 4x) compared to the community. Three factors implicated unidentified cases in transmission: i) community-onset or indeterminate cases were absent in 7/14 (50%) of clusters ii) 4 (29%) clusters had additional evidence of cryptic transmission. iii) In 3 (21%) clusters, diagnosis of the earliest case was delayed which may have facilitated transmission. Nosocomial cases decreased to low levels (0-2 per day) despite continuing high numbers of admissions of community-onset SARS-CoV-2 cases (40-50 per day) and before the impact of introducing universal face-masks or banning hospital visitors.

          Conclusion

          Genomics was necessary to accurately resolve transmission clusters Our data supports unidentified cases, such as healthcare workers or asymptomatic patients, as important vectors of transmission. Evidence is needed to ascertain whether routine screening increases case ascertainment and limits nosocomial transmission.

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          Most cited references24

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          Clinical Characteristics of 138 Hospitalized Patients With 2019 Novel Coronavirus–Infected Pneumonia in Wuhan, China

          In December 2019, novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV)-infected pneumonia (NCIP) occurred in Wuhan, China. The number of cases has increased rapidly but information on the clinical characteristics of affected patients is limited.
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            Is Open Access

            A pneumonia outbreak associated with a new coronavirus of probable bat origin

            Since the outbreak of severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) 18 years ago, a large number of SARS-related coronaviruses (SARSr-CoVs) have been discovered in their natural reservoir host, bats 1–4 . Previous studies have shown that some bat SARSr-CoVs have the potential to infect humans 5–7 . Here we report the identification and characterization of a new coronavirus (2019-nCoV), which caused an epidemic of acute respiratory syndrome in humans in Wuhan, China. The epidemic, which started on 12 December 2019, had caused 2,794 laboratory-confirmed infections including 80 deaths by 26 January 2020. Full-length genome sequences were obtained from five patients at an early stage of the outbreak. The sequences are almost identical and share 79.6% sequence identity to SARS-CoV. Furthermore, we show that 2019-nCoV is 96% identical at the whole-genome level to a bat coronavirus. Pairwise protein sequence analysis of seven conserved non-structural proteins domains show that this virus belongs to the species of SARSr-CoV. In addition, 2019-nCoV virus isolated from the bronchoalveolar lavage fluid of a critically ill patient could be neutralized by sera from several patients. Notably, we confirmed that 2019-nCoV uses the same cell entry receptor—angiotensin converting enzyme II (ACE2)—as SARS-CoV.
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              The Incubation Period of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) From Publicly Reported Confirmed Cases: Estimation and Application

              Background: A novel human coronavirus, severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), was identified in China in December 2019. There is limited support for many of its key epidemiologic features, including the incubation period for clinical disease (coronavirus disease 2019 [COVID-19]), which has important implications for surveillance and control activities. Objective: To estimate the length of the incubation period of COVID-19 and describe its public health implications. Design: Pooled analysis of confirmed COVID-19 cases reported between 4 January 2020 and 24 February 2020. Setting: News reports and press releases from 50 provinces, regions, and countries outside Wuhan, Hubei province, China. Participants: Persons with confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection outside Hubei province, China. Measurements: Patient demographic characteristics and dates and times of possible exposure, symptom onset, fever onset, and hospitalization. Results: There were 181 confirmed cases with identifiable exposure and symptom onset windows to estimate the incubation period of COVID-19. The median incubation period was estimated to be 5.1 days (95% CI, 4.5 to 5.8 days), and 97.5% of those who develop symptoms will do so within 11.5 days (CI, 8.2 to 15.6 days) of infection. These estimates imply that, under conservative assumptions, 101 out of every 10 000 cases (99th percentile, 482) will develop symptoms after 14 days of active monitoring or quarantine. Limitation: Publicly reported cases may overrepresent severe cases, the incubation period for which may differ from that of mild cases. Conclusion: This work provides additional evidence for a median incubation period for COVID-19 of approximately 5 days, similar to SARS. Our results support current proposals for the length of quarantine or active monitoring of persons potentially exposed to SARS-CoV-2, although longer monitoring periods might be justified in extreme cases. Primary Funding Source: U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, National Institute of General Medical Sciences, and Alexander von Humboldt Foundation.
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                Author and article information

                Journal
                Clin Microbiol Infect
                Clin Microbiol Infect
                Clinical Microbiology and Infection
                Published by Elsevier Ltd on behalf of European Society of Clinical Microbiology and Infectious Diseases.
                1198-743X
                1469-0691
                13 August 2021
                13 August 2021
                Affiliations
                [7 ]Centre for Clinical Infection and Diagnostics Research, Department of Infectious Diseases, School of Immunology and Microbial Sciences, King’s College London
                [8 ]Directorate of Infection, Guy’s and St Thomas’ NHS Foundation Trust, London
                [9 ]Genomics Innovation Unit, Guy's and St. Thomas' NHS Foundation Trust, London
                [1 ]Centre for Clinical Infection and Diagnostics Research, Department of Infectious Diseases, School of Immunology and Microbial Sciences, King’s College London
                [2 ]Directorate of Infection, Guy’s and St Thomas’ NHS Foundation Trust, London
                [3 ]Genomics Innovation Unit, Guy's and St. Thomas' NHS Foundation Trust, London
                [4 ]University College London, Gower St, London
                [5 ]Department of Infectious Diseases, King’s College London, London
                [6 ]Infection Sciences, Viapath, St Thomas’ Hospital, London
                Author notes
                []Corresponding author. Genomics Innovation Unit, Guy’s Hospital, London, UK, SE1 9RT. +44 (0)2071883100.
                [ˆ]

                These authors are joint senior authors.

                [#]

                Full list of consortium names and affiliations are in the appendix.

                Article
                S1198-743X(21)00435-3
                10.1016/j.cmi.2021.07.040
                8361005
                34400345
                b4d49827-d2da-497d-9669-051a323b0bcb
                © 2021 Published by Elsevier Ltd on behalf of European Society of Clinical Microbiology and Infectious Diseases.

                Since January 2020 Elsevier has created a COVID-19 resource centre with free information in English and Mandarin on the novel coronavirus COVID-19. The COVID-19 resource centre is hosted on Elsevier Connect, the company's public news and information website. Elsevier hereby grants permission to make all its COVID-19-related research that is available on the COVID-19 resource centre - including this research content - immediately available in PubMed Central and other publicly funded repositories, such as the WHO COVID database with rights for unrestricted research re-use and analyses in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for free by Elsevier for as long as the COVID-19 resource centre remains active.

                History
                : 3 May 2021
                : 28 July 2021
                : 31 July 2021
                Categories
                Original Article

                Microbiology & Virology
                healthcare-associated infection,molecular epidemiology,nosocomial transmission,sars-cov-2,whole genome sequencing

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