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      The influence of acute kidney injury on the outcome of Stevens–Johnson syndrome and toxic epidermal necrolysis: The prognostic value of KDIGO staging

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          Abstract

          Background

          Stevens–Johnson syndrome (SJS), toxic epidermal necrolysis (TEN), and SJS/TEN overlap syndrome are severe drug-induced cutaneous adverse reactions with high mortality. Acute kidney injury (AKI) was a common complication in an SJS/TEN group and noted as an independent risk factor for mortality in patients with SJS/TEN. To determine whether AKI staging can predict the outcome of patients with SJS/TEN, we compared the discriminative power of an AKI KDIGO staging system with that of SCROTEN, APACHE II, APACHE III, and SOFA.

          Materials and methods

          We retrospectively analyzed the data of 75 patients who were diagnosed with SJS, TEN, or SJS/TEN overlap syndrome at a tertiary care university hospital between January 1, 2011 and December 31, 2014. The baseline characteristics, biochemical analysis data, medication use, and outcomes of the patients were assessed, and the discriminative ability for predicting mortality was determined for each prognostic model.

          Results

          Of the 75 patients, 23 (30.7%) had AKI, of whom 13 (56.5%) died during the index admission. Of the prognostic risk models analyzed, the KDIGO staging system showed similar discriminative ability in predicting in-hospital mortality as did the other models. In addition, combining KDIGO with other scoring systems yielded significantly more accurate risk prediction for in-hospital mortality compared with the other individual scores alone, as measured by net reclassification index. The patients with KDIGO stages 2 and 3 exhibited a significantly lower 1-year survival rate than did those with KDIGO stages 0 and 1.

          Conclusion

          AKI KDIGO staging has good discriminative ability and is easy to utilize for predicting mortality.

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          Most cited references24

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          SCORTEN: a severity-of-illness score for toxic epidermal necrolysis.

          The mortality of toxic epidermal necrolysis is about 30%. Our purpose was to develop and validate a specific severity-of-illness score for cases of toxic epidermal necrolysis admitted to a specialized unit and to compare it with the Simplified Acute Physiology Score and a burn scoring system. A sample of 165 patients was used to develop the toxic epidermal necrolysis-specific severity-of-illness score and evaluate the other scores, a sample of 75 for validation. Model development used logistic regression equations that were translated into probability of hospital mortality; validation used measures of calibration and discrimination. We identified seven independent risk factors for death and constituted the toxic epidermal necrolysis-specific severity-of-illness score: age above 40 y, malignancy, tachycardia above 120 per min, initial percentage of epidermal detachment above 10%, serum urea above 10 mmol per liter, serum glucose above 14 mmol per liter, and bicarbonate below 20 mmol per liter. For each toxic epidermal necrolysis-specific severity-of-illness score point the odds ratio was 3.45 (confidence interval 2.26-5.25). Probability of death was: P(death) = elogit/1 + elogit with logit = -4.448 + 1.237 (toxic epidermal nec-rolysis-specific severity-of-illness score). Calibration demonstrated excellent agreement between expected (19. 6%) and actual (20%) mortality; discrimination was also excellent with a receiver operating characteristic area of 82%. The Simplified Acute Physiology Score and the burn score were also associated with mortality. The discriminatory powers were poorer (receiver operating characteristic area: 72 and 75%) and calibration of the Simplified Acute Physiology Score indicated a poor agreement between expected (9.1%) and actual (26.7%) mortality. This study demonstrates that the risk of death of toxic epidermal necrolysis patients can be accurately predicted by the toxic epidermal necrolysis-specific severity-of-illness score. The Simplified Acute Physiology Score and burn score appear to be less adequate.
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            Declining mortality in patients with acute renal failure, 1988 to 2002.

            Despite improvements in intensive care and dialysis, some experts have concluded that outcomes associated with acute renal failure (ARF) have not improved significantly over time. ARF was studied in hospitalized patients between 1988 and 2002 using the Nationwide Inpatient Sample, a nationally representative sample of discharges from acute-care, nonfederal hospitals. During a 15-yr period, 5,563,381 discharges with ARF and 598,768 with ARF that required dialysis (ARF-D) were identified. Between 1988 and 2002, the incidence of ARF rose from 61 to 288 per 100,000 population; the incidence of ARF-D increased from 4 to 27 per 100,000 population. Between 1988 and 2002, in-hospital mortality declined steadily in patients with ARF (40.4 to 20.3%; P < 0.001) and in those with ARF-D (41.3 to 28.1%; P < 0.001). Compared with 1988 to 1992, the multivariable-adjusted odds ratio (OR) of death was lower in 1993 to 1997 (ARF: OR 0.62, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.61 to 0.64; ARF-D: OR 0.63, 95% CI 0.59 to 0.66) and 1998 to 2002 (ARF: OR 0.40, 95% CI 0.39 to 0.41; ARF-D: OR 0.47, 95% CI 0.45 to 0.50). The percentage of patients who had ARF with a Deyo-Charlson comorbidity index of 3 or more increased from 16.4% in 1988 to 26.6% in 2002 (P < 0.001). This study provides evidence from an administrative database that the incidence of ARF and ARF-D is rising. Despite an increase in the degree of comorbidity, in-hospital mortality has declined.
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              Morbidity and Mortality of Stevens-Johnson Syndrome and Toxic Epidermal Necrolysis in United States Adults.

              Stevens-Johnson syndrome (SJS) and toxic epidermal necrolysis (TEN) are life-threatening disorders. Our study objective was to describe the incidence, costs of care, length of stay, comorbidities, and mortality of SJS and TEN in US adults. The Nationwide Inpatient Sample 2009-2012, containing a 20% sample of all US hospitalizations, was analyzed. We used a validated approach involving International Classification of Disease, 9th edition, Clinical Modification codes to identify SJS, SJS/TEN, and TEN (n = 2,591, n = 502, and n = 564, respectively). The mean estimated incidences of SJS, SJS/TEN, and TEN were 9.2, 1.6, and 1.9 per million adults per year, respectively. SJS/TEN was associated with nonwhite race, particularly Asians (odds ratio = 3.27, 95% confidence interval = 3.02-3.54) and blacks (odds ratio = 2.01, 95% confidence interval = 1.92-2.10). Significantly prolonged length of stay and higher costs of care (SJS: 9.8 ± 0.3 days, $21,437 ± $807; SJS/TEN: 16.5 ± 1.0 days, $58,954 ± $5,238; TEN: 16.2 ± 1.0 days, $53,695 ± $4,037) were observed compared with all other admissions (4.7 ± 0.02 days, $11,281 ± $98). Mean adjusted mortality was 4.8% for SJS, 19.4% for SJS/TEN, and 14.8% for TEN. SJS, SJS/TEN, and TEN pose a substantial health care burden. Predictors of mortality included increasing age, increasing number of chronic conditions, infection (septicemia, pneumonia, tuberculosis), hematological malignancy (non-Hodgkin's lymphoma, leukemia), and renal failure (P ≤ 0.03 for all). Further studies are needed to confirm mortality findings to improve prognostication of SJS/TEN.
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                Author and article information

                Contributors
                Role: Data curationRole: InvestigationRole: Writing – original draft
                Role: ConceptualizationRole: Formal analysisRole: Writing – original draftRole: Writing – review & editing
                Role: Data curationRole: InvestigationRole: MethodologyRole: Project administrationRole: Validation
                Role: Formal analysisRole: InvestigationRole: Project administration
                Role: Formal analysisRole: Methodology
                Role: Formal analysisRole: InvestigationRole: Project administration
                Role: InvestigationRole: MethodologyRole: Supervision
                Role: ResourcesRole: Supervision
                Role: MethodologyRole: ResourcesRole: SupervisionRole: Validation
                Role: ConceptualizationRole: Funding acquisitionRole: ResourcesRole: ValidationRole: VisualizationRole: Writing – review & editing
                Role: Editor
                Journal
                PLoS One
                PLoS ONE
                plos
                plosone
                PLoS ONE
                Public Library of Science (San Francisco, CA USA )
                1932-6203
                7 September 2018
                2018
                : 13
                : 9
                : e0203642
                Affiliations
                [1 ] Kidney Research Center, Department of Nephrology, Change Gung Memorial Hospital, Linkou branch, Taoyuan, Taiwan
                [2 ] Graduate Institute of Clinical Medical Science, College of Medicine, Chang Gung University, Taoyuan, Taiwan
                [3 ] Department of Dermatology, Drug Hypersensitivity Clinical and Research Center, Chang Gung Memorial Hospital, Taipei, Linkou and Keelung, Taiwan
                [4 ] Clinical Informatics and Medical Statistics Research Center, College of Medicine, Chang Gung University, Taoyuan, Taiwan
                [5 ] Division of Allergy, Asthma, and Rheumatology, Department of Pediatrics, Chang Gung Memorial Hospital, Taoyuan, Taiwan
                [6 ] Division of Nephrology, Department of Medicine, Keelung Chang Gung Memorial Hospital, Keelung, Taiwan
                National Yang-Ming University, TAIWAN
                Author notes

                Competing Interests: The authors have declared that no competing interests exist.

                Author information
                http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6973-5908
                http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7342-335X
                Article
                PONE-D-18-11374
                10.1371/journal.pone.0203642
                6128626
                30192870
                b662bd08-3a4c-43c1-8464-80766761a321
                © 2018 Lee et al

                This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.

                History
                : 16 April 2018
                : 26 August 2018
                Page count
                Figures: 2, Tables: 5, Pages: 12
                Funding
                Funded by: Chang Gung Memorial Hospital, Linkou (TW)
                Award ID: CORPG5G0071
                Award Recipient :
                Funded by: Chang Gung Memorial Hospital, Linkou (TW)
                Award ID: CORPG5G0081
                Award Recipient :
                This work was supported by the Research Grant of Linkou Chang-Gung Memorial Hospital, grant number CORPG5G0071 (CCL) and CORPG5G0081 (CHC).
                Categories
                Research Article
                Biology and Life Sciences
                Population Biology
                Population Metrics
                Death Rates
                Biology and Life Sciences
                Anatomy
                Renal System
                Kidneys
                Medicine and Health Sciences
                Anatomy
                Renal System
                Kidneys
                Medicine and Health Sciences
                Nephrology
                Chronic Kidney Disease
                Medicine and health sciences
                Pharmacology
                Drugs
                Analgesics
                NSAIDs
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                Pain management
                Analgesics
                NSAIDs
                Physical Sciences
                Chemistry
                Chemical Compounds
                Organic Compounds
                Urea
                Physical Sciences
                Chemistry
                Organic Chemistry
                Organic Compounds
                Urea
                Medicine and Health Sciences
                Health Care
                Health Care Facilities
                Hospitals
                Medicine and Health Sciences
                Nephrology
                Medical Dialysis
                Medicine and Health Sciences
                Diagnostic Medicine
                Signs and Symptoms
                Sepsis
                Medicine and Health Sciences
                Pathology and Laboratory Medicine
                Signs and Symptoms
                Sepsis
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