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      MASSAI: Multi-agent system for simulating sustainable agricultural intensification of smallholder farms in Africa

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          Abstract

          The research and development needed to achieve sustainability of African smallholder agricultural and natural systems has led to a wide array of theoretical frameworks for conceptualising socioecological processes and functions. However, there are few analytical tools for spatio-temporal empirical approaches to implement use cases, which is a prerequisite to understand the performance of smallholder farms in the real world. This study builds a multi-agent system (MAS) to operationalise the Sustainable Agricultural Intensification (SAI) theoretical framework (MASSAI). This is an essential tool for spatio-temporal simulation of farm productivity to evaluate sustainability trends into the future at fine scale of a managed plot. MASSAI evaluates dynamic nutrient transfer using smallholder nutrient monitoring functions which have been calibrated with parameters from Malawi and the region. It integrates two modules: the Environmental (EM) and Behavioural (BM) ones.

          • The EM assess dynamic natural nutrient inputs (sedimentation and atmospheric deposition) and outputs (leaching, erosion and gaseous loses) as a product of bioclimatic factors and land use activities.

          • An integrated BM assess the impact of farmer decisions which influence farm-level inputs (fertilizer, manure, biological N fixation) and outputs (crop yields and associated grain).

          • A use case of input subsidies, common in Africa, markedly influence fertilizer access and the impact of different policy scenarios on decision-making, crop productivity, and nutrient balance are simulated. This is of use for empirical analysis smallholder's sustainability trajectories given the pro-poor development policy support.

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          Random Forests

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            A safe operating space for humanity.

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              Agricultural intensification and ecosystem properties.

              Expansion and intensification of cultivation are among the predominant global changes of this century. Intensification of agriculture by use of high-yielding crop varieties, fertilization,irrigation, and pesticides has contributed substantially to the tremendous increases in food production over the past 50 years. Land conversion and intensification,however, also alter the biotic interactions and patterns of resource availability in ecosystems and can have serious local, regional, and global environmental consequences.The use of ecologically based management strategies can increase the sustainability of agricultural production while reducing off-site consequences.
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                Author and article information

                Contributors
                Journal
                MethodsX
                MethodsX
                MethodsX
                Elsevier
                2215-0161
                30 October 2023
                December 2023
                30 October 2023
                : 11
                : 102467
                Affiliations
                [a ]Center for Development Research, University of Bonn, Genscherallee 3, Bonn 53113, Germany
                [b ]CGIAR Research Program on Grain Legumes and Dry Cereals (CRP GLDC), International Center for Agricultural Research in the Dry Areas (ICARDA), 2 Port Said, Victoria Sq., Ismail El-Shaaer Building, Maadi, Cairo, Egypt
                [c ]Department of Plant, Soil and Microbial Sciences, Michigan State University, 1066 Bogue St., East Lansing, MI 48824, USA
                [d ]New Zealand Forest Research Institute, Ltd (Scion), Te Papa Tipu Innovation Park, 49 Sala Street, Rotorua, 3046, New Zealand
                [e ]International Center for Tropical Agriculture (CIAT), Gurd Sholla Area, Bole Sub-city, Woreda 6, Addis ababa P.O. Box 5689, Ethiopia
                Author notes
                [* ]Corresponding author at: Center for Development Research, University of Bonn, Genscherallee 3, Bonn 53113, Germany. p.mponela@ 123456cgiar.org
                Article
                S2215-0161(23)00463-6 102467
                10.1016/j.mex.2023.102467
                10643297
                b6973a50-2217-42da-b9e7-aeb9165a3bd6
                © 2023 The Author(s)

                This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).

                History
                : 4 May 2023
                : 27 October 2023
                Categories
                Agricultural and Biological Science

                re-orienting farm input subsidy,farmer behaviour,nutrient balance,farm productivity,massai: multi-agent system for simulating agricultural intensification

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