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      Reply to: No specific relationship between hypnotic suggestibility and the rubber hand illusion

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      Nature Communications
      Nature Publishing Group UK
      Psychology, Human behaviour

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          Evaluating Effect Size in Psychological Research: Sense and Nonsense

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            Using Bayes to get the most out of non-significant results

            No scientific conclusion follows automatically from a statistically non-significant result, yet people routinely use non-significant results to guide conclusions about the status of theories (or the effectiveness of practices). To know whether a non-significant result counts against a theory, or if it just indicates data insensitivity, researchers must use one of: power, intervals (such as confidence or credibility intervals), or else an indicator of the relative evidence for one theory over another, such as a Bayes factor. I argue Bayes factors allow theory to be linked to data in a way that overcomes the weaknesses of the other approaches. Specifically, Bayes factors use the data themselves to determine their sensitivity in distinguishing theories (unlike power), and they make use of those aspects of a theory’s predictions that are often easiest to specify (unlike power and intervals, which require specifying the minimal interesting value in order to address theory). Bayes factors provide a coherent approach to determining whether non-significant results support a null hypothesis over a theory, or whether the data are just insensitive. They allow accepting and rejecting the null hypothesis to be put on an equal footing. Concrete examples are provided to indicate the range of application of a simple online Bayes calculator, which reveal both the strengths and weaknesses of Bayes factors.
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              On the social psychology of the psychological experiment: With particular reference to demand characteristics and their implications.

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                Author and article information

                Contributors
                P.Lush@sussex.ac.uk
                Journal
                Nat Commun
                Nat Commun
                Nature Communications
                Nature Publishing Group UK (London )
                2041-1723
                28 January 2022
                28 January 2022
                2022
                : 13
                : 563
                Affiliations
                [1 ]GRID grid.12082.39, ISNI 0000 0004 1936 7590, Sackler Centre for Consciousness Science, , University of Sussex, ; Falmer, BN1 9RH UK
                [2 ]GRID grid.12082.39, ISNI 0000 0004 1936 7590, Department of Informatics, Chichester Building, , University of Sussex, ; Falmer, BN1 9RH UK
                [3 ]GRID grid.440050.5, ISNI 0000 0004 0408 2525, Canadian Institute for Advanced Research, Program on Brain, Mind, and Consciousness, ; 661 University Avenue, Toronto, ON M5G 1M1 Canada
                Author information
                http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0402-1699
                http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1421-6051
                Article
                28178
                10.1038/s41467-022-28178-y
                8799699
                35091580
                bd798a7c-59ac-428e-badc-87e879ad8ad1
                © The Author(s) 2022

                Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.

                History
                : 23 March 2021
                : 7 January 2022
                Funding
                Funded by: Dr. Mortimer and Theresa Sackler Foundation
                Categories
                Matters Arising
                Custom metadata
                © The Author(s) 2022

                Uncategorized
                psychology,human behaviour
                Uncategorized
                psychology, human behaviour

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