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      Prevalence of vaping and smoking among adolescents in Canada, England, and the United States: repeat national cross sectional surveys

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          Abstract

          Objective

          To examine differences in vaping and smoking prevalence among adolescents in Canada, England, and the United States.

          Design

          Repeat cross sectional surveys.

          Setting

          Online surveys in Canada, England, and the US.

          Participants

          National samples of 16 to 19 year olds in 2017 and 2018, recruited from commercial panels in Canada (n=7891), England (n=7897), and the US (n=8140).

          Main outcome measures

          Prevalence of vaping and smoking was assessed for use ever, in the past 30 days, in the past week, and on 15 days or more in the past month. Use of JUUL (a nicotine salt based electronic cigarette with high nicotine concentration) and usual vaping brands were also assessed. Logistic regression models examined differences in vaping and smoking between countries and over time.

          Results

          The prevalence of vaping in the past 30 days, in the past week, and on 15 days or more in the past month increased in Canada and the US between 2017 and 2018 (P<0.001 for all), including among non-smokers and experimental smokers, with no changes in England. Smoking prevalence increased in Canada (P<0.001 for all measures), with modest increases in England, and no changes in the US. The percentage of ever vapers who reported more frequent vaping increased in Canada and the US (P<0.01 for all), but not in England. The use of JUUL increased in all countries, particularly the US and Canada—for example, the proportion of current vapers in the US citing JUUL as their usual brand increased threefold between 2017 and 2018.

          Conclusions

          Between 2017 and 2018, among 16 to 19 year olds the prevalence of vaping increased in Canada and the US, as did smoking in Canada, with little change in England. The rapidly evolving vaping market and emergence of nicotine salt based products warrant close monitoring.

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          Most cited references11

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          Vital Signs: Tobacco Product Use Among Middle and High School Students — United States, 2011–2018

          Introduction Tobacco use is the leading cause of preventable disease and death in the United States; nearly all tobacco product use begins during youth and young adulthood. Methods CDC, the Food and Drug Administration, and the National Cancer Institute analyzed data from the 2011–2018 National Youth Tobacco Surveys to estimate tobacco product use among U.S. middle and high school students. Prevalence estimates of current (past 30-day) use of seven tobacco products were assessed; differences over time were analyzed using multivariable regression (2011–2018) or t-test (2017–2018). Results In 2018, current use of any tobacco product was reported by 27.1% of high school students (4.04 million) and 7.2% of middle school students (840,000); electronic cigarettes (e-cigarettes) were the most commonly used product among high school (20.8%; 3.05 million) and middle school (4.9%; 570,000) students. Use of any tobacco product overall did not change significantly during 2011–2018 among either school level. During 2017–2018, current use of any tobacco product increased 38.3% (from 19.6% to 27.1%) among high school students and 28.6% (from 5.6% to 7.2%) among middle school students; e-cigarette use increased 77.8% (from 11.7% to 20.8%) among high school students and 48.5% (from 3.3% to 4.9%) among middle school students. Conclusions and Implications for Public Health Practice A considerable increase in e-cigarette use among U.S. youths, coupled with no change in use of other tobacco products during 2017–2018, has erased recent progress in reducing overall tobacco product use among youths. The sustained implementation of comprehensive tobacco control strategies, in coordination with Food and Drug Administration regulation of tobacco products, can prevent and reduce the use of all forms of tobacco products among U.S. youths.
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            Public Health Consequences of E-Cigarettes

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              Examining the relationship of vaping to smoking initiation among US youth and young adults: a reality check

              Background The 2018 National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine Report found substantial evidence that electronic cigarette use (vaping) by youth is strongly associated with an increased risk of ever using cigarettes (smoking) and moderately associated with progressing to more established smoking. However, the Report also noted that recent increases in vaping have been associated with declining rates of youth smoking. This paper examines the temporal relationship between vaping and youth smoking using multiple data sets to explore the question of whether vaping promotes smoking initiation in the USA. Methods Using publicly available, nationally representative data on smoking and vaping among youth and young adults, we conducted a trend line analysis of deviations from long-term trends in smoking starting from when vaping became more prevalent. Results There was a substantial increase in youth vaping prevalence beginning in about 2014. Time trend analyses showed that the decline in past 30-day smoking prevalence accelerated by two to four times after 2014. Indicators of more established smoking rates, including the proportion of daily smokers among past 30-day smokers, also decreased more rapidly as vaping became more prevalent. Conclusions The inverse relationship between vaping and smoking was robust across different data sets for both youth and young adults and for current and more established smoking. While trying electronic cigarettes may causally increase smoking among some youth, the aggregate effect at the population level appears to be negligible given the reduction in smoking initiation during the period of vaping’s ascendance.
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                Author and article information

                Contributors
                Role: professor
                Role: project manager
                Role: data analyst
                Role: professor and senior investigator
                Role: professor
                Role: professor of tobacco addiction
                Role: lecturer in addictions
                Role: professor
                Role: associate professor of oncology
                Role: research scientist
                Role: professor of oncology
                Role: professor
                Role: Nigel Gray distinguished fellow in cancer prevention
                Role: project manager
                Journal
                BMJ
                BMJ
                BMJ-US
                bmj
                The BMJ
                BMJ Publishing Group Ltd.
                0959-8138
                1756-1833
                2019
                20 June 2019
                : 365
                : l2219
                Affiliations
                [1 ]School of Public Health and Health Systems, University of Waterloo, 200 University Ave W, Waterloo, ON, N2L 3G1, Canada
                [2 ]Department of Psychology, University of Waterloo, Waterloo, ON, Canada
                [3 ]Ontario Institute for Cancer Research, Toronto, ON, Canada
                [4 ]Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, Medical University of South Carolina, Charleston, SC, USA
                [5 ]King’s College London, London, UK
                [6 ]Department of Health Promotion, Education, and Behavior, Arnold School of Public Health, University of South Carolina, Columbia, SC, USA
                [7 ]Department of Health Behavior, Roswell Park Comprehensive Cancer Center, Buffalo, New York, NY, USA
                [8 ]Georgetown Lombardi Comprehensive Cancer Center, Georgetown University, Washington DC, USA
                [9 ]Cancer Council Victoria, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
                Author notes
                Correspondence to: D Hammond dhammond@ 123456uwaterloo.ca (or @davidhammondphd on Twitter)
                Author information
                http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8197-6010
                Article
                jesr048710
                10.1136/bmj.l2219
                6582265
                31221636
                bf9bd0e9-e600-4852-a099-ccda716184a6
                Published by the BMJ Publishing Group Limited. For permission to use (where not already granted under a licence) please go to http://group.bmj.com/group/rights-licensing/permissions

                This is an Open Access article distributed in accordance with the Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial (CC BY-NC 4.0) license, which permits others to distribute, remix, adapt, build upon this work non-commercially, and license their derivative works on different terms, provided the original work is properly cited and the use is non-commercial. See: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/.

                History
                : 13 May 2019
                Categories
                Research

                Medicine
                Medicine

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