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      Should you advocate for hepatocellular carcinoma surveillance in patients with alcohol-related liver disease or non-alcoholic fatty liver disease?

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          Abstract

          Although hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is mainly caused by hepatitis B or C virus infection, the incidence of HCC related to alcohol abuse or non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) has risen markedly in recent decades. The Global Burden of Disease Study 2015 reported that 30% of new primary liver cancer cases were attributable to alcohol [1]. In Korea, 2.4–10.9% of HCC cases were attributed to alcohol use [2]. In addition, a year-over-year increase in the proportion of HCC cases attributable to NAFLD has been documented in several epidemiological studies [3,4]. It is likely that the relative contribution of alcohol or NAFLD to primary liver cancer will increase worldwide, due to the improved efficacy of anti-hepatitis B and C treatments. Regarding this issue, Kumar et al. [5]. compared the demographic and tumor characteristics, receipt of surveillance program, and survival outcomes between patients with HCC related to non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) and alcoholic liver disease (ALD) who were selected from the prospective HCC database of Singapore General Hospital. Patients with NASH-related HCC were older, and had higher prevalence of features suggestive of metabolic syndromes such as diabetes and hyperlipidemia. Notably, the majority of cases caused by NASH or ALD were associated with deficient surveillance as well as HCC detected late after the development of symptoms. These delays resulted in advanced-stage tumors at diagnosis, which were not amenable to potentially curative therapy and predicted poor outcomes. Although this study offers additional insight into the characteristics of HCC in patients with NASH or ALD, it still had some bias and limitations. First, there was no data to compare NASH or ALD-related HCC and those caused by more common etiologies, including hepatitis B and hepatitis C. Second, the criteria for NASH diagnosis used in this study were somewhat ambiguous. NASH is standardly defined as the presence of 5% hepatic steatosis and inflammation with hepatocyte injury (e.g., ballooning), with or without fibrosis.6 Although liver biopsy is an essential element in the diagnosis of NASH,7,8 this study did not mention any histological examination of surrounding liver tissues. These concerns should be considered when interpreting the results of this study. Currently, limited data are available to suggest an optimal guidance for surveilling patients with NAFLD/NASH or ALD for HCC. Indeed, less than one-fifth of the 99 patients included in this study were surveilled or screened for HCC. A recently updated American Gastroenterology Association clinical practice guideline recommends that HCC screening should be considered in all NAFLD patients with cirrhosis as well as advanced liver fibrosis, where non-invasive approaches combining serological tests with elastography examinations in staging liver fibrosis in NAFLD are preferred [9]. On the other hand, a European multicenter study showed that 1- and 2-year cumulative incidence of HCC development in patients with alcoholic cirrhosis were up to 1.8% and 5.2%, respectively, which were high enough to justify surveillance for the disease in these patients [10]. On the contrary, a need for regular surveillance remains questionable in non-cirrhotic patients with NASH or ALD. In this study, more than 10% of HCC patients had no feature of cirrhosis, and several previous studies also found that HCC may develop in NAFLD/NASH patients without cirrhotic background [11]. However, the implementation of HCC surveillance is not formally accepted in non-cirrhotic patients with chronic liver disorders of any etiology, due to its low cost-effectiveness [12,13]. Future studies should address the factors on which to base an optimal frequency and intensity of surveillance for patients with advanced fibrosis or cirrhosis attributed to hepatic fat or alcohol.

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          Risk of Hepatocellular Cancer in Patients with Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease

          Background There are limited data on the risk of hepatocellular cancer (HCC) in patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). We aimed to estimate the risk of incident HCC among patients with NAFLD. Methods We conducted a retrospective cohort study from a total of 130 facilities in the Veterans Health Administration. Patients with NAFLD diagnosed between 1/1/2004 and 12/31/2008 were included and followed until HCC diagnosis, death or 12/31/2015. We also identified a gender and age-matched control cohort without NAFLD. We ascertained all new HCC cases from the Central Cancer Registry and manual chart reviews. We calculated incidence rates for HCC by NAFLD status as well as in subgroups of NAFLD patients. We used competing risk models to compare the risk of HCC in patients with vs . those without NAFLD. We reviewed electronic medical records of all HCC cases that developed in NAFLD patients without cirrhosis. Results We compared 296,707 NAFLD patients with 296,707 matched controls. During 2,382,289 person-years [PY] of follow-up, 490 NAFLD patients developed HCC (0.21/1000 PY). HCC incidence was significantly higher among NAFLD patients vs. controls (0.02/1000 PY; hazard ratio, 7.62, 95% confidence interval=5.76–10.09). Among patients with NAFLD, those with cirrhosis had the highest annual incidence of HCC (10.6 /1000 PY). Among patients with NAFLD cirrhosis, HCC risk ranged from 1.6 to 23.7 per 1000 PY based on other demographic characteristics; the risk of HCC was the highest in older Hispanics with cirrhosis. In medical record reviews, 20% of NAFLD patients with HCC had no evidence of cirrhosis. Conclusions Risk of HCC was higher in NAFLD patients than that observed in general clinical population. Most HCC cases in NAFLD developed in patients with cirrhosis. The absolute risk of HCC was higher than the accepted thresholds for HCC surveillance for most patients with NAFLD cirrhosis.
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            International trends in liver cancer incidence, overall and by histologic subtype, 1978-2007.

            Primary liver cancer, the most common histologic types of which are hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC), is the second leading cause of cancer death worldwide. While rising incidence of liver cancer in low-risk areas and decreasing incidence in some high-risk areas has been reported, trends have not been thoroughly explored by country or by histologic type. We examined liver cancer incidence overall and by histology by calendar time and birth cohort for selected countries between 1978 and 2007. For each successive 5-year period, age-standardized incidence rates were calculated from volumes V-IX of the Cancer Incidence in Five Continents electronic database (CI5plus) and the newly released CI5X (volume X) database. Wide global variations persist in liver cancer incidence. Rates of liver cancer remain highest in Asian countries, specifically Eastern and South-Eastern Asian countries. While rates in most of these high-risk countries have been decreasing in recent years, rates in India and several low-risk countries of Africa, Europe, the Americas, and Oceania have been on the rise. Liver cancer rates by histologic type tend to convey a similar temporal profile. However, in Thailand, France, and Italy, ICC rates have increased while HCC rates have declined. We expect rates in high-risk countries to continue to decrease, as the population seroprevalence of hepatitis B virus (HBV) continues to decline. In low-risk countries, targeted screening and treatment of the hepatitis C virus (HCV), treatment of diabetes and primary prevention of obesity, will be key in reducing future liver cancer incidence.
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              Systematic review with meta-analysis: risk of hepatocellular carcinoma in non-alcoholic steatohepatitis without cirrhosis compared to other liver diseases

              Given the lack of long-term prospective studies, it is challenging for clinicians to make informed decisions about screening and treatment decisions regarding the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) who do not have cirrhosis. To characterise the pooled risk of HCC in the non-cirrhosis population. Published studies were identified through April 2016 in MEDLINE, Scopus, Science Citation Index, AMED and the Cochrane Library. Two independent reviewers screened citations and extracted data. Random effect odds ratios (OR) were calculated to obtain aggregate estimates of effect size between NASH and non-NASH groups. Between-study variability and heterogeneity were assessed. Nineteen studies with 168 571 participants were included. Eighty-six per cent of included subjects had cirrhosis. The prevalence of HCC in non-cirrhotic NASH was 38.0%; among other aetiologies in non-cirrhotics, it was 14.2% ( P < 0.001). Non-cirrhotic NASH subjects were at greater odds of developing HCC than non-cirrhotic subjects of other aetiologies (OR 2.61, 95% CI 1.27–5.35, P = 0.009). When examining all NASH subjects either with or without cirrhosis, those with NASH as the underlying liver disease did not have a significantly increased risk of HCC (OR 1.43, 95% CI 0.77-2.65, P = 0.250). In non-cirrhotic subjects, those with NASH have a higher risk of HCC compared to other aetiologies of liver disease. Further study investigating the risk factors of HCC among non-cirrhotic NASH patients is needed.
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                Author and article information

                Contributors
                Role: Seung Up Kim, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Korea
                Journal
                Clin Mol Hepatol
                Clin Mol Hepatol
                CMH
                Clinical and Molecular Hepatology
                The Korean Association for the Study of the Liver
                2287-2728
                2287-285X
                April 2020
                12 March 2020
                : 26
                : 2
                : 183-184
                Affiliations
                Department of Gastroenterology, Asan Liver Center, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
                Author notes
                Corresponding author : Ju Hyun Shim Department of Gastroenterology, Asan Liver Center, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, 88 Olympic-ro 43-gil, Songpagu, Seoul 05505, Korea Tel: +82-2-3010-3190, Fax: +82-2-485-5782 E-mail: s5854@ 123456amc.seoul.kr
                Author information
                http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7336-1371
                Article
                cmh-2020-0042
                10.3350/cmh.2020.0042
                7160349
                32160729
                c11c1c2f-a121-4843-b688-9aa7dc92bd70
                Copyright © 2020 by The Korean Association for the Study of the Liver

                This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution Non-Commercial License ( http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/3.0/) which permits unrestricted non-commercial use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.

                History
                : 28 February 2020
                : 3 March 2020
                Categories
                Editorial

                Gastroenterology & Hepatology
                hepatocellular carcinoma,non-alcoholic fatty liver disease,non-alcoholic steatohepatitis,alcoholic liver disease,surveillance

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