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      Land suitability for energy crops under scenarios of climate change and land‐use

      1 , 2 , 1 , 1
      GCB Bioenergy
      Wiley

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          The Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and their energy, land use, and greenhouse gas emissions implications: An overview

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            The trouble with negative emissions

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              Assessing agricultural risks of climate change in the 21st century in a global gridded crop model intercomparison.

              Here we present the results from an intercomparison of multiple global gridded crop models (GGCMs) within the framework of the Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project and the Inter-Sectoral Impacts Model Intercomparison Project. Results indicate strong negative effects of climate change, especially at higher levels of warming and at low latitudes; models that include explicit nitrogen stress project more severe impacts. Across seven GGCMs, five global climate models, and four representative concentration pathways, model agreement on direction of yield changes is found in many major agricultural regions at both low and high latitudes; however, reducing uncertainty in sign of response in mid-latitude regions remains a challenge. Uncertainties related to the representation of carbon dioxide, nitrogen, and high temperature effects demonstrated here show that further research is urgently needed to better understand effects of climate change on agricultural production and to devise targeted adaptation strategies.
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                Author and article information

                Contributors
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                Journal
                GCB Bioenergy
                GCB Bioenergy
                Wiley
                1757-1693
                1757-1707
                August 2020
                June 27 2020
                August 2020
                : 12
                : 8
                : 648-665
                Affiliations
                [1 ]UCL Energy Institute University College London London UK
                [2 ]Department of Geography Ludwig‐Maximilians‐Universität München Munich Germany
                Article
                10.1111/gcbb.12697
                c4441abf-dbec-4d60-b67b-a937a37f3774
                © 2020

                http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

                http://doi.wiley.com/10.1002/tdm_license_1.1

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