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      Clinical factors for choosing active surveillance: an analysis of papillary thyroid microcarcinoma patients with recurrence

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          Abstract

          Objective

          Active surveillance (AS) has been suggested as a management option for low-risk papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC). However, the currently proposed selection criteria for AS application do not consider various clinical factors. The purpose of this study was to analyze clinical factors related to recurrence that could be confirmed preoperatively in patients who underwent surgery for PTMC and to identify factors worth considering when deciding whether to apply AS.

          Materials and methods

          Data were collected from patients with PTMC who underwent surgical treatment at Chungnam National University Hospital. A retrospective cohort was established according to the presence or absence of recurrence during the follow-up period. In total, 2717 patients were enrolled, of whom 60 experienced recurrence. Various clinical factors that could be identified before surgery were analyzed.

          Results

          The relationship between various clinical factors that could be confirmed preoperatively and recurrence was confirmed through Cox regression analysis and Kaplan–Meier curve analysis. BRAF mutation and the tall cell variant were significantly more common in patients with recurrence. In patients aged 55 years or older, the risk of recurrence was lower than in younger patients, while the recurrence-free survival (RFS) rate was higher.

          Conclusion

          When choosing between surgical treatment or AS in PTMC patients, additional consideration of the patient’s clinical factors, such as age and BRAF mutation status, may be required in addition to the existing criteria.

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          Most cited references27

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          Global cancer statistics 2020: GLOBOCAN estimates of incidence and mortality worldwide for 36 cancers in 185 countries

          This article provides an update on the global cancer burden using the GLOBOCAN 2020 estimates of cancer incidence and mortality produced by the International Agency for Research on Cancer. Worldwide, an estimated 19.3 million new cancer cases (18.1 million excluding nonmelanoma skin cancer) and almost 10.0 million cancer deaths (9.9 million excluding nonmelanoma skin cancer) occurred in 2020. Female breast cancer has surpassed lung cancer as the most commonly diagnosed cancer, with an estimated 2.3 million new cases (11.7%), followed by lung (11.4%), colorectal (10.0 %), prostate (7.3%), and stomach (5.6%) cancers. Lung cancer remained the leading cause of cancer death, with an estimated 1.8 million deaths (18%), followed by colorectal (9.4%), liver (8.3%), stomach (7.7%), and female breast (6.9%) cancers. Overall incidence was from 2-fold to 3-fold higher in transitioned versus transitioning countries for both sexes, whereas mortality varied <2-fold for men and little for women. Death rates for female breast and cervical cancers, however, were considerably higher in transitioning versus transitioned countries (15.0 vs 12.8 per 100,000 and 12.4 vs 5.2 per 100,000, respectively). The global cancer burden is expected to be 28.4 million cases in 2040, a 47% rise from 2020, with a larger increase in transitioning (64% to 95%) versus transitioned (32% to 56%) countries due to demographic changes, although this may be further exacerbated by increasing risk factors associated with globalization and a growing economy. Efforts to build a sustainable infrastructure for the dissemination of cancer prevention measures and provision of cancer care in transitioning countries is critical for global cancer control.
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                Author and article information

                Journal
                Eur Thyroid J
                Eur Thyroid J
                ETJ
                European Thyroid Journal
                Bioscientifica Ltd (Bristol )
                2235-0640
                2235-0802
                28 December 2023
                22 November 2023
                01 December 2023
                : 12
                : 6
                : e230195
                Affiliations
                [1 ]Department of Otorhinolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery , Chungnam National University College of Medicine, Daejeon, Republic of Korea
                [2 ]Department of Otorhinolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery , Chungnam National University Sejong Hospital, Sejong, Republic of Korea
                [3 ]Department of Otolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery , Chungnam National University Hospital, Daejeon, Republic of Korea
                Author notes
                Correspondence should be addressed to B S Koo: bskoo515@ 123456cnuh.co.kr
                Author information
                http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5135-2474
                http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5928-0006
                Article
                ETJ-23-0195
                10.1530/ETJ-23-0195
                10762553
                37992297
                c48ae9d7-6f5d-4861-ba2f-82b992069cd9
                © the author(s)

                This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.

                History
                : 23 September 2023
                : 22 November 2023
                Funding
                Funded by: Chungnam National University, doi http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100002462;
                Funded by: National Research Foundation, doi http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100001321;
                Funded by: Ministry of Health, doi http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/100009647;
                Funded by: Korea Health Industry Development Institute, doi http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100003710;
                Funded by: Ministry of Health, doi http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/100009647;
                Categories
                Research

                thyroid cancer,papillary thyroid microcarcinoma,active surveillance,recurrence,clinical factor

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