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      Assessing biological aging: the origin of deficit accumulation

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          Abstract

          The health of individuals is highly heterogeneous, as is the rate at which they age. To account for such heterogeneity, we have suggested that an individual’s health status can be represented by the number of health deficits (broadly defined by biological and clinical characteristics) that they accumulate. This allows health to be expressed in a single number: the frailty index (FI) is the ratio of the deficits present in a person to the total number of deficits considered (e.g. in a given database or experimental procedure). Changes in the FI characterize the rate of individual aging. The behavior of the FI is highly characteristic: it shows an age specific, nonlinear increase, (similar to Gompertz law), higher values in females, strong associations with adverse outcomes (e.g., mortality), and a universal limit to its increase (at FI ~0.7). These features have been demonstrated in dozens of studies. Even so, little is known about the origin of deficit accumulation. Here, we apply a stochastic dynamics framework to illustrate that the average number of deficits present in an individual is the product of the average intensity of the environmental stresses and the average recovery time. The age-associated increase in recovery time results in the accumulation of deficits. This not only explains why the number of deficits can be used to estimate individual differences in aging rates, but also suggests that targeting the recovery rate (e.g. by preventive or therapeutic interventions) will decrease the number of deficits that individuals accumulate and thereby benefit life expectancy.

          Electronic supplementary material

          The online version of this article (doi:10.1007/s10522-013-9446-3) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

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          Most cited references52

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          Is Open Access

          The origin of bursts and heavy tails in human dynamics

          The dynamics of many social, technological and economic phenomena are driven by individual human actions, turning the quantitative understanding of human behavior into a central question of modern science. Current models of human dynamics, used from risk assessment to communications, assume that human actions are randomly distributed in time and thus well approximated by Poisson processes. In contrast, there is increasing evidence that the timing of many human activities, ranging from communication to entertainment and work patterns, follow non-Poisson statistics, characterized by bursts of rapidly occurring events separated by long periods of inactivity. Here we show that the bursty nature of human behavior is a consequence of a decision based queuing process: when individuals execute tasks based on some perceived priority, the timing of the tasks will be heavy tailed, most tasks being rapidly executed, while a few experience very long waiting times. In contrast, priority blind execution is well approximated by uniform interevent statistics. These findings have important implications from resource management to service allocation in both communications and retail.
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            Frailty defined by deficit accumulation and geriatric medicine defined by frailty.

            As nonreplicative cells age, they commonly accumulate subcellular deficits that can compromise function. As people age, they too experience problems that can accumulate. As deficits (symptoms, signs, illnesses, disabilities) accumulate, people become more susceptible to adverse health outcomes, including worse health and even death. This state of increased risk of adverse health outcomes is indistinguishable from the idea of frailty, so deficit accumulation represents another way to define frailty. Counting deficits not only allows grades of frailty to be discerned but also provides insights into the complex problems of older adults. This process is potentially useful to geriatricians who need to be experts in managing complexity. A key to managing complexity is through instruments such as a comprehensive geriatric assessment, which can serve as the basis for routine clinical estimation of an individual's degree of frailty. Understanding people and their needs as deficits accumulate is an exciting challenge for clinical research on frailty and its management by geriatricians. Copyright © 2011 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
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              A Proof for the Queuing Formula:L= λW

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                Author and article information

                Contributors
                +902-473-2878 , +473-1050 , arnold.mitnitski@dal.ca
                Journal
                Biogerontology
                Biogerontology
                Biogerontology
                Springer Netherlands (Dordrecht )
                1389-5729
                1573-6768
                17 July 2013
                17 July 2013
                2013
                : 14
                : 709-717
                Affiliations
                [ ]Department of Medicine, Dalhousie University, Suite 229-5790 University Ave., Halifax, NS B3H 1V7 Canada
                [ ]Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Dalhousie University, Halifax, NS Canada
                [ ]Division of Geriatric Medicine, QEII Health Science Centre, Suite 1421-5955 Veterans’ Memorial Lane, Halifax, NS B3H 2E1 Canada
                Article
                9446
                10.1007/s10522-013-9446-3
                3847281
                23860844
                c5bc6907-34d1-49d1-92d3-37a9500e0602
                © The Author(s) 2013

                Open AccessThis article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License which permits any use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author(s) and the source are credited.

                History
                : 5 June 2013
                : 8 July 2013
                Categories
                Research Article
                Custom metadata
                © Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2013

                Geriatric medicine
                deficit accumulation,fitness-frailty continuum,health status,frailty,mortality,stochastic process

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