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      Seasonality, Annual Trends, and Characteristics of Dengue among Ill Returned Travelers, 1997–2006

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          Abstract

          Atypical patterns may indicate onset of epidemic activity.

          Abstract

          We examined seasonality and annual trends for dengue cases among 522 returned travelers reported to the international GeoSentinel Surveillance Network. Dengue cases showed region-specific peaks for Southeast Asia (June, September), South Central Asia (October), South America (March), and the Caribbean (August, October). Travel-related dengue exhibited annual oscillations with several epidemics occurring during the study period. In Southeast Asia, annual proportionate morbidity increased from 50 dengue cases per 1,000 ill returned travelers in nonepidemic years to an average of 159 cases per 1,000 travelers during epidemic years. Dengue can thus be added to the list of diseases for which pretravel advice should include information on relative risk according to season. Also, dengue cases detected at atypical times in sentinel travelers may inform the international community of the onset of epidemic activity in specific areas.

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          Most cited references28

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          Spectrum of disease and relation to place of exposure among ill returned travelers.

          Approximately 8 percent of travelers to the developing world require medical care during or after travel. Current understanding of morbidity profiles among ill returned travelers is based on limited data from the 1980s. Thirty GeoSentinel sites, which are specialized travel or tropical-medicine clinics on six continents, contributed clinician-based sentinel surveillance data for 17,353 ill returned travelers. We compared the frequency of occurrence of each diagnosis among travelers returning from six developing regions of the world. Significant regional differences in proportionate morbidity were detected in 16 of 21 broad syndromic categories. Among travelers presenting to GeoSentinel sites, systemic febrile illness without localizing findings occurred disproportionately among those returning from sub-Saharan Africa or Southeast Asia, acute diarrhea among those returning from south central Asia, and dermatologic problems among those returning from the Caribbean or Central or South America. With respect to specific diagnoses, malaria was one of the three most frequent causes of systemic febrile illness among travelers from every region, although travelers from every region except sub-Saharan Africa and Central America had confirmed or probable dengue more frequently than malaria. Among travelers returning from sub-Saharan Africa, rickettsial infection, primarily tick-borne spotted fever, occurred more frequently than typhoid or dengue. Travelers from all regions except Southeast Asia presented with parasite-induced diarrhea more often than with bacterial diarrhea. When patients present to specialized clinics after travel to the developing world, travel destinations are associated with the probability of the diagnosis of certain diseases. Diagnostic approaches and empiric therapies can be guided by these destination-specific differences. Copyright 2006 Massachusetts Medical Society.
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            Ecological and immunological determinants of dengue epidemics.

            The management of infectious diseases is an increasingly important public health issue, the effective implementation of which is often complicated by difficulties in teasing apart the relative roles of extrinsic and intrinsic factors influencing transmission. Dengue, a vector-borne strain polymorphic disease, is one such infection where transmission dynamics are affected by environmental variables as well as immune-mediated serotype interactions. To understand how alternative hypotheses concerning dengue infection and transmission may explain observed multiannual cycles in disease incidence, we adopt a theoretical approach that combines both ecological and immunological mechanisms. We demonstrate that, contrary to perceived wisdom, patterns generated solely by antibody-dependent enhancement or heterogeneity in virus virulence are not consistent with serotype-specific notification data in important ways. Furthermore, to generate epidemics with the characteristic signatures observed in data, we find that a combination of seasonal variation in vector demography and, crucially, a short-lived period of cross-immunity is sufficient. We then show how understanding the persistence and eradication of dengue serotypes critically depends on the alternative assumed mechanisms.
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              Dengue in travelers.

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                Author and article information

                Journal
                Emerg Infect Dis
                EID
                Emerging Infectious Diseases
                Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
                1080-6040
                1080-6059
                July 2008
                : 14
                : 7
                : 1081-1088
                Affiliations
                [* ]Chaim Sheba Medical Center, Tel Hashomer, Israel
                []Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv, Israel
                []Statistical Consult, Victoria, British Columbia, Canada
                [§ ]National University Singapore, Singapore
                []University of Munich, Munich, Germany
                [# ]Toronto General Hospital, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
                [** ]University of Toronto, Toronto
                [†† ]University of Melbourne, Parkville, Victoria, Australia
                [‡‡ ]Royal Melbourne Hospital, Parkville
                [§§ ]University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, Alabama, USA
                Author notes
                Address for correspondence: David O. Freedman, William C. Gorgas Center for Geographic Medicine, Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, University of Alabama at Birmingham, 1530 3rd Ave S, BBRB 203, Birmingham, AL 35294-2170, USA; email: freedman@ 123456uab.edu
                Article
                07-1412
                10.3201/eid1407.071412
                2600332
                18598629
                c6d713bc-ca6f-4763-b724-15bfe82989ed
                History
                Categories
                Research

                Infectious disease & Microbiology
                research,seasonality,sentinel surveillance,dengue,travel
                Infectious disease & Microbiology
                research, seasonality, sentinel surveillance, dengue, travel

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