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      Non-maintenance intravesical Bacillus Calmette–Guérin induction therapy with eight doses in patients with high- or highest-risk non-muscle invasive bladder cancer: a retrospective non-randomized comparative study

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      1 , , 1 , 1 , 1 , 1 , 2 , 3 , 4 , 5 , 6 , 7 , 8 , 9 , 10 , 11 , 12 , 13 , 14 , 15 , 16 , 17 , 18 , 19 , 20 , 18 , on behalf of the Japanese Urological Oncology Group
      BMC Cancer
      BioMed Central
      Urinary bladder neoplasms, Non-muscle invasive bladder cancer, Bacillus Calmette-Guérin (BCG), Intravesical therapy, Propensity score matching, Landmark analysis

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          Abstract

          Background

          To explore possible solutions to overcome chronic Bacillus Calmette–Guérin (BCG) shortage affecting seriously the management of non-muscle invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC) in Europe and throughout the world, we investigated whether non-maintenance eight-dose induction BCG (iBCG) was comparable to six-dose iBCG plus maintenance BCG (mBCG).

          Methods

          This observational study evaluated 2669 patients with high- or highest-risk NMIBC who treated with iBCG with or without mBCG during 2000–2019. The patients were classified into five groups according to treatment pattern: 874 (33%) received non-maintenance six-dose iBCG (Group A), 405 (15%) received six-dose iBCG plus mBCG (Group B), 1189 (44%) received non-maintenance seven−/eight-dose iBCG (Group C), 60 (2.2%) received seven−/eight-dose iBCG plus mBCG, and 141 (5.3%) received only ≤5-dose iBCG. Recurrence-free survival (RFS), progression-free survival, and cancer-specific survival were estimated and compared using Kaplan–Meier analysis and the log-rank test, respectively. Propensity score-based one-to-one matching was performed using a multivariable logistic regression model based on covariates to obtain balanced groups. To eliminate possible immortal bias, 6-, 12-, 18-, and 24-month conditional landmark analyses of RFS were performed.

          Results

          RFS comparison confirmed that mBCG yielded significant benefit following six-dose iBCG (Group B) in recurrence risk reduction compared to iBCG alone (groups A and C) before ( P < 0.001 and P = 0.0016, respectively) and after propensity score matching ( P = 0.001 and P = 0.0074, respectively). Propensity score-matched sequential landmark analyses revealed no significant differences between groups B and C at 12, 18, and 24 months, whereas landmark analyses at 6 and 12 months showed a benefit of mBCG following six-dose iBCG compared to non-maintenance six-dose iBCG ( P = 0.0055 and P = 0.032, respectively). There were no significant differences in the risks of progression and cancer-specific death in all comparisons of the matched cohorts.

          Conclusions

          Although non-maintenance eight-dose iBCG was inferior to six-dose iBCG plus mBCG, the former might be an alternative remedy in the BCG shortage era. To overcome this challenge, further investigation is warranted to confirm the real clinical value of non-maintenance eight-dose iBCG.

          Supplementary Information

          The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12885-021-07966-7.

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          Most cited references27

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          European Association of Urology Guidelines on Non-muscle-invasive Bladder Cancer (TaT1 and Carcinoma In Situ) - 2019 Update

          This overview presents the updated European Association of Urology (EAU) guidelines for non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC), TaT1, and carcinoma in situ (CIS).
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            The 2016 WHO Classification of Tumours of the Urinary System and Male Genital Organs-Part B: Prostate and Bladder Tumours.

            It has been 12 yr since the publication of the last World Health Organization (WHO) classification of tumours of the prostate and bladder. During this time, significant new knowledge has been generated about the pathology and genetics of these tumours. Intraductal carcinoma of the prostate is a newly recognized entity in the 2016 WHO classification. In most cases, it represents intraductal spread of aggressive prostatic carcinoma and should be separated from high-grade prostatic intraepithelial neoplasia. New acinar adenocarcinoma variants are microcystic adenocarcinoma and pleomorphic giant cell adenocarcinoma. Modifications to the Gleason grading system are incorporated into the 2016 WHO section on grading of prostate cancer, and it is recommended that the percentage of pattern 4 should be reported for Gleason score 7. The new WHO classification further recommends the recently developed prostate cancer grade grouping with five grade groups. For bladder cancer, the 2016 WHO classification continues to recommend the 1997 International Society of Urological Pathology grading classification. Newly described or better defined noninvasive urothelial lesions include urothelial dysplasia and urothelial proliferation of uncertain malignant potential, which is frequently identified in patients with a prior history of urothelial carcinoma. Invasive urothelial carcinoma with divergent differentiation refers to tumours with some percentage of "usual type" urothelial carcinoma combined with other morphologies. Pathologists should mention the percentage of divergent histologies in the pathology report.
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              Immortal time bias in pharmaco-epidemiology.

              Immortal time is a span of cohort follow-up during which, because of exposure definition, the outcome under study could not occur. Bias from immortal time was first identified in the 1970s in epidemiology in the context of cohort studies of the survival benefit of heart transplantation. It recently resurfaced in pharmaco-epidemiology, with several observational studies reporting that various medications can be extremely effective at reducing morbidity and mortality. These studies, while using different cohort designs, all involved some form of immortal time and the corresponding bias. In this paper, the author describes various cohort study designs leading to this bias, quantifies its magnitude under different survival distributions, and illustrates it by using data from a cohort of lung cancer patients. The author shows that for time-based, event-based, and exposure-based cohort definitions, the bias in the rate ratio resulting from misclassified or excluded immortal time increases proportionately to the duration of immortal time. The bias is more pronounced with a decreasing hazard function for the outcome event, as illustrated with the Weibull distribution compared with a constant hazard from the exponential distribution. In conclusion, observational studies of drug benefit in which computerized databases are used must be designed and analyzed properly to avoid immortal time bias.
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                Author and article information

                Contributors
                makitomiyake@yahoo.co.jp
                kota1006ida@yahoo.co.jp
                ffxxxx.nqou@gmail.com
                tatsuki8770@gmail.com
                kiyokun@naramed-u.ac.jp
                tomida.ryotaro.dc@mail.hosp.go.jp
                kazumasa@cd5.so-net.ne.jp
                nqf38647@nifty.com
                junichi@uro.med.kyushu-u.ac.jp
                morizane@med.tottori-u.ac.jp
                uroyone@hirosaki-u.ac.jp
                ymatsu0825@gmail.com
                takataka@rf6.so-net.ne.jp
                masainou@east.ncc.go.jp
                yamatake@koto.kpu-m.ac.jp
                naoki_terada@med.miyazaki-u.ac.jp
                cj8s-hro@asahi-net.or.jp
                uemura@uro.med.osaka-u.ac.jp
                yuto.m@hama-med.ac.jp
                rikiya@med.kagawa-u.ac.jp
                selecao@kuhp.kyoto-u.ac.jp
                tkojima@md.tsukuba.ac.jp
                yomatsui@ncc.go.jp
                hkitamur@med.u-toyama.ac.jp
                nishiuro@md.tsukuba.ac.jp
                Journal
                BMC Cancer
                BMC Cancer
                BMC Cancer
                BioMed Central (London )
                1471-2407
                11 March 2021
                11 March 2021
                2021
                : 21
                : 266
                Affiliations
                [1 ]GRID grid.410814.8, ISNI 0000 0004 0372 782X, Department of Urology, , Nara Medical University, ; 840 Shijo-cho, Nara, 634-8522 Japan
                [2 ]GRID grid.415740.3, ISNI 0000 0004 0618 8403, Department of Urology, , National Hospital Organization Shikoku Cancer Center, ; Matsuyama, Ehime Japan
                [3 ]GRID grid.410786.c, ISNI 0000 0000 9206 2938, Department of Urology, , Kitasato University School of Medicine, ; Sagamihara, Kanagawa Japan
                [4 ]GRID grid.251924.9, ISNI 0000 0001 0725 8504, Department of Urology, , Akita University Graduate School of Medicine, ; Akita, Japan
                [5 ]GRID grid.177174.3, ISNI 0000 0001 2242 4849, Department of Urology, Graduate School of Medical Sciences, , Kyushu University, ; Fukuoka, Japan
                [6 ]GRID grid.265107.7, ISNI 0000 0001 0663 5064, Division of Urology, Department of Surgery, Faculty of Medicine, , Tottori University, ; Tottori, Japan
                [7 ]GRID grid.257016.7, ISNI 0000 0001 0673 6172, Department of Advanced Transplant and Regenerative Medicine, , Hirosaki University Graduate School of Medicine, ; Hirosaki, Aomori Japan
                [8 ]Department of Urology, Nara Prefecture General Medical Center, Nara, Japan
                [9 ]GRID grid.39158.36, ISNI 0000 0001 2173 7691, Department of Urology, , Hokkaido University Graduate School of Medicine, ; Sapporo, Hokkaido Japan
                [10 ]GRID grid.497282.2, Department of Urology, , National Cancer Center Hospital East, ; Chiba, Japan
                [11 ]GRID grid.272458.e, ISNI 0000 0001 0667 4960, Department of Urology, , Kyoto Prefectural University of Medicine, ; Kyoto, Japan
                [12 ]GRID grid.410849.0, ISNI 0000 0001 0657 3887, Department of Urology, , Miyazaki University, ; Miyazaki, Japan
                [13 ]Department of Urology, Hirao Hospital, Kashihara, Nara, Japan
                [14 ]GRID grid.136593.b, ISNI 0000 0004 0373 3971, Department of Urology, , Osaka University, Graduate School of Medicine, ; Suita, Osaka, Japan
                [15 ]GRID grid.505613.4, Department of Urology, , Hamamatsu University School of Medicine, ; Shizuoka, Japan
                [16 ]GRID grid.258331.e, ISNI 0000 0000 8662 309X, Department of Urology, Faculty of Medicine, , Kagawa University, ; Takamatsu, Kagawa Japan
                [17 ]GRID grid.258799.8, ISNI 0000 0004 0372 2033, Department of Urology, , Kyoto University Graduate School of Medicine, ; Kyoto, Japan
                [18 ]GRID grid.20515.33, ISNI 0000 0001 2369 4728, Department of Urology, Faculty of Medicine, , University of Tsukuba, ; Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan
                [19 ]GRID grid.272242.3, ISNI 0000 0001 2168 5385, Department of Urology, National Cancer Center Hospital, ; Tokyo, Japan
                [20 ]GRID grid.267346.2, ISNI 0000 0001 2171 836X, Department of Urology, Faculty of Medicine, , University of Toyama, ; Toyama, Japan
                Author information
                https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9503-7356
                Article
                7966
                10.1186/s12885-021-07966-7
                7948348
                33706705
                ca6f7665-fc6a-4817-9b0d-cb279beb8f26
                © The Author(s) 2021

                Open AccessThis article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/. The Creative Commons Public Domain Dedication waiver ( http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/) applies to the data made available in this article, unless otherwise stated in a credit line to the data.

                History
                : 21 November 2020
                : 22 February 2021
                Categories
                Research Article
                Custom metadata
                © The Author(s) 2021

                Oncology & Radiotherapy
                urinary bladder neoplasms,non-muscle invasive bladder cancer,bacillus calmette-guérin (bcg),intravesical therapy,propensity score matching,landmark analysis

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