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      Year ahead prediction of US landfalling hurricane numbers: the optimal combination of long and short baselines for intense hurricanes

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          Abstract

          In previous work, we have shown how to combine long and short historical baselines to make predictions of future hurricane numbers. We now ask: how should such combinations change if we are interested in predicting the future number of intense hurricanes?

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          Prediction of August Atlantic Basin Hurricane Activity

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            Author and article information

            Journal
            21 June 2006
            Article
            physics/0606192
            cd16ffed-3f33-42a8-9f96-7385fea18eab
            History
            Custom metadata
            physics.ao-ph

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