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      Gait and turning characteristics from daily life increase ability to predict future falls in people with Parkinson's disease

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          Abstract

          Objectives

          To investigate if digital measures of gait (walking and turning) collected passively over a week of daily activities in people with Parkinson's disease (PD) increases the discriminative ability to predict future falls compared to fall history alone.

          Methods

          We recruited 34 individuals with PD (17 with history of falls and 17 non-fallers), age: 68 ± 6 years, MDS-UPDRS III ON: 31 ± 9. Participants were classified as fallers (at least one fall) or non-fallers based on self-reported falls in past 6 months. Eighty digital measures of gait were derived from 3 inertial sensors (Opal ® V2 System) placed on the feet and lower back for a week of passive gait monitoring. Logistic regression employing a “best subsets selection strategy” was used to find combinations of measures that discriminated future fallers from non-fallers, and the Area Under Curve (AUC). Participants were followed via email every 2 weeks over the year after the study for self-reported falls.

          Results

          Twenty-five subjects reported falls in the follow-up year. Quantity of gait and turning measures (e.g., number of gait bouts and turns per hour) were similar in future fallers and non-fallers. The AUC to discriminate future fallers from non-fallers using fall history alone was 0.77 (95% CI: [0.50–1.00]). In contrast, the highest AUC for gait and turning digital measures with 4 combinations was 0.94 [0.84–1.00]. From the top 10 models (all AUCs>0.90) via the best subsets strategy, the most consistently selected measures were variability of toe-out angle of the foot (9 out of 10), pitch angle of the foot during mid-swing (8 out of 10), and peak turn velocity (7 out of 10).

          Conclusions

          These findings highlight the importance of considering precise digital measures, captured via sensors strategically placed on the feet and low back, to quantify several different aspects of gait (walking and turning) during daily life to improve the classification of future fallers in PD.

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          Most cited references39

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          The Montreal Cognitive Assessment, MoCA: a brief screening tool for mild cognitive impairment.

          To develop a 10-minute cognitive screening tool (Montreal Cognitive Assessment, MoCA) to assist first-line physicians in detection of mild cognitive impairment (MCI), a clinical state that often progresses to dementia. Validation study. A community clinic and an academic center. Ninety-four patients meeting MCI clinical criteria supported by psychometric measures, 93 patients with mild Alzheimer's disease (AD) (Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE) score > or =17), and 90 healthy elderly controls (NC). The MoCA and MMSE were administered to all participants, and sensitivity and specificity of both measures were assessed for detection of MCI and mild AD. Using a cutoff score 26, the MMSE had a sensitivity of 18% to detect MCI, whereas the MoCA detected 90% of MCI subjects. In the mild AD group, the MMSE had a sensitivity of 78%, whereas the MoCA detected 100%. Specificity was excellent for both MMSE and MoCA (100% and 87%, respectively). MCI as an entity is evolving and somewhat controversial. The MoCA is a brief cognitive screening tool with high sensitivity and specificity for detecting MCI as currently conceptualized in patients performing in the normal range on the MMSE.
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            pROC: an open-source package for R and S+ to analyze and compare ROC curves

            Background Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves are useful tools to evaluate classifiers in biomedical and bioinformatics applications. However, conclusions are often reached through inconsistent use or insufficient statistical analysis. To support researchers in their ROC curves analysis we developed pROC, a package for R and S+ that contains a set of tools displaying, analyzing, smoothing and comparing ROC curves in a user-friendly, object-oriented and flexible interface. Results With data previously imported into the R or S+ environment, the pROC package builds ROC curves and includes functions for computing confidence intervals, statistical tests for comparing total or partial area under the curve or the operating points of different classifiers, and methods for smoothing ROC curves. Intermediary and final results are visualised in user-friendly interfaces. A case study based on published clinical and biomarker data shows how to perform a typical ROC analysis with pROC. Conclusions pROC is a package for R and S+ specifically dedicated to ROC analysis. It proposes multiple statistical tests to compare ROC curves, and in particular partial areas under the curve, allowing proper ROC interpretation. pROC is available in two versions: in the R programming language or with a graphical user interface in the S+ statistical software. It is accessible at http://expasy.org/tools/pROC/ under the GNU General Public License. It is also distributed through the CRAN and CSAN public repositories, facilitating its installation.
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              An introduction to ROC analysis

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                Author and article information

                Contributors
                Journal
                Front Neurol
                Front Neurol
                Front. Neurol.
                Frontiers in Neurology
                Frontiers Media S.A.
                1664-2295
                28 February 2023
                2023
                : 14
                : 1096401
                Affiliations
                [1] 1Department of Neurology, Oregon Health & Science University , Portland, OR, United States
                [2] 2APDM Wearable Technologies, A Clario Company , Portland, OR, United States
                [3] 3Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, Portland State University , Portland, OR, United States
                Author notes

                Edited by: Maurizio Ferrarin, Fondazione Don Carlo Gnocchi Onlus (IRCCS), Italy

                Reviewed by: Elisabetta Dell'Anna, Consultant, Milan, Italy; Andrea Cereatti, Polytechnic University of Turin, Italy

                *Correspondence: Vrutangkumar V. Shah shahvr@ 123456ohsu.edu ; ✉ vrutang.shah@ 123456clario.com

                This article was submitted to Movement Disorders, a section of the journal Frontiers in Neurology

                Article
                10.3389/fneur.2023.1096401
                10015637
                36937534
                cee355ef-bfd8-4841-abfe-bf479fdac559
                Copyright © 2023 Shah, Jagodinsky, McNames, Carlson-Kuhta, Nutt, El-Gohary, Sowalsky, Harker, Mancini and Horak.

                This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.

                History
                : 12 November 2022
                : 02 February 2023
                Page count
                Figures: 2, Tables: 2, Equations: 0, References: 40, Pages: 7, Words: 5885
                Funding
                Funded by: National Institutes of Health, doi 10.13039/100000002;
                This study was supported by the National Institutes of Health grants from National Institute on Aging (#R44AG055388 and #R43AG044863), and Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development (#R01HD100383).
                Categories
                Neurology
                Original Research

                Neurology
                parkinson's disease,daily life,gait,future falls,turning,inertial sensors
                Neurology
                parkinson's disease, daily life, gait, future falls, turning, inertial sensors

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