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      La industria aeronáutica mexicana: nn análisis de la composición del comercio exterior de 2000-2020 Translated title: The Mexican Aeronautical Industry: An Analysis of the Composition of Foreign Trade from 2000-2020

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          Abstract

          Resumen El objetivo de este trabajo es analizar el comportamiento de la industria aeronáutica mexicana en términos de la composición de la balanza comercial en el periodo de 2000 a 2020, de conformidad a la Nueva Teoría del Comercio Internacional (NTCI). Se utilizó la base de datos de comercio exterior un Comtrade Database de la Organización de Naciones Unidas. Se analizan las clasificaciones correspondientes a insumos para aeronaves y productos finales, así como los países con los que se está comerciando. Los resultados muestran que las exportaciones de insumos reflejan mayor dinamismo con piezas para aeronaves, hélices, rotores, trenes de rodaje y partes para naves espaciales, con un crecimiento respecto al año 2000 de 425 por ciento, en cuanto a las importaciones el crecimiento fue de 44 por ciento. México tiene relaciones comerciales con 76 países, con mayor interacción con Estados Unidos, aunque aparece China y países de América Latina.

          Translated abstract

          Abstract The objective of this work is to analyze the behavior of the Mexican aeronautical industry in terms of the composition of the trade balance in the period from 2000 to 2020, in accordance with the New Theory of International Trade (NTCI). The un Comtrade Database of the United Nations Organization was used. The classifications corresponding to aircraft inputs and final products are analyzed, as well as the countries with which they are being traded. The results show that exports of inputs reflect greater dynamism with aircraft parts, propellers, rotors, rotor blades, undercarriages, and spacecraft parts, with a 425% growth compared to the year 2000, while imports grew by 44%. Mexico has trade relations with 76 countries, with greater interaction with the United States, although China and Latin American countries also appear.

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          Estimating and Projecting Air Passenger Traffic during the COVID-19 Coronavirus Outbreak and its Socio-Economic Impact

          Highlights • This work estimates different scenarios of air passengers loss due to the Covid-19 pandemia. • This work estimates the impact on aviation contraction on GDP growth and jobs losses worldwide and in EU27. • It is observed that in the first quarter of 2020, in most favorable scenarios about 0.02% to 0.12% of the world GDP (0.02% to 0.13% for EU27) could have been lost and, in the worst case scenarios, these number raise between 1.41% and 1.67% (respectively, 1.66% and 1.98% for EU27) for the whole year 2020. • Under the hypothesized scenarios the number of potential jobs lost in the aviation sector (direct and indirect) in the first Quarter of 2020, may vary between 310,000 and 2.21 million in most favorable scenarios (resp. 40,000 to 330,000 for the EU27), and between 25.68 and 30.31 million of units in 2020 (respectively, 4.19 and 5 for the EU27). • The results show that air traffic follows dynamics that appear to be geographically correlated to the spreading of the COVID-19 outbreak to different parts of the world. • According to our estimates, during the week 19-25 March the traffic had dropped globally by 52% compared to the traffic during the week 31 January-5 February. EU27 was the region worst affected by the decline in activity (down 65%).
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            What's new about the new economic geography?

            P. Krugman (1998)
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              Integration versus Outsourcing in Industry Equilibrium

                Author and article information

                Journal
                etp
                Economía: teoría y práctica
                Econ: teor. práct
                Universidad Autónoma Metropolitana, a través de la Unidad Iztapalapa, la Unidad Azcapotzalco y la Unidad Xochimilco, División de Ciencias Sociales (México, DF, Mexico )
                0188-3380
                2448-7481
                December 2023
                : 59
                : 131-161
                Affiliations
                [1] Durango orgnameInstituto Tecnológico de Durango Mexico juana.hernandez@ 123456itdurango.edu.mx
                Article
                S0188-33802023000200131 S0188-3380(23)00005900131
                10.24275/etypuam/ne/592023/hernandez
                d1e72a15-acbc-4cda-9f06-70ac982a3cb0

                This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.

                History
                : 10 December 2021
                : 23 March 2023
                Page count
                Figures: 0, Tables: 0, Equations: 0, References: 50, Pages: 31
                Product

                SciELO Mexico

                Categories
                Artículos

                Mexico,aeronautics,trade balance,Foreign trade,México,aeronáutica,balanza comercial,Comercio exterior

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