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      Projected increase in total knee arthroplasty in the United States - an alternative projection model.

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          Abstract

          The purpose of our study was to estimate the future incidence rate (IR) and volume of primary total knee arthroplasty (TKA) in the United States from 2015 to 2050 using a conservative projection model that assumes a maximum IR of procedures. Furthermore, our study compared these projections to a model assuming exponential growth, as done in previous studies, for illustrative purposes.

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          Author and article information

          Journal
          Osteoarthr. Cartil.
          Osteoarthritis and cartilage
          Elsevier BV
          1522-9653
          1063-4584
          November 2017
          : 25
          : 11
          Affiliations
          [1 ] Quality Use of Medicines and Pharmacy Research Centre, Medicine and Device Surveillance Centre of Research Excellence, Sansom Institute, School of Pharmacy and Medical Sciences, University of South Australia, GPO Box 2471, Adelaide 5001, South Australia, Australia. Electronic address: maria.inacio@unisa.edu.au.
          [2 ] Surgical Outcomes and Analysis Department, Kaiser Permanente, San Diego, CA, USA. Electronic address: liz.w.paxton@kp.org.
          [3 ] Australian Orthopaedic Association, National Total Joint Replacement Registry, Adelaide, SA, Australia. Electronic address: segraves@aoanjrr.org.au.
          [4 ] Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Kaiser Permanente, Orange County, Irvine, CA, USA. Electronic address: Robert.s.namba@kp.org.
          [5 ] Swedish Hip Arthroplasty Register, Gothenburg, Sweden. Electronic address: szilard.nemes@registercentrum.se.
          Article
          S1063-4584(17)31130-5
          10.1016/j.joca.2017.07.022
          28801208
          d6e3bc1b-55d9-4acd-a886-e2668d767741
          History

          Projections,Epidemiology,Incidence rates,Total knee arthroplasty

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