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      The Diagnosis of Bronchopulmonary Dysplasia in Very Preterm Infants. An Evidence-based Approach

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          Abstract

          Rationale: Current diagnostic criteria for bronchopulmonary dysplasia rely heavily on the level and duration of oxygen therapy, do not reflect contemporary neonatal care, and do not adequately predict childhood morbidity.

          Objectives: To determine which of 18 prespecified, revised definitions of bronchopulmonary dysplasia that variably define disease severity according to the level of respiratory support and supplemental oxygen administered at 36 weeks’ postmenstrual age best predicts death or serious respiratory morbidity through 18–26 months’ corrected age.

          Methods: We assessed infants born at less than 32 weeks of gestation between 2011 and 2015 at 18 centers of the Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development Neonatal Research Network.

          Measurements and Main Results: Of 2,677 infants, 683 (26%) died or developed serious respiratory morbidity. The diagnostic criteria that best predicted this outcome defined bronchopulmonary dysplasia according to treatment with the following support at 36 weeks’ postmenstrual age, regardless of prior or current oxygen therapy: no bronchopulmonary dysplasia, no support ( n = 773); grade 1, nasal cannula ≤2 L/min ( n = 1,038); grade 2, nasal cannula >2 L/min or noninvasive positive airway pressure ( n = 617); and grade 3, invasive mechanical ventilation ( n = 249). These criteria correctly predicted death or serious respiratory morbidity in 81% of study infants. Rates of this outcome increased stepwise from 10% among infants without bronchopulmonary dysplasia to 77% among those with grade 3 disease. A similar gradient (33–79%) was observed for death or neurodevelopmental impairment.

          Conclusions: The definition of bronchopulmonary dysplasia that best predicted early childhood morbidity categorized disease severity according to the mode of respiratory support administered at 36 weeks’ postmenstrual age, regardless of supplemental oxygen use.

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          Most cited references31

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          Internal validation of predictive models: efficiency of some procedures for logistic regression analysis.

          The performance of a predictive model is overestimated when simply determined on the sample of subjects that was used to construct the model. Several internal validation methods are available that aim to provide a more accurate estimate of model performance in new subjects. We evaluated several variants of split-sample, cross-validation and bootstrapping methods with a logistic regression model that included eight predictors for 30-day mortality after an acute myocardial infarction. Random samples with a size between n = 572 and n = 9165 were drawn from a large data set (GUSTO-I; n = 40,830; 2851 deaths) to reflect modeling in data sets with between 5 and 80 events per variable. Independent performance was determined on the remaining subjects. Performance measures included discriminative ability, calibration and overall accuracy. We found that split-sample analyses gave overly pessimistic estimates of performance, with large variability. Cross-validation on 10% of the sample had low bias and low variability, but was not suitable for all performance measures. Internal validity could best be estimated with bootstrapping, which provided stable estimates with low bias. We conclude that split-sample validation is inefficient, and recommend bootstrapping for estimation of internal validity of a predictive logistic regression model.
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            Development and reliability of a system to classify gross motor function in children with cerebral palsy.

            To address the need for a standardized system to classify the gross motor function of children with cerebral palsy, the authors developed a five-level classification system analogous to the staging and grading systems used in medicine. Nominal group process and Delphi survey consensus methods were used to examine content validity and revise the classification system until consensus among 48 experts (physical therapists, occupational therapists, and developmental pediatricians with expertise in cerebral palsy) was achieved. Interrater reliability (kappa) was 0.55 for children less than 2 years of age and 0.75 for children 2 to 12 years of age. The classification system has application for clinical practice, research, teaching, and administration.
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              Abnormal pulmonary outcomes in premature infants: prediction from oxygen requirement in the neonatal period.

              The follow-up records of 605 infants with birth weights of less than 1,500 g, with data available for 2 years after birth, were examined for evidence of abnormal pulmonary signs or symptoms. A total of 119 infants were identified and the neonatal oxygen requirements of these infants were compared with those of 486 infants who had normal pulmonary function. A requirement for oxygen at 28 days of life had a positive predictive value for abnormal pulmonary findings at the time of follow-up of only 38%, whereas 31% of those with normal pulmonary findings at the time of follow-up were still receiving oxygen at this age. The need for oxygen at 28 days was a good predictor of abnormal findings in infants of greater than or equal to 30 weeks' gestational age at birth but became increasingly less useful as gestational age decreased. It was found that, irrespective of gestational age at birth, the requirement for additional oxygen at 36 weeks' corrected postnatal gestational age was a better predictor of abnormal outcome, increasing the positive predictive value to 63%. The prediction of a normal outcome remained 90% for infants not receiving oxygen at this corrected gestational age.
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                Author and article information

                Journal
                Am J Respir Crit Care Med
                Am. J. Respir. Crit. Care Med
                ajrccm
                American Journal of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine
                American Thoracic Society
                1073-449X
                1535-4970
                15 September 2019
                15 September 2019
                15 September 2019
                15 September 2019
                : 200
                : 6
                : 751-759
                Affiliations
                [ 1 ]Division of Neonatology, Department of Pediatrics, Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
                [ 2 ]Biostatistics and Epidemiology Division, RTI International, Research Triangle Park, North Carolina
                [ 3 ]Department of Pediatrics, Women and Infant’s Hospital of Rhode Island, Brown University, Providence, Rhode Island
                [ 4 ]Department of Pediatrics, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina
                [ 5 ]Perinatal Institute, Cincinnati Children’s Hospital Medical Center, Cincinnati, Ohio
                [ 6 ]Division of Neonatology, Department of Pediatrics, University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston, Houston, Texas; and
                [ 7 ]Division of Neonatology, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, Utah
                Author notes
                Correspondence and requests for reprints should be addressed to Erik A. Jensen, M.D., M.S.C.E., Division of Neonatology, Department of Pediatrics, Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia, 34th and Civic Center Boulevard, 2nd Floor Main, Philadelphia, PA 19104. E-mail: jensene@ 123456email.chop.edu .
                [*]

                A list of additional investigators and sites is included in the online supplement.

                Author information
                http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6427-093X
                Article
                201812-2348OC
                10.1164/rccm.201812-2348OC
                6775872
                30995069
                d76302d0-c2c7-44b3-861b-d4c08a99fc36
                Copyright © 2019 by the American Thoracic Society

                This article is open access and distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution Non-Commercial No Derivatives License 4.0 ( https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/). For commercial usage and reprints, please contact Diane Gern ( dgern@ 123456thoracic.org ).

                History
                : 18 December 2018
                : 16 April 2019
                Page count
                Figures: 2, Tables: 3, Pages: 9
                Categories
                Original Articles
                Pediatrics and Lung Development

                infant chronic lung disease,supplemental oxygen,mechanical ventilation

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