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      Epidemiology of ocular surface squamous neoplasia in Africa

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          Abstract

          Objectives

          To describe the epidemiology and an aetiological model of ocular surface squamous neoplasia (OSSN) in Africa.

          Methods

          Systematic and non-systematic review methods were used. Incidence was obtained from the International Agency for Research on Cancer. We searched PubMed, EMBASE, Web of Science and the reference lists of articles retrieved. Meta-analyses were conducted using a fixed-effects model for HIV and cigarette smoking and random effects for human papilloma virus (HPV).

          Results

          The incidence of OSSN is highest in the Southern Hemisphere (16° South), with the highest age-standardised rate (ASR) reported from Zimbabwe (3.4 and 3.0 cases/year/100 000 population for males and females, respectively). The mean ASR worldwide is 0.18 and 0.08 cases/year/100 000 among males and females, respectively. The risk increases with exposure to direct daylight (2–4 h, OR = 1.7, 95% CI: 1.2–2.4 and ≥5 h OR = 1.8, 95% CI: 1.1–3.1) and outdoor occupations (OR = 1.7, 95% CI: 1.1–2.6). Meta-analysis also shows a strong association with HIV (6 studies: OR = 6.17, 95% CI: 4.83–7.89) and HPV (7 studies: OR = 2.64, 95% CI: 1.27–5.49) but not cigarette smoking (2 studies: OR = 1.40, 95% CI: 0.94–2.09). The effect of atopy, xeroderma pigmentosa and vitamin A deficiency is unclear.

          Conclusions

          Africa has the highest incidence of OSSN in the world, where males and females are equally affected, unlike other continents where male disease predominates. African women probably have increased risk due to their higher prevalence of HIV and HPV infections. As the survival of HIV-infected people increases, and given no evidence that anti-retroviral therapy (ART) reduces the risk of OSSN, the incidence of OSSN may increase in coming years.

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          Most cited references183

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          Worldwide prevalence and genotype distribution of cervical human papillomavirus DNA in women with normal cytology: a meta-analysis.

          We set out to estimate the age and genotype-specific prevalence of cervical human papillomavirus (HPV) DNA in women with normal cervical cytology worldwide by meta-analysis of a systematic literature review. Reports on HPV prevalence published between January, 1995, and January, 2005, were retrieved. To be included, studies required information on cervical cytology, plus detailed descriptions of study populations, methods used to collect cervical samples, and assays used for HPV DNA detection and typing. Final analyses included 78 studies that could be separated into women with normal cytology, and of which subsets of 44 and 48 studies had data on age and type-specific HPV prevalence, respectively. Overall HPV prevalence in 157 879 women with normal cervical cytology was estimated to be 10.4% (95% CI 10.2-10.7). Corresponding estimates by region were Africa 22.1% (20.9-23.4), Central America and Mexico 20.4% (19.3-21.4), northern America 11.3% (10.6-12.1), Europe 8.1% (7.8-8.4), and Asia 8.0% (7.5-8.4). In all world regions, HPV prevalence was highest in women younger than 35 years of age, decreasing in women of older age. In Africa, the Americas, and Europe, a clear second peak of HPV prevalence was observed in women aged 45 years or older. On the basis of these estimates, around 291 million women worldwide are carriers of HPV DNA, of whom 32% are infected with HPV16 or HPV18, or both. The HPV types most commonly detected are similar to those most commonly described in pre-neoplastic and cancer cases, although the relative contribution of HPV16 and HPV18 is substantially lower in cytologically normal women.
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            The role of conceptual frameworks in epidemiological analysis: a hierarchical approach.

            This paper discusses appropriate strategies for multivariate data analysis in epidemiological studies. In studies where determinants of disease are sought, it is suggested that the complex hierarchical inter-relationships between these determinants are best managed through the use of conceptual frameworks. Failure to take these aspects into consideration is common in the epidemiological literature and leads to underestimation of the effects of distal determinants. An example of this analytical approach, which is not based purely on statistical associations, is given for assessing determinants of mortality due to diarrhoea in children. Conceptual frameworks provide guidance for the use of multivariate techniques and aid the interpretation of their results in the light of social and biological knowledge.
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              The role of conceptual frameworks in epidemiological analysis: a hierarchical approach.

              This paper discusses appropriate strategies for multivariate data analysis in epidemiological studies.
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                Author and article information

                Journal
                Trop Med Int Health
                Trop. Med. Int. Health
                tmi
                Tropical Medicine & International Health
                Blackwell Publishing Ltd (Oxford, UK )
                1360-2276
                1365-3156
                December 2013
                30 October 2013
                : 18
                : 12
                : 1424-1443
                Affiliations
                [1 ]Department of Ophthalmology, University of Nairobi Nairobi, Kenya
                [2 ]London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine London, UK
                [3 ]Moorfields Eye Hospital London, UK
                [4 ]UCL Institute of Ophthalmology, University College London UK
                Author notes
                Corresponding Author Stephen Gichuhi, Department of Ophthalmology, University of Nairobi, Nairobi, Kenya. E-mail sgichuhi@ 123456uonbi.ac.ke
                Article
                10.1111/tmi.12203
                4440345
                24237784
                d8736838-d2f2-4f31-b04a-aac15bdd716b
                © 2013 The Authors. Tropical Medicine and International Health published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

                This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.

                History
                Categories
                Ocular Neoplasia

                Medicine
                ocular surface squamous neoplasia,conjunctival intraepithelial neoplasia,conjunctival intraepithelial dysplasia,ocular surface epithelial dysplasia,conjunctival squamous cell carcinoma,risk factors,incidence

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