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      Free-grazing Ducks and Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza, Thailand

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          Abstract

          Free-grazing ducks in rice paddies are a critical factor in the spread and persistence of avian influenza.

          Abstract

          Thailand has recently had 3 epidemic waves of highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI); virus was again detected in July 2005. Risk factors need to be identified to better understand disease ecology and assist HPAI surveillance and detection. This study analyzed the spatial distribution of HPAI outbreaks in relation to poultry, land use, and other anthropogenic variables from the start of the second epidemic wave (July 2004–May 2005). Results demonstrate a strong association between H5N1 virus in Thailand and abundance of free-grazing ducks and, to a lesser extent, native chickens, cocks, wetlands, and humans. Wetlands used for double-crop rice production, where free-grazing duck feed year round in rice paddies, appear to be a critical factor in HPAI persistence and spread. This finding could be important for other duck-producing regions in eastern and southeastern Asian countries affected by HPAI.

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          Evaluating presence-absence models in ecology: the need to account for prevalence

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            Geostatistical Tools for Modeling and Interpreting Ecological Spatial Dependence

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              An Autologistic Model for the Spatial Distribution of Wildlife

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                Author and article information

                Journal
                Emerg Infect Dis
                Emerging Infect. Dis
                EID
                Emerging Infectious Diseases
                Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
                1080-6040
                1080-6059
                February 2006
                : 12
                : 2
                : 227-234
                Affiliations
                [* ]Université Libre de Bruxelles, Brussels, Belgium;
                []Department of Livestock Development, Bangkok, Thailand;
                []Utrecht University, Utrecht, the Netherlands;
                [§ ]Food and Agriculture Organization, Bangkok, Thailand;
                []Food and Agriculture Organization, Rome, Italy
                Author notes
                Address for correspondence: Marius Gilbert, Laboratory of Biological Control and Spatial Ecology, Université Libre de Bruxelles, CP 160/12, Ave F.D. Roosevelt 50, B-1050 Brussels, Belgium; fax: 32-2-650-2445; email: mgilbert@ 123456ulb.ac.be
                Article
                05-0640
                10.3201/eid1202.050640
                3373083
                16494747
                db40305e-e501-4162-be5a-a461f43ddfe1
                History
                Categories
                Research
                Research

                Infectious disease & Microbiology
                spatial analysis,thailand,epidemiology,animal husbandry,avian influenza,research

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