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      Clinical significance of worsening versus stable preradiographic MRI lesions in a cohort study of persons at higher risk for knee osteoarthritis

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          Abstract

          Background

          Whether preradiographic lesions in knees at risk for osteoarthritis are incidental versus disease is unclear. We hypothesised, in persons without but at higher risk for knee osteoarthritis, that: 12–48 month MRI lesion status worsening is associated with 12–48 month incident radiographic osteoarthritis (objective component of clinical definition of knee osteoarthritis) and 48–84 month persistent symptoms.

          Methods

          In 849 Osteoarthritis Initiative participants Kellgren/Lawrence (KL) 0 in both knees, we assessed cartilage damage, bone marrow lesions (BMLs), and menisci on 12 month (baseline) and 48 month MRIs. Multivariable logistic regression was used to evaluate associations between 12–48 month worsening versus stable status and outcome (12–48 month incident KL ≥ 1 and KL ≥ 2, and 48–84 month persistent symptoms defined as frequent symptoms or medication use most days of ≥1 month in past 12 month, at consecutive visits 48–84 months), adjusting for age, gender, body mass index (BMI), injury and surgery.

          Results

          Mean age was 59.6 (8.8), BMI 26.7 (4.2) and 55.9% were women. 12–48 month status worsening of cartilage damage, meniscal tear, meniscal extrusion, and BMLs was associated with 12–48 month incident radiographic outcomes, and worsening of cartilage damage and BMLs with 48–84 month persistent symptoms. There was a dose-response association for magnitude of worsening of cartilage damage, meniscal tear, meniscal extrusion, and BMLs and radiographic outcomes, and cartilage damage and BMLs and persistent symptoms.

          Conclusions

          In persons at higher risk, worsening MRI lesion status was associated with concurrent incident radiographic osteoarthritis and subsequent persistent symptoms. These findings suggest that such lesions represent early osteoarthritis, and add support for a paradigm shift towards investigation of intervention effectiveness at this stage.

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          Author and article information

          Journal
          0372355
          640
          Ann Rheum Dis
          Ann. Rheum. Dis.
          Annals of the rheumatic diseases
          0003-4967
          1468-2060
          9 December 2015
          14 October 2015
          September 2016
          01 September 2017
          : 75
          : 9
          : 1630-1636
          Affiliations
          [1 ]Internal Medicine, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, Illinois, USA
          [2 ]Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California at San Francisco, San Francisco, California, USA
          [3 ]School of Medicine, University of Maryland, Baltimore, Maryland, USA
          [4 ]Department of Radiology, Boston University, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
          [5 ]University of Erlangen-Nuremberg, Erlangen, Germany
          [6 ]Brown University, Pawtucket, Rhode Island, USA
          [7 ]The Ohio State University, Columbus, Ohio, USA
          [8 ]Division of Rheumatology, University of Arizona Arthritis Center, University of Arizona, Tucson, Arizona, USA
          [9 ]Department of Epidemiology, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA
          [10 ]Preventive Medicine, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, Illinois, USA
          Author notes
          Correspondence to: Professor Leena Sharma, Division of Rheumatology, Feinberg School of Medicine, Northwestern University, 240 E. Huron, M300, Chicago, IL 60611, USA; L-Sharma@ 123456northwestern.edu
          Article
          PMC4833701 PMC4833701 4833701 nihpa743352
          10.1136/annrheumdis-2015-208129
          4833701
          26467570
          de0909c8-1035-49ea-8178-6c5dcf90da4b
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