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      Global outbreak research: harmony not hegemony

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      ISARIC clinical characterisation group
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      The Lancet. Infectious Diseases
      Elsevier Ltd.
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          Abstract

          To make clinical and biological observations within a timeframe that is likely to benefit patients during disease outbreaks, coordination of global research must match the speed of spread of novel pathogens. Time is short. Circumstances call for international collaboration to understand, treat, and prevent coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). During previous infectious disease outbreaks, clinical research has often been established on an ad-hoc basis and done in silos, using different methodologies and designs. This approach limits opportunities to compare results, or to combine smaller studies to obtain answers quickly. Thus, perhaps it is self-evident that harmonisation of clinical investigation during outbreaks is desirable. In a meeting of the WHO clinical management research prioritisation group held in January, 2020, harmonised clinical characterisation research was identified as the first priority for COVID-19. Harmonisation creates opportunities for individual investigators to compare results or collaborate, without applying burdens or obligations. In our experience, the quality and breadth of research is improved by collaborative development and peer review of shared protocols. For example, in the current outbreak, a clinician might design a study to identify risk factors for progression, co-infections, and mechanisms of critical illness. However, clinicians might overlook the need to obtain serum for research groups with the capability to make new assays for seroepidemiology, or peripheral blood mononuclear cells for monoclonal antibody therapeutics during this process. Wide collaboration leads to better, faster science. Achieving global coordination is difficult enough at the best of times; during a crisis it might seem impossible. But with each new crisis, the same questions arise again and again, and so, the same designs can be used to tackle them. We believe that global harmonisation is possible, at least in the intermittently indispensable field of outbreak research. To achieve such a goal, harmonised investigation needs to be made easier than establishing isolated independent studies, must respect autonomy and sovereignty of investigators, and relinquish normal routes of academic recognition for this work. To this end, in 2012, a single, standardised generic research protocol was created for clinical characterisation of any emerging infection (the International Severe Acute Respiratory and Emerging Infection Consortium [ISARIC]/WHO Clinical Characterisation Protocol [CCP]), which was the result of many years of international and cross-speciality consensus-building. 1 Since the fundamental research questions in a new outbreak are predictable, the protocol can be established and approved in so-called peacetime, maintained in a hibernating state, then rapidly implemented when required. Carefully designed, flexible biological sampling schedules are included in tiers according to local resources, modular additional studies for specific situations, and scalable case report forms. 1 These tools were released under an open-source licence—ie, anyone can download these materials and use, adapt, or distribute them. Clinical research can feel like it is 95% about filling in forms. We filled in some of the forms, so you don't have to. In 2016, the ISARIC/WHO CCP was implemented in Brazil in response to the emergence of Zika virus and chikungunya virus in Latin America, facilitating studies of viral shedding and serology. 2 The CCP was also used for the establishment of cohort studies of critically ill patients with Middle East respiratory syndrome. 3 At present, the Uganda Virus Research Institute (Entebbe, Uganda) is using the protocol to study severe acute febrile illness and severe influenza. 4 The value of this approach is becoming apparent in the age of COVID-19. The original reports on clinical findings in COVID-19 used harmonised data collection.5, 6 46 countries have registered to record clinical data using the ISARIC/WHO CCP Case Report Form and investigators in many countries are planning to use the CCP biological sampling protocol to coordinate studies of transmission, prognostication, pathogenesis, and diagnostics (appendix). Understanding the genetic mechanisms underlying susceptibility 7 might directly advance our understanding of disease mechanisms 8 and possible treatments, 9 but robust studies require recruitment of large numbers of critically ill patients, which requires open, collegiate, and global collaboration. Genetics Of Mortality In Critical Care is an open consortium in which clinicians have been recruiting critically ill patients since 2016. Importantly, this work is led by the clinicians treating the patients, in collaboration with experts in host genetics. Operating clinical trials at global scale presents many additional challenges, but even in this domain, substantial progress has been made. Before the COVID-19 pandemic, the critical care community created a highly efficient, randomised, embedded multifactorial adaptive platform trial for community-acquired pneumonia (REMAP-CAP). This single trial was established in 13 countries with the capacity to test new hypotheses quickly. Perhaps most ambitious of all, WHO has developed a global platform—the SOLIDARITY trial 10 —for the evaluation of widely-available interventions to treat COVID-19. Catastrophes, such as pandemics, drive innovation and lead to marked social change. Within the scientific research community, we believe that perceptions of academic excellence have long undervalued teamwork and collegiality. We hope our colleagues across the world will make use of these tools, either in collaboration or independently, to harmonise clinical research efforts and fulfil the duties of medical science to humanity in the shortest time possible.

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          Most cited references9

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          Clinical features of patients infected with 2019 novel coronavirus in Wuhan, China

          Summary Background A recent cluster of pneumonia cases in Wuhan, China, was caused by a novel betacoronavirus, the 2019 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV). We report the epidemiological, clinical, laboratory, and radiological characteristics and treatment and clinical outcomes of these patients. Methods All patients with suspected 2019-nCoV were admitted to a designated hospital in Wuhan. We prospectively collected and analysed data on patients with laboratory-confirmed 2019-nCoV infection by real-time RT-PCR and next-generation sequencing. Data were obtained with standardised data collection forms shared by WHO and the International Severe Acute Respiratory and Emerging Infection Consortium from electronic medical records. Researchers also directly communicated with patients or their families to ascertain epidemiological and symptom data. Outcomes were also compared between patients who had been admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) and those who had not. Findings By Jan 2, 2020, 41 admitted hospital patients had been identified as having laboratory-confirmed 2019-nCoV infection. Most of the infected patients were men (30 [73%] of 41); less than half had underlying diseases (13 [32%]), including diabetes (eight [20%]), hypertension (six [15%]), and cardiovascular disease (six [15%]). Median age was 49·0 years (IQR 41·0–58·0). 27 (66%) of 41 patients had been exposed to Huanan seafood market. One family cluster was found. Common symptoms at onset of illness were fever (40 [98%] of 41 patients), cough (31 [76%]), and myalgia or fatigue (18 [44%]); less common symptoms were sputum production (11 [28%] of 39), headache (three [8%] of 38), haemoptysis (two [5%] of 39), and diarrhoea (one [3%] of 38). Dyspnoea developed in 22 (55%) of 40 patients (median time from illness onset to dyspnoea 8·0 days [IQR 5·0–13·0]). 26 (63%) of 41 patients had lymphopenia. All 41 patients had pneumonia with abnormal findings on chest CT. Complications included acute respiratory distress syndrome (12 [29%]), RNAaemia (six [15%]), acute cardiac injury (five [12%]) and secondary infection (four [10%]). 13 (32%) patients were admitted to an ICU and six (15%) died. Compared with non-ICU patients, ICU patients had higher plasma levels of IL2, IL7, IL10, GSCF, IP10, MCP1, MIP1A, and TNFα. Interpretation The 2019-nCoV infection caused clusters of severe respiratory illness similar to severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus and was associated with ICU admission and high mortality. Major gaps in our knowledge of the origin, epidemiology, duration of human transmission, and clinical spectrum of disease need fulfilment by future studies. Funding Ministry of Science and Technology, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, National Natural Science Foundation of China, and Beijing Municipal Science and Technology Commission.
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            Clinical course and outcomes of critically ill patients with SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia in Wuhan, China: a single-centered, retrospective, observational study

            Summary Background An ongoing outbreak of pneumonia associated with the severe acute respiratory coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) started in December, 2019, in Wuhan, China. Information about critically ill patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection is scarce. We aimed to describe the clinical course and outcomes of critically ill patients with SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia. Methods In this single-centered, retrospective, observational study, we enrolled 52 critically ill adult patients with SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia who were admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) of Wuhan Jin Yin-tan hospital (Wuhan, China) between late December, 2019, and Jan 26, 2020. Demographic data, symptoms, laboratory values, comorbidities, treatments, and clinical outcomes were all collected. Data were compared between survivors and non-survivors. The primary outcome was 28-day mortality, as of Feb 9, 2020. Secondary outcomes included incidence of SARS-CoV-2-related acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) and the proportion of patients requiring mechanical ventilation. Findings Of 710 patients with SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia, 52 critically ill adult patients were included. The mean age of the 52 patients was 59·7 (SD 13·3) years, 35 (67%) were men, 21 (40%) had chronic illness, 51 (98%) had fever. 32 (61·5%) patients had died at 28 days, and the median duration from admission to the intensive care unit (ICU) to death was 7 (IQR 3–11) days for non-survivors. Compared with survivors, non-survivors were older (64·6 years [11·2] vs 51·9 years [12·9]), more likely to develop ARDS (26 [81%] patients vs 9 [45%] patients), and more likely to receive mechanical ventilation (30 [94%] patients vs 7 [35%] patients), either invasively or non-invasively. Most patients had organ function damage, including 35 (67%) with ARDS, 15 (29%) with acute kidney injury, 12 (23%) with cardiac injury, 15 (29%) with liver dysfunction, and one (2%) with pneumothorax. 37 (71%) patients required mechanical ventilation. Hospital-acquired infection occurred in seven (13·5%) patients. Interpretation The mortality of critically ill patients with SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia is considerable. The survival time of the non-survivors is likely to be within 1–2 weeks after ICU admission. Older patients (>65 years) with comorbidities and ARDS are at increased risk of death. The severity of SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia poses great strain on critical care resources in hospitals, especially if they are not adequately staffed or resourced. Funding None.
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              Open source clinical science for emerging infections

              Emerging infections cause justifiable global concern. Current outbreaks of avian influenza A H7N9 1 and the Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS) 2 raise troubling memories of pandemic influenza and severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS). With few mutations,3, 4, 5 these or other pathogens could evolve to cause widespread outbreaks. When new threats emerge, well established public health systems rapidly identify cases and evaluate sources, clinicians provide early descriptive case reports, and laboratories develop diagnostics and characterise pathogens. Clinical science is markedly less agile. We lack the tools to answer key questions rapidly. Who is susceptible, and why? What are the mechanisms of disease? What are the sites and dynamics of pathogen replication? How can early cases be identified and stratified? What is the clinical utility of new diagnostics? What treatments might work? Each emerging infection presents these fundamental questions. The method of answering them need not be reinvented from one infection to the next. If clinical scientists across the world were able to agree on methods and cooperate, the results of separate studies from diverse locations and conditions could be collated, allowing clinically useful conclusions to be reached from shared data. The International Severe Acute Respiratory and Emerging Infection Consortium (ISARIC) 6 grew from the recognition that we have to do things differently, in the light of our experience during the epidemics of SARS, H5N1, and the 2009–10 influenza pandemic, but also regional epidemics of enterovirus 71, dengue, viral haemorrhagic fevers, and even during the rapid emergence of drug resistant malaria. 7 We must motivate and equip individual investigators and networks around the world to work together to rapidly answer basic questions when new threats emerge. Academic credit and access to data and samples must be given to clinical investigators, who often recruit patients in extremely challenging circumstances. Unlike the existing model that prioritises independence, effective collaboration should be rewarded. The core materials needed to enrol patients must be freely available, making it as easy as possible for investigators at the front line. The core materials of clinical research—protocols, information sheets, consent forms, and case report forms—are analogous to the source code of computer software. In open-source software projects contributors receive recognition that builds their reputation within the software community. We propose a similar approach to clinical research, in parallel with the drive towards open access in academic publishing. 8 Although community projects have a long history in other fields, individual recognition is required for scientists to obtain funding and promotion; to succeed, academic institutions, funders, journals, the clinical science and public health communities, and the public need to be in full support. To develop a consensus set of documentation, we engaged with investigators across countries and disciplines, in collaboration with WHO, in a systematic three-stage process: first, to agree criteria by which to prioritise and stratify studies; second, to identify important unanswered questions relating to pathogenesis, susceptibility, and pharmacology in severe infection; and to allocate studies within a globally scalable framework. In the resulting protocol, research intensity is stratified according to the local costs incurred. The lowest tiers have a minimum requirement for staff and resources to recruit a case (figure ), enabling adaptation for use in places with differing resource levels, and also in different phases of an outbreak. For example, early in an outbreak there are urgent questions that require intensive study of a small number of cases; later, when larger numbers of cases present, it will be both more difficult and less important to obtain frequent serial samples. Figure Stratified, modular framework of research studies enabling recruitment in a range of different conditions ISARIC aims to reach a global consensus behind collection of harmonised clinical data linked with biological sampling protocols that are of value to anyone facing future outbreaks of any emerging infection. Importantly, our recommendations are not to be regarded as fixed and final, but an initial contribution to an evolving framework of research studies to which anyone, anywhere, may contribute and improve, and which will be openly shared in perpetuity. We regard this consensus as essential but not sufficient. Here we lay the foundations for more challenging coordinated studies, including clinical trials of pathogen-specific therapies with pragmatic endpoints. We encourage clinicians everywhere to develop and share appropriate research protocols and seek approvals for clinical research that can begin immediately as soon as future epidemics threaten. Experience confirms that the time to act is now. For the full list of contributors, affiliations, and acknowledgments, see appendix.
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                Author and article information

                Journal
                Lancet Infect Dis
                Lancet Infect Dis
                The Lancet. Infectious Diseases
                Elsevier Ltd.
                1473-3099
                1474-4457
                2 June 2020
                2 June 2020
                Author notes
                [*]

                Roslin Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh EH25 9RG, UK

                Article
                S1473-3099(20)30440-0
                10.1016/S1473-3099(20)30440-0
                7266570
                32502433
                e0ca22fa-45e2-4f31-940a-a54bc7f80d88
                © 2020 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

                Since January 2020 Elsevier has created a COVID-19 resource centre with free information in English and Mandarin on the novel coronavirus COVID-19. The COVID-19 resource centre is hosted on Elsevier Connect, the company's public news and information website. Elsevier hereby grants permission to make all its COVID-19-related research that is available on the COVID-19 resource centre - including this research content - immediately available in PubMed Central and other publicly funded repositories, such as the WHO COVID database with rights for unrestricted research re-use and analyses in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for free by Elsevier for as long as the COVID-19 resource centre remains active.

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                Infectious disease & Microbiology

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