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      Review of Statistical Methods for Analysing Healthcare Resources and Costs

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          Abstract

          We review statistical methods for analysing healthcare resource use and costs, their ability to address skewness, excess zeros, multimodality and heavy right tails, and their ease for general use. We aim to provide guidance on analysing resource use and costs focusing on randomised trials, although methods often have wider applicability. Twelve broad categories of methods were identified: (I) methods based on the normal distribution, (II) methods following transformation of data, (III) single-distribution generalized linear models (GLMs), (IV) parametric models based on skewed distributions outside the GLM family, (V) models based on mixtures of parametric distributions, (VI) two (or multi)-part and Tobit models, (VII) survival methods, (VIII) non-parametric methods, (IX) methods based on truncation or trimming of data, (X) data components models, (XI) methods based on averaging across models, and (XII) Markov chain methods. Based on this review, our recommendations are that, first, simple methods are preferred in large samples where the near-normality of sample means is assured. Second, in somewhat smaller samples, relatively simple methods, able to deal with one or two of above data characteristics, may be preferable but checking sensitivity to assumptions is necessary. Finally, some more complex methods hold promise, but are relatively untried; their implementation requires substantial expertise and they are not currently recommended for wider applied work. Copyright © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

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          Negative Binomial Regression

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            Too much ado about two-part models and transformation? Comparing methods of modeling Medicare expenditures.

            Many methods for modeling skewed health care cost and use data have been suggested in the literature. This paper compares the performance of eight alternative estimators, including OLS and GLM estimators and one- and two-part models, in predicting Medicare costs. It finds that four of the alternatives produce very similar results in practice. It then suggests an efficient method for researchers to use when selecting estimators of health care costs. Copyright 2004 Elsevier B.V.
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              Generalized modeling approaches to risk adjustment of skewed outcomes data.

              There are two broad classes of models used to address the econometric problems caused by skewness in data commonly encountered in health care applications: (1) transformation to deal with skewness (e.g., ordinary least square (OLS) on ln(y)); and (2) alternative weighting approaches based on exponential conditional models (ECM) and generalized linear model (GLM) approaches. In this paper, we encompass these two classes of models using the three parameter generalized Gamma (GGM) distribution, which includes several of the standard alternatives as special cases-OLS with a normal error, OLS for the log-normal, the standard Gamma and exponential with a log link, and the Weibull. Using simulation methods, we find the tests of identifying distributions to be robust. The GGM also provides a potentially more robust alternative estimator to the standard alternatives. An example using inpatient expenditures is also analyzed.
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                Author and article information

                Journal
                Health Econ
                Health Econ
                hec
                Health Economics
                John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. (Chichester, UK )
                1057-9230
                1099-1050
                August 2011
                26 August 2010
                : 20
                : 8
                : 897-916
                Affiliations
                [a ]Health Economics Research Centre, University of Oxford Oxford, UK
                [b ]Public Health and Health Policy, University of Glasgow Glasgow, UK
                [c ]Department of Probability and Statistics, University of Sheffield Sheffield, UK
                [d ]MRC Biostatistics Unit Cambridge, UK
                Author notes
                *Correspondence to: Health Economics Research Centre, University of Oxford, Old Road Campus, Headington, Oxford OX3 7LF, UK. E-mail: boby.mihaylova@ 123456dphpc.ox.ac.uk
                Article
                10.1002/hec.1653
                3470917
                20799344
                e29a29e7-ab22-47ad-be97-299718d215af
                Copyright © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

                Re-use of this article is permitted in accordance with the Creative Commons Deed, Attribution 2.5, which does not permit commercial exploitation.

                History
                : 20 November 2008
                : 30 April 2010
                : 06 July 2010
                Categories
                Research Articles

                Economics of health & social care
                healthcare costs,randomised trials,healthcare resource use,statistical methods

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