Evolution Game and Simulation Analysis of Disturbance Emergency Disposal of In-Flight Cabin: China Civil Aviation Security Strategy Study

Abstract

The disturbance of disruptive passengers in the cabin seriously affects aviation security in China. Reducing the occurrence of disturbances in the cabin is an inevitable choice to strengthen the security of civil aviation in China and improve the emergency disposal of airlines. Therefore, this paper investigates the strength of government support, the benefits of cooperation and the punishment of disposers, and uses the event tree method to analyze the relevant subjects affecting the consequences of cabin disruptions. To this end, a cabin disturbance emergency management game model comprised of regulatory authority, airline security and disruptive passengers was then established. The results of the game playing and simulation highlight the inherent relationships in emergency management in China’s civil aviation. First, the choice of behavior of the regulatory authority and disruptive passengers are mainly influenced by the strategy of airline security. Second, the strength of support from the regulatory authority determines whether the airline security can dispose of the passengers successfully. Third, the disruptive inclination of disruptive passengers is directly influenced by the intensity of punishment by airport police. Finally, an empirical analysis and simulation is conducted with the example of using an open flame or smoking in the cabin. This study provides new ideas for enhancing aviation security and improving emergency management.