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      Comparison of risk factor associations in UK Biobank against representative, general population based studies with conventional response rates: prospective cohort study and individual participant meta-analysis

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          Abstract

          Objective

          To compare established associations between risk factors and mortality in UK Biobank, a study with an exceptionally low rate of response to its baseline survey, against those from representative studies that have conventional response rates.

          Design

          Prospective cohort study alongside individual participant meta-analysis of other cohort studies.

          Setting

          United Kingdom.

          Participants

          Analytical sample of 499 701 people (response rate 5.5%) in analyses in UK Biobank; pooled data from the Health Surveys for England (HSE) and the Scottish Health Surveys (SHS), including 18 studies and 89 895 people (mean response rate 68%). Both study populations were linked to the same nationwide mortality registries, and the baseline age range was aligned at 40-69 years.

          Main outcome measure

          Death from cardiovascular disease, selected malignancies, and suicide. To quantify the difference between hazard ratios in the two studies, a ratio of the hazard ratios was used with HSE-SHS as the referent.

          Results

          Risk factor levels and mortality rates were typically more favourable in UK Biobank participants relative to the HSE-SHS consortium. For the associations between risk factors and mortality endpoints, however, close agreement was seen between studies. Based on 14 288 deaths during an average of 7.0 years of follow-up in UK Biobank and 7861 deaths over 10 years of mortality surveillance in HSE-SHS, for cardiovascular disease mortality, for instance, the age and sex adjusted hazard ratio for ever having smoked cigarettes (versus never) was 2.04 (95% confidence interval 1.87 to 2.24) in UK Biobank and 1.99 (1.78 to 2.23) in HSE-SHS, yielding a ratio of hazard ratios close to unity (1.02, 0.88 to 1.19). The overall pattern of agreement between studies was essentially unchanged when results were compared separately by sex and when baseline years and censoring dates were aligned.

          Conclusion

          Despite a very low response rate, risk factor associations in the UK Biobank seem to be generalisable.

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          Most cited references60

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          UK Biobank: An Open Access Resource for Identifying the Causes of a Wide Range of Complex Diseases of Middle and Old Age

          Cathie Sudlow and colleagues describe the UK Biobank, a large population-based prospective study, established to allow investigation of the genetic and non-genetic determinants of the diseases of middle and old age.
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            Regression Models and Life-Tables

            D R Cox (1972)
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              Comparison of Sociodemographic and Health-Related Characteristics of UK Biobank Participants With Those of the General Population

              Abstract The UK Biobank cohort is a population-based cohort of 500,000 participants recruited in the United Kingdom (UK) between 2006 and 2010. Approximately 9.2 million individuals aged 40–69 years who lived within 25 miles (40 km) of one of 22 assessment centers in England, Wales, and Scotland were invited to enter the cohort, and 5.5% participated in the baseline assessment. The representativeness of the UK Biobank cohort was investigated by comparing demographic characteristics between nonresponders and responders. Sociodemographic, physical, lifestyle, and health-related characteristics of the cohort were compared with nationally representative data sources. UK Biobank participants were more likely to be older, to be female, and to live in less socioeconomically deprived areas than nonparticipants. Compared with the general population, participants were less likely to be obese, to smoke, and to drink alcohol on a daily basis and had fewer self-reported health conditions. At age 70–74 years, rates of all-cause mortality and total cancer incidence were 46.2% and 11.8% lower, respectively, in men and 55.5% and 18.1% lower, respectively, in women than in the general population of the same age. UK Biobank is not representative of the sampling population; there is evidence of a “healthy volunteer” selection bias. Nonetheless, valid assessment of exposure-disease relationships may be widely generalizable and does not require participants to be representative of the population at large.
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                Author and article information

                Contributors
                Role: professor of epidemiology
                Role: professor of cognitive epidemiology
                Role: professor of social epidemiology
                Role: professor of differential psychology
                Role: senior research associate in epidemiology
                Journal
                BMJ
                BMJ
                BMJ-UK
                bmj
                The BMJ
                BMJ Publishing Group Ltd.
                0959-8138
                1756-1833
                2020
                12 February 2020
                : 368
                : m131
                Affiliations
                [1 ]Department of Epidemiology and Public Health, University College London, London WC1E 6BT, UK
                [2 ]School of Biological and Population Health Sciences, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR, USA
                [3 ]MRC Lifecourse Epidemiology Unit, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK
                [4 ]Lothian Birth Cohorts, Department of Psychology, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
                [5 ]British Heart Foundation Cardiovascular Epidemiology Unit, Department of Public Health and Primary Care, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
                [6 ]National Institute for Health Research Blood and Transplant Unit in Donor Health and Genomics at the University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
                [7 ]Stroke Research Group, Department of Clinical Neurosciences, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
                Author notes
                Correspondence to: D Batty david.batty@ 123456ucl.ac.uk
                Author information
                http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1822-5753
                Article
                batd052480
                10.1136/bmj.m131
                7190071
                32051121
                e82ee420-8a0b-406b-bd5b-a5194d90e459
                © Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2019. Re-use permitted under CC BY. No commercial re-use. See rights and permissions. Published by BMJ.

                This is an Open Access article distributed in accordance with the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY 4.0) license, which permits others to distribute, remix, adapt and build upon this work, for commercial use, provided the original work is properly cited. See: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.

                History
                : 16 December 2019
                Categories
                Research

                Medicine
                Medicine

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